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Market Analysis
the study of supply and demand for a specific type of property in a specific market area.
Fundamental Market
Users of space, determines how much income a property makes
Capital investment market
Buyers and sellers of real estate assets, determines cap rate.
Marketability analysis
focuses on how one specific property is expected to perform
Compares how one particular neighborhood shopping center is expected to perform
Market analysis
Looks at how a type of property is expected to perform in a market. Measures demand and competition for neighborhood shopping centers in a specified market
Market analysis includes
supply and demand analysis and requires the appraiser to identify sources and use that to estimate current demand/supply
Inferred analysis
does not quantify characteristics, but informs us of trends
Fundamental analysis
provides quantifiable results
Highest and Best Use
The most reasonable, most probable use of a property that results in the highest value.
Physically possible
Site size, topography, shape, drainage
Legally Permissible
Zoning, building codes, long term leases, environmental regulations
Financially feasible
Is it reasonably possible for the project to be successful? Is there enough cash flow? Is there a sufficient workforce? Is there a demand for the use?
Must determine
physical and legal before considering whether the use is financially feasible
As vacant
Determines the highest and best use of a property assuming it is unimproved, evaluating its potential based purely on land value and market demand.
As improved
Considers the existing structure and assesses whether its current use is the most financially and functionally viable compared to alternatives
Land is valuable for 4 main reasons
Structure or agricultural tract, Transportation, Water storage or extraction, Minerals stored within.
What is the preferred method for land valuation?
Sales comparison approach
When choosing comps…
recent sales, location and zoning are more important than the size of the property
Market Extraction
Valuation method where land value is estimated by deducting the contributory value of the improvements from the sale price.
Market Extraction is appropriate when
the value of the improvements is relatively low as a part of the total value of the property
Market extraction formula
Sale price - Improvements = Land value
Allocation valuation method
presumes that there is a typical ratio of land value to property value for a specific categories of real estate in specific locations.
Qualities of the allocation method
Very market specific and segment specific. Requires consultation with developers and observations of patterns over time. Difficult to use to support a conclusive value opinion. More often can be an indicator of the reasonableness of a given sale price.
Land Residual analysis
valuation method used to estimate land value by determining the income a property generates and subtracting the return attributable to improvements.
What are the requirements for land residual analysis
building value, NOI for the property, and building and land capitalization rates.
steps 1 for Land residual analysis
Building value X Building Cap rate = Income to the building
steps 2 for Land residual analysis
NOI - Income to the building = Income to the Land
steps 3 for Land residual analysis
Income to the land / Land Cap rate = Land value
Sales Comparison Approach
An opinion of market value can be supported by studying the markets reaction to comparable and competitive properties
Characteristics of SCA
Appraisal principle of substitution. Best to use sold properties, rather than pending or listed properties. Useful for most appraisal situations, provided there are sufficient comparable, but most common for owner occupied properties
What makes a comp an appropriate one to use for the sales comparison approach?
Same highest and best use. Date of sale, location, and zoning are more important than size
Qualitative Adjustments
no precise number, just adjusts upward or downward effect of that element
Quantitative Adjustments
specific number assigned. Information comes from specific data analysis, market knowledge, ect.
Transactional adjustments
Real property rights conveyed, Financing terms, Conditions of sale, Expenditures made immediately after purchase, Market conditions
Property Adjustments
Location, Physical characteristics, Economic characteristics, Legal characteristics, Non-reality components of value
Adjust up if
the comp is inferior
Adjust down if
the comp is superior
Adjustments should be made based on
the likely reaction of market participants as a result of the difference
Quantitative adjustments
Paired analysis, Cost analysis, Capitalization of income differences
Paired analysis
When two properties are equivalent in all respects except one, the value of the single difference can be measured by the difference in price between the two properties.
Cost analysis
Bases adjustments on cost indicators such as depreciated building cost to cure or permit fees
The problem with cost analysis
the cost of an improvement frequently does not result in an equal increase in value and that it is too close to the cost approach
Capitalization of income differences analysis
Uses the differences in NOI to derive an adjustment
The problem with Capitalization approach
ties sales comparison approach closely to the income approach
Qualitative analysis
Used when we cant determine a precise adjustment through quantitative techniques
Relative comparison analysis
Inferior when a property has worse features and superior when a property has the better features.
market area is
a portion of a state or country, not the entire area.
Level A & B
Inferred
Level C & D
Fundamental