1. Because there is not enough funding to fund all health problems 2. health care is primarily funded through tax revenues 3. Funding gone to prevention and health public services is extremely low, therefore, there is a high need to prioritse where funding goes
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What is PECOT
Participants - who is taking part and how many in the study
Exposure group - how many people have been exposed to the exposure factor Note: can have more than 1 EGO but only 1 CGO
Comparison group - how many people in the study have not yet been exposed
Outcome - how many people became dis-eased and what effect did the exposure factor have
Time - was the study data collected with prevalence or incidence
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what is incidence
Calculating number of onsets is dis-ease occuring during a period of time
Is determined only by disease risk (is clean measure of dis-ease occurence)
difficult to observe as it is over timed
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What is prevalence
Calculating number of people with a dis-ease at a point in time
Used for dis-eases where the dis-ease onset may be easy to observe, but vary in severity e.g. asthma
Gives less information than incidence as time is not involved
(is dirty measure of dis-ease occurence)
Relatively easy to measure as you can count at snapshot of time
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What is point and period prevalence?
period prevalence are Dis-ease outcomes measured at one point in time but have occurred over a previous period of time. Gives a time frame to remember.
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does every study include EGO and CGO?
No
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How do you calculate RR
EGO/CGO (has no units)
When EGO\=CGO, then RR is 1
Relative risk reduction (RRR) when RR
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What is risk difference
EGO-CGO
When EGO\=CGO, then RD is 0
Finds difference in occurrences
Absolute risk reduction (ARR) when RD
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What is the crude death rate?
Total number of deaths/total population/time
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what is age standardisation?
age standardization is a method of accounting for a populations age to make it more accurate when comparing disease prevalence in two different countries with major age differences.
To calculate age standardisation, calculate crude death rate for each age group, then divide each age group by its standardised population value
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What are the 3 types of random errors?
Random sampling error - Sample population will never be representative of whole population
Random measurement - Human error in measuring exposure factors/outcomes
Random allocation error - EG and CG differ by chance alone
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What can we use to describe random error?
confidence intervals
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What is a 95% confidence interval?
There is about 95% that true value in a population lies within 95%
If interval is higher, it means less confidence because value ranges of EGO and CGO can overlap each other (becomes statistically non significant)
If EGO and CGO overlap, study can still be considered statistically significant, ONLY if RR and RD calculations DO NOT cross no effect line
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What does a meta analysis do to a confidence interval?
will male CI more narrower, meaning higher confidence
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What is ramboman: recruitment
Are participants representative of eligible population? Is it applicable
There are 3 levels in triangle, Setting, Eligibility and Participants
Is reduced by increasing sample size
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What are allocation errors
bad allocation process - groups are not defined properly
confounding - mixing of effects. When exposure group is mixed with multiple other factors associated with the outcome
Solution for confounding -
1. divide the study into substudies to separate all EG's 2. Randomisation of groups decreases confounding
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What are maintenance errors?
1. People switch between EG and CG during study 2. Exposed to confounding factors 3. Participants drop out of study
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What are blind and objective measurement errors?
Are outcomes measured properly and are methods of measurement objective?
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What are randomised control trials?
Investigates effects of different interventions (exposures) on dis-ease incidence on different groups of individuals
It is a longitudinal and experimental study
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what are advantages of RCT
Minimises confounding
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What are the disadvantages of RCT
- Has ethical problems
- High costs, large studies are expensive
- Maintenance error is high as follow up period is long term Random errors are high
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what is a cohort study
Investigates whether A leads to B Associations between risk factors (exposures) and dis-ease incidence in diff groups of individuals / looks at effects
is longitudinal and observational
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adv of cohort studies
- Cheaper to conduct
- Avoids recall bias (when asking participants to recall information about exposure, may not remember exact values or may over/underreport) as exposure measurement is done prior to outcome measurement
-Provides clear time sequence between exposure and dis-ease outcomes
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drawbacks of cohort
confounding is common
maintenance error is common because exposure is not controlled by investigators
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What is a cross sectional study
Measures dis-ease prevalence in defined groups of individuals and differences in groups Investigated associations between risk factors and dis-ease prevalence in groups
is cross sectional and observational
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adv of cross sectional study
: Cheap Quick No maintenance error
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disadv of cross sectional
Reverse causality (unclear time sequence - did exposure cause the cause or vice versa)
Confounding (allocation error) is common
Limits interpretation of cause and effect
Recruitment error can be high
Recall bias (allocation error) when asking participants to recall information about exposure, may not remember exact values or may over/underreport)
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what is an ecological study
Investigates associations between exposures and dis-ease prevalence OR incidence Investigates trends and causes of dis-ease incidence and prevalence
longitudinal or CS experimental or observational
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adv of ecological study
Useful for rare diseases
Cheaper and quicker than other studies because it uses data already collected
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disadv of ecological study
Confounding (allocation error) is VERY common because it is measurement between groups
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what are downstream determinants of health
operates at proximal (micro) level (deal as it comes)
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what are upstream determinants of health
operates at distal level (harder to change)
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What are the 3 main sections of the Dahgren and Whitehead model
Individual - age, sex, biology, behaviour risk factors and lifestyle
Community - home, workplace, education, local influences
Environment - General socioeconomic, cultural and environmental conditions & Living and working conditions
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In the rainbow mode, which level are non modifiable?
Age, sex and constitutional factors
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What is agency
the ability of a person to act independent and make choices
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What is structure
physical, social and environmental factors which affect opportunities and options which people have
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What are factors of the public health framework?
looks at max benefit for max number of people, while minimising inequities
3. Develop and test prevention strategies - Randomised control trials
4. Assure widespread adoption
5. Monitor and evaluate
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What did Lind's experiment find?
Gave sailors different treatments for scurvy and found that vitamin C helped
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What is the bradford Hill framework
Looks at causality
Not used as much anymore because we know that many things can cause a single result
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What does the bradford hill framework consist of?
Temporality
Strength of association (most prioritised)
consistency of association
biological gradient
biological plausibility
specificity (least prioritised)
reversibility
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What is temporality
Cause before disease (timeline)- therefore issue in cross-sectional study
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What is strength of association
More likely to be causal if association is strong
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What is consistency of association
Different studies show the same findings
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What is the biological gradient
Increasing exposure \= increasing rate of disease
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What is biological plausibility
The association or causal relationship can be explained in a biological sense.
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What is specificity
One cause leads to ONE single result.
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What is reversibility
Changing the exposure will result in a change in outcome
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What are components of the causal pie
1. Sufficient cause - entire pie (all factors which are sufficient enough to produce an event)
2. Component cause - one section of pie (a factor which contributes as a component towards causing disease Removal of one component cause can prevent disease
3. Necessary cause - must be present for event to happen
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What is health promotion
Focuses on determinants of wellbeing (health focused rather than disease focused)
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What is disease prevention
Focuses on a particular disease and how we can prevent it (disease focused)
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What is the Ottawa charter
Health was stressed as a fundamental right for everyone Requires both individual and collective responsibility Good health is essential for social and economic development
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what is enabling in the ottawa charter
Provide opportunities for all individuals to make healthy choices through access to information, life skills and supportive environments.
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what is advocating in the ottawa charter
To create favourable environments and focusing on achieving equity in health
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what is mediating in the ottawa charter
To facilitate and bring together groups with opposing interests to compromise and work together for health promotion
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What was the Alma Ata 1978
was a declaration for primary healthcare Protect and promote health for all Advocated a health promotion approach to primary care
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What is Te Pae Mahutonga?
Mauriora Waiora Toira Te Oranga
2 prerequisites Nga Manukura Te Mana Whakahaere
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what is the primary stage of disease prevention
Limits the disease by controlling specific causes and risk factors before biological onset of the disease
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what is the secondary stage of disease prevention
reduces the more serious consequences of disease
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what is the teritary stage of disease prevention
Reduces the progress of complications of the established disease
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what is sensitivity
the likelihood of a positive test in those who have the disease It is the ability of the test to identify those who actually have the disease from all who have the disease
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How do you calculate sensitivity?
(True positive/all with disease)*100
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what is specificty
likelihood of a negative test in those without the disease The ability of the test to identify correctly those who do not have the disease from all who do not have the disease
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how do you calculate specificity
(True negative/all without the disease)*100
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What is the positive predictive value (PPV)
Proportion who really have the disease of all people who test positive
(True positive/all who test positive)*100
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What is negative predictive value (NPV)
Proportion who are actually free from the disease of all people who test negative
(True negative/all who test negative)*100
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what is lead time bias
apparent increase in survival time due to earlier screening of disease
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What is length time bias
apparent increase in average survival time for a disease that has varying speeds of progression
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What does health protection focus on?
Focuses on environmental hazards
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What is the population based mass strategy
Focuses on whole population - addresses risk factors Improves health outcomes of everyone
Useful for common disease or widespread cause (e.g. low salt at supermarkets)
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what are advantages of a population based strategy?
Addresses underlying cause
Large benefit for whole population
Behaviourally appropriate
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what are disadvantages of population based mass strategy
Small benefits to individuals
Poor motivation of individuals as not always personally applicable
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High risk (individual) strategy
Focuses on individuals perceived as high risk
Intervention is usually well tailored to individual and their particular concerns
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What are adv of high risk individual strategy
Appropriate to individuals
Individual motivation
Cost effective use of resources
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disadv of individual based high risk strategy
Cost of screening and identifying individuals can be high
Does not address underlying problem
Behaviourally inappropriate
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3 factors for establishing population health priorities
Evidence based measures
community expectations and values
human rights and social justice
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What is population attributal risk (PAR)
Is the amount of extra disease attributal to a particular risk factor in a POPULATION
Rate will be lower than RD because denominator of PAR (population) is larger
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How do you calculate Population attributable risk (PAR)?
Calculated by PGO - CGO
PGO \= occurrence in total population (a+b)/total population
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What is socio economic position (SEP)
Are social and economic factors that influence what positions individuals are groups hold within the structure of a society.
Is a relative measure
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How can SEP be measured
Education Income Occupation Housing Assets and health
Deprivation Access to resources (e.g. how many fast food joints are near home) Income inequality Literacy rates
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What is deprivation
is a state of observable and demonstrable disadvantage relative to the local community or the wider society to which an individual or group belongs to
Measures focus on material deprivation
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what does it mean to live in poverty
Living in poverty means lack of income and resources which would normally lead to a normative living standard
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What is the social gradient
Social gradient in health refers to the relationship between inequalities in population health and inequalities in social status. ... Generally, as SES increases, health status increases.
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Why is population dada needed
To measure trends in births, mortality, morbidity (illness), and migration
To look at trends in unemployment, crime, health service utilisation, voter turnouts, educational pathways, etc
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what is the census
The census tells us who we are and where we are going as a nation, and helps our communities determine where to build everything from schools to supermarkets, and from homes to hospitals. It helps the government decide how to distribute funds and assistance to states and localities
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What is the integrated data infrastructure (IDI)
Large data repository that links de-identified data (data stripped of all 'direct identifiers) about people who have used government services
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What is a population structure
age-sex structure
events determine population structure but can also affect events
is a function of previous patterns and trends
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What is a population composition
population structure by attributes other than age and sex
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What is numerical ageing
Absolute increase in elderly population
Reflects previous demographic patterns
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what is structural ageing
Increase in the proportion of population that is elderly
Driven by decrease in fertility rates
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Natural decline of population
occurs when there are more deaths than births in a population - A combination of absolute and structural ageing - More elderly \= more deaths
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Absolute decline of the population
Occurs when there is insufficient migration to replace the lost births and increased deaths
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What is the dependency ration
Child: (0-14 years/working age)*100
Elderly: (more than 65 years/working age)*100
Total: (youth+elderly/working age)*100
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What is controlling?
reducing incidence and prevalence
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What is mitigating
avoid overwhelming health services
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what is suppressing diseases
reduce to a low level to minimise health effects
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what is eliminating
reduce to 0 in a country or region
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What is eradication?
reduce to 0 at a global level
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What is the basic reproduction number
Is the mean number of infections directly generated by 1 case in a population where all individuals are susceptible to infection
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What is the effective reproduction number
Mean number of additional infections caused by an initial infection at a specific time
If the effective reproduction is more than 1, then there is an exponential increase
Stopping an outbreak means reducing reproduction number to less than 1
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What is the social safety net
It protects vulnerable populations from pandemic infections but when vulnerable populations are instead, exposed to unintended consequences (e.g. lockdowns and economic recessions)