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fecundity
ability for women to have babies
crude birth rate/birth rate
# of live births per 1,000 in a population in a given year
three general profiles
rapid growth, slow growth, zero growth
rapid growth
indicated by a pyramid with a large percentage of people in the younger ages
slow growth
reflected in a pyramid with a smaller proportion of the population in the younger ages
zero growth or decline
Shown by decreasing numbers in the younger age groups
general fertility rate/ fertility rate
Number of live births per 1,000 women ages 15-49 reported during a given
age-specific fertility rate
The number of births typical for women of a specific age range in a particular population
children ever born
The number of "children ever born" at various ages of the mother provides one measure of a population's fertility
total fertility rate
The average number of children born to a woman during her childbearing years.
gross reproduction rate
the average number of daughters that would be born to a woman (or group of women) during her lifetime if she passed through her childbearing years conforming to the age-specific fertility rates of a given year
net reproduction rate
the average number of daughters that would be born to a woman (or group of women) if she passed from birth to the rest of her life conforming to the age-specific fertility and mortality rates of a given year
Child-Woman Ratio
number of children under age 5 per 1,000 women of childbearing age in a given year
replacement level fertility
the level of fertility at which women in the same cohort have exactly enough daughters (on average) to "replace" themselves in the population CURRENTLY 2.1
population momentum
the tendency of a population to continue to grow after replacement-level fertility has been achieved
birth rate for unmarried women
the number of live births by unmarried women per 1,000 unmarried women ages 15 to 49 years in a given year
percentage of births outside marriage
percentage of births outside marriage is the number of live births to unmarried women (never married, widowed, or divorced) per 100 total live births in a given year
abortion rate
the number of induced abortions per 1,000 women of reproductive age in a given year.
abortion ratio
the number of abortions per 1,000 live births in a given year.
crude death rate/ death rate
the number of deaths per 1,000 population in that population in a given year
age-specific death rate
the number of deaths for every 1,000 persons of a given age group
cause-specific death rate
number of deaths from one cause per 100,000 total deaths
infant mortality rate
number of deaths of infants under age 1 per 1,000 live births in a given year.
maternal mortality ratio
e number of women who die as a result of complications from pregnancy or childbearing in a given year per 100,000 live births in that year. Deaths due to complications from spontaneous or induced abortions are included
life expectancy
an estimate of the average number of additional years a person could expect to live if the age-specific death rates for a given year prevailed for the rest of his or her life.
marriage rate/ crude marriage rate
the number of marriages per 1,000 total population in a given year
divorce rate/ crude divorce rate
number of divorces per 1,000 population in a given year
median age at first marriage
Half the people marrying for the first time in a given year got married before the median age, half after
immigration rate
number of immigrants arriving at a destination per 1,000 population at that destination in a given year.
emigration rate
number of emigrants departing an area of origin per 1,000 population at that area of origin in a given year.
net migration rate
shows the net effect of immigration and emigration on an area's population, expressed as an increase or decrease per 1,000 population of the area in a given year
net migration
net effect of immigration and emigration on an area's population (increase or decrease) is referred to as net migration.
domestic net migration
Subnational areas, such as U.S. states, can grow or decline both by international immigration balances and by exchange of population with the remainder of the country (domestic migration).
race
not a scientific term. There are no universally accepted categories. Neither is there consensus about how many races there are or about what exactly distinguishes a race from an ethnic group
ethnicity
usually is defined by cultural practices, language, cuisine, and traditions—not by biological or physical differences.
foreign-born population
represents people born outside the borders or territories of a country.
average household size
average number of people in a household
DINKS
double income no kids
urban
consist of those living in towns and cities of a few thousand or more, especially if the population of such areas is largely nonagricultural
percent urban
The population living in urban areas can be expressed as a percentage of the area's total population and is a measure of urbanization.
metropolitan area
a large concentration of population, often an area with a population of about 100,000 or more people with an important city at its core, plus suburban and "exurban" areas that surround the city and are socially and economically integrated with it
population density
expressed as the number of people per square kilometer or square mile of area.
balancing equation
The most basic method of calculating numerical population change over time is the "balancing equation," shown below.
P1 + (B - D) + (I - E) = P2
Where P2 is the population at the later date and P1 is the population at the earlier date; B is births and D is deaths between the two dates; and I is immigration (or in-migration) and E is emigration (or outmigration) between the two dates.
natural increase
Natural increase is the surplus (or deficit) of births over deaths in a population in a given time period.
NI = B - D
Where NI is the natural increase during a period; B is the number of births; and D is the number of deaths during that period.
rate of natural increase
the rate at which a population is increasing (or decreasing) in a given year due to a surplus (or deficit) of births over deaths, expressed as a percentage of the base population
growth rate
the rate at which a population is increasing (or decreasing) in a given year due to natural increase and net migration, expressed as a percentage of the base population
doubling time
A more vivid way of showing population growth is to calculate how long, at its current growth rate, a population would take to double in size
demographic transition
refers to the change that populations undergo from high rates of births and deaths to low rates of births and deaths.
brain drain
scientists, engineers (brilliant minds) migrate to another country, the nation they are leaving experiences economic and scientific loss
projected world population distribution
regions that posses the majority of the worlds population (due to higher fertility rates)
age structure
The proportion of the total population in each age group
age dependency ratio
Number of people who are over 65 and under 15, relative to the people in between who are seen as economically productive
universal declaration of human rights
people can marry, have kids, those kids have rights, people have duties to community, people have rights to security of means out of their control (medical, financial, housing)
biological determinants of fertility
age, health, environment
social determinants of fertility
marriage, contraception, abortion
economic determinants of fertility
value and cost of children
FP=SP+B-D+I-O
FP= final population
B= births
D= deaths
I= in-immigration
O=out-immigration
SP= starting population
three orientations
Malthus, Boserup, Marx
Malthus
an English economist and demographer; all biological populations have a potential for increase that exceeds the actual rate of increase, and the resources for the support of increase are limited
Boserup
human growth stimulates agricultural intensification (Malthus upside-down)
Marx
Marx believed that poor economies (capitalism) were the cause of growing populations. Unequal distribution of resources within capitalistic societies led to population growth issues. Overpopulation is a natural feature of capitalism. CAPITALISM IS BAD
population and food
1. population increase
2. increase demand for food
3. agricultural productivity improved
4. more food produced
5. population growth continues
Rostow's Stages of Economic Growth
1. traditional society (low tech, primitive)
2. pre conditions for take off (capital mobilization, limited manufacturing)
3. take off (transitional economy)
4. drive to maturity (economy diversifies, poverty drops)
5. age of high mass consumption (choices about where/how to allocate surplus wealth)
Wattenberg
Claims there is a current global free fall in fertility rates due to nations modernizing and having less children. Promotes increased population growth and higher fertility rates. Bases majority of argument from rates (low variant projection).
Hill
Does not agree that population is declining, rather it is growing faster than ever. Uses absolute figures more so than rates. "The population explosion is still with us. Population issues in the market economies are different from those in Africa. Policy responses should be different too."
Harvey
Whenever we talk about in pop and geo there are social orders to consider
Whenever a theory of overpopulation takes hold, subservient class suffers (repression materially, socially, politically, etc.)
We blame subservient class for the problems and the upper class continues on from a distance- detaching themselves
Halfon
US Population Policy
Emphasis on international population policy
Population and environment is a discourse
Does anyone win?
kravinsky
Moral obligation to do whatever is possible to save lives
If you don't do something to help you are actively killing that person (kidney donation example)
singer
If it is in our power to prevent something bad from happening (without immense sacrifice), we ought to morally do so
Can't make the assumption others will help when you're right there and are fully capable
Absolute poverty is bad and we can prevent some/most of it
Moral worldview
hardin
"Lifeboat Ethics," Neo-in ian
Tragedy of the Commons- against a common system (the world bank), because if people take what they want, the system will fail
"Burden of the cows", where each individually-owned "cow" is put on a shared plot of land
Less developed countries will just keep relying on more developed countries
Cannot safely divide the wealth equitably among people so long as people reproduce at different rates (Neo Malthusianism)
Consequence world view
Hardin's Principles: Complete justice, complete catastrophe, eugenisitic ideals, WE VS. THEY
Erlich
The Population Bomb- population control is needed
Pro helping the people and less developed populations who struggle the most
Overpopulation effects are from all of us and everyone has to act on this together.
epidemiological transition
Age of Pestilence and Famine (Life Exp=20-40)
Where mortality is high and fluctuating, precluding sustained population growth, with low and variable life expectancy
Age of Receding Pandemics (Life Exp=30-50)
Where mortality progressively declines, with the rate of decline accelerating as epidemic peaks decrease in frequency — population growth is sustained and begin to be exponential
Age of Degenerative and Man-made Diseases (Life Exp=50+)
Mortality continues to decline and eventually approaches stability at a relatively low level
gag rule
Decided if abortion-supporting groups or countries receive funding from the government- reagan