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game theory
analytical framework used to formally analyze strategic interaction
cooperative game theory
concerned with general group interest
non cooperative game theory
individual decision maker is only concerned about doing well for themselves
assumptions of game theory
players are rational
apply their rationality to the process of reasoning strategically
players
who faces an interesting choice
timing
are the moves simultaneous or sequential?
choices
what can a player choose?
information
what does each player know when she moves
payoffs
what motivates each player
strictly dominant strategy
payoff is strictly greater greater than any other strategy, regardless of rival’s choice
stricly dominated strategy
payoff is strictly lower than some other strategy regardless of what other player does
pareto inefficiency
no inidividual can be better off without making at least one individual worse off
si
particular strategy for player i
Si
set of possible strategies for player i
iterated elimination of strictly dominated strategies
rational players do not play strictly dominated strategies, and rationality and payoffs are common knowledge
weakly dominated strategies
strategies where another strategy always has higher or equal payoff
hotelling model
place business on space on a spectrum, all consumers will pick the business closest to themselves, best location ends up being the centerbe
best response
choosing the strategy with the highest payoff based on what the other player chooses
expected utility of a strategy
depends on predicted probability of what response the other player chooses
Nash Equilibrium
set of strategies where neither player can choose a strategy with a higher payoff, given the other player’s strategy; si* is the best choice given s-i*
nash’s theorem
for any finite game, there exists at least one nash equilibrium
motivation for nash equilibrium
no regrets (couldn’t have picked a better strategy)
self fulfilling beliefs
nash equilibrium as a rest point
in each stage, player 1 or 2 picks their best response based on the other player’s last move. the nash equilibrium is where it will stop
why is NE stronger than IESDS
NE strategies always survive IESDS, but the converse is not true
cournot model
two firms sell homogenous products; choose quantities but not prices
why can’t collusion be sustained
cheating, graph heads back to nash equilibrium
may indue other effects if you sustain profits
cournot quantity compared to perfect competition and monopoly
less than PC, more than monopoly
cournot price compared to perfect competition and monopoly
more than PC, less than monopoly
what happens to cournot model when number of firms increases?
price and output closer to PC
bertrand model
two firms sell homogenous goods, choose prices
bertrand model with differential goods
two firms selling different goods; firms set p1 and p2 simultanously
merger reasons
cost saving
improve information flow
more efficient pricing
improve services to consumers
merged firms create complimentary products
create legal cartel
horizontal merger
two firms were formerly competitors in the same product market
vertical merger
join firms at different stages in vertical production chain
conglomerate merger
firms merge without clear relationship
coordinated effects (collusion)
coordination of prices will be easier after merger
unilateral effects
less competitors, so less business stealing effects and thus increased prices
williamson trade off
trade off between efficiencies and market power
when is merger welfare improving
when merger induced cost saving is greaer than deadweight loss
efficiency defense
mergers are justified if efficiencies are enough to ensure than price does not increase
business stealing effect
firm i imposes externality on firm j for every unit of increased or decreased prices
diversion rate
the proportion of customers who would switch to a competitor's product if the merged company were to raise the price of one of its products
monopoly profit
profit of previous firms added together, but with efficiency added to cost
efficiency
added to marginal cost in merger evaluation to ensure prices don’t increase
mixed strategies
Pi, randomization over i’s pure strategies
Pi(si)
probability that Pi assigns to the pure strategy si
mixed strategy profile
(P1*, P2*,…) is a mixed strategy nash equilibrium if for each player i, Pi* is a best response to P-1*