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What is the rational approach to decision making
Calculating probabilities
What are two components to measure the standards of rationality
Sensitivity to relevant information
Ability to make judgement’s and decision that are sensitive to probabilities of critical events and usefulness of evidence
Consistency
In equivalent situations, given the same information, people should make equivalent decisions
Framing and Decisions: The Disease Problem (Tversky & Kahneman)
Imagine US preparing for disease that will kill 600 people
Program A
200 people will be saved
Program B
1/3 chance 600 people will be saved, 2/3 probability 600 people will die
Program C
400 people will die
Program D
1/3 chance nobody will die, 2/3 chance 600 people will die
Condition 1
Majority (72%) chose Program A over B
Condition 2
Majority (78%) chose Program D over C
What is the rationale behind the Disease Problem
Preference Reversal
People prefer the certain options when framed in ‘lives saved’, and uncertain option when framed in ‘lives lost’
Regardless of logical probability
Framing and Product Evaluation: Levin & Gaeth (1988)
P’s evaluate ground beef that was either labelled “75% lean” or “25% fat”
Some given label only, label after tasting beef, label before tasting beef
Results
Rated worse with negative framing, tasting and label reduces this effect but is still present
No order effect (taste than label vs. label than taste)
The effect of a Reference Point: McKenzie & Nelson (2003)
Asked to either imagine a full cup that becomes half full, or an empty cup that becomes half full
Will P’s describe cup as ‘Half-empty’ or ‘Half'-full’
Scenario A (full —> half)
31% selected ‘half-full’
Scenario B (empty —> half)
88% selected ‘half-full’
Conversational Implicatures
Things that are implied by what someone says, but are not explicitly stated
What are Grice’s maxims
Grice’s say conversations as people working together (cooperative) under 4 evaluations
Relevant
Concise
Honest
Clear
People use these assumptions to make inferences about the broader context and meaning of what people say
What is ‘Information Leakage’
When someone chooses one frame versus another, the speaker is ‘leaking’ information about their reference point without explicitly referencing it
What frame do people tend to chose in relation to the reference point of the current situation
The attribute that has increased from the reference point
i.e. glass half full from being full = increasingly empty
Framing and ‘Information Leakage’: Glass half-full (Sher & McKenzie., 2006)
P’s sat at desk with one empty cup and one full
Asked to fill one of the cups so it is half-full OR half-empty
Half-full condition
46% gave the initially-full glass
Half-empty condition
69% gave the initially-full glass
What makes studying rationality very difficult
Unknown reference points and implicatures
Don’t necessarily know how P’s understand a question
Stereotypes: Subject Complement Framing (Chestnut & Markman., 2018)
Phrases thought to promote equality may actually be perpetuating these stereotypes
i.e. ‘Girls do as well as boys at Maths’
Leads to judgment of higher ability in the reference gender
Get rid of this by saying ‘Girls and boys do equally well at maths’