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MBB2
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One population has a lot of sample to choose from so to resolve the problem we need
a score for our one sample and that would be the mean sample then we need a distribution made up of sample means within which we could examine our one sample mean
The distribution of sample means
is made up of the sample means from all of the random samples of a certain size (n) that could possibly be obtained from a pollution
governed by a mathematical theorem the central limit theorem
Central limit theorem
tells us the precise characteristics of the distribution of any distribution of sample means of any size
mean of the distribution is the same as the population mean
For large sample sizes (30 or more), the distribution of sample means will have a normal shape
the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means which is called “Standard Error”
Standard error formula
as sample size increases standard error decreases. In turn, estimation of the population mean becomes more precise. When a sample is large enough, its mean provides a reliable estimate of the population mean
What does all this mean
if the sample is large enough the sample means will be normal
we can calculate standard error and we know what the mean of the distribution of sample means
thus, we can use our 2s rule of thumb to test if our sample mean is typical or if it is extreme