COGNITIVE BIASES

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12 Terms

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heuristics

It is simplifying complex situations, and using the rule of the thumb to solve problems.

Mental shortcuts, and simplifying descision making.

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overconfidence bias

Over estimating ones physicals and mental capabilities that result in results far from accurate.

It includes overestimation of performance.

A new person in the gym cannot lift heavy weights.

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immediate gratification bias

It is the preference of temporary and quick benefits over long term benefits.

For example: A movie night is more rewarding that studying to graduate.

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anchoring bias

  • rely too heavily on an initial piece of information (the "anchor") when making decisions,

  • even if that anchor is irrelevant or misleading. This skews judgment and estimation.

  • If a car salesman first shows a customer a car priced at $30,000, the customer might perceive a $25,000 car as a good deal, even if $25,000 is still expensive for that model.

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Selective Perception bias

  • The tendency to perceive and interpret information in a way that

    • aligns with one's existing beliefs or expectations, ignoring contradictory data.

  • A sports fan may only notice and remember plays that favor their team while ignoring mistakes or poor plays made by the same team.

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confirmation bias

Seeking out information that reaffirms past choices and discounting contradictory information.

During hiring, a manager who believes an employee is excellent looks only for evidence supporting this view, ignoring any flaws (halo effect)

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framing bias

Selecting and highlighting certain aspects of a situation while ignoring other aspects.

The way certain information is protrayed, skews judgements.

People are more likely to choose a medical treatment described as having a "90% survival rate" than one described as having a "10% mortality rate," even though both mean the same thing.

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avaliablitiy bias

Losing decision-making objectivity by focusing on the most recent events.

Plane crashes, are not common, but recent.

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sunk cost bias

Investing time, money, and other investments in past problems where future costs outweight future benefits.

A person invested a lot in graphics course but they got a job in banking, they rejected it because of graphics investment.

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hind sight bias

The tendency to see past events as more predictable than they actually were after the outcome is known.

Some people believe that a team was to lose the match when they lose it, despite not knowing the odds, prior.

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additive bias

Using the additive or multiplication rule in certain situations where subtraction is clearly the better option. Or doing more than what is needed.

For example: Working out more, when it is necessary to take breaks.

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self serving bias

Taking quick credit for successes and blaming outside factors for failures.

Common in groups where the loss includes everyone, but the success is for themselves.