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Polish community UK
27500 came to uk during ww2, 30% of people speak English there
Uk had 4x higher incomes, $6.8 billion sent back in remittances to Poland
Poland and uk engage in 30bn of trade, and poles contribute 2.5bn to the economy yearly
But over 50% of urban towns in Poland are declining, in 2020 fastest declining eu country
US Mexico Migration
23% of all us migrants are Mexican, 10,000 try to smuggle themselves across the border weekly, 1/3 are caught and the majority try again within a year
Migrants in average only send 15% of their incomes back to their home country
Hispanic owned businesses generate over $800 billion in revenue
The US sent $63 billion in remittances back to Mexico
30% of us farm workers born in Mexico
2019 El Paso shorting, perpetrator said it was due to anti Mexican
Immigrant communities contribute more in taxes than consume in services
47% of Americans view migration as a ‘critical threat’
Syrian refugees crisis
8 million Syrian refugees, in Lebanon, 90% of Syrian refugees live in poverty, and 92% work informally, they cost the government $900 million annually, or 5% of their GDP. Mountainous border is extremely difficult to control
8.8% of healthcare in Jordan is consumed by Syrians, and class sizes have increased
In the Anatolia region, turkey, there has been a 16% wage reduction
However, in Germany, 75k refugees were nationalised as German citizens, 50% of those which arrived between 2015 and 2017 have a uni degree, however 67% rely on welfare, and 200,000 Syrians in school
Actions to tackle the refugee crisis
$200 million in cash provided by UNHCR, and provision of primary healthcare to 4 million, however high inflation means the value of the cash fell and high demand outstrips supply
Over 2 million Syrian children remain out of school
Powerlessness of states to regulate their borders
DRC ranks 164th for corruption, over 120 armed groups, ADF is responsive for 1200 deaths, has got 10k of borders but only 14k soldiers. Trying to relist ex combatants - but many join such as adf
90% of drcs gold production was smuggled out, $500 million’s worth
Key areas like beni have been protected, demobilised 15,000 combatants
Tracking resources like tin, 90% tracked
2.2bn in requested aid, only 47% funded
Recently made a ceasefire with Rwanda over m23, but accusations of Rwanda backing persist
China rural to urban migration
Early-pre 2000s, over 300million
Urban wages 3x that of rural areas, industrialisation of shenzen created millions of jobs, $50 billion in remittances.
Economy grew 6x, 70% of construction jobs from rural migrants, but 150migranrs lacked proper housing
20milljon children left behind in rural areas without daily parental care
Shenzen population x100, overcrowding and traffic
Shenzen saw a 15x increase in wages, rural areas grew 8% GDP
2.2.6
Un defines eezs
NATO ensures marine security among its members, 162 piracy reports in 2019
Unclos 1982 - establishes clear maritime borders, reducing conflicts, 200 nautical miles, 165 countries have ratified it
Emerging issues like deep sea mining will have to be revamped
Choke points
Suez Canal, 2021, 6 day blockage, $10 billion daily in delayed goods, India saw oil price rise, 5% global oil price rise temporarily, India lost $30 million in oil, over 30,000m3 of sand were dredged, plans to widen canal been mooted, ikea had shortages all over Europe
60% of chinas oil goes through malacca strait, US maintains military presence nearby, deters conflict, but china is creating pipelines through Myanmar and investing in ports in the Indian Ocean
EEZs
Due to its previous colonialism, uk had the 5th largest EEZ, Falkland Islands has billions in oil reserves, 900 dead in war, fishing in the falklands eez alone $150 million, supported by the UK
Comminwealth is 1/3 of the total population, India uk trade over £36bn, Aussie uk free trade agreement, 1.8 million Indians in UK, BBC broadcasts to 280 million people, in many different languages, highlighting soft power, for which the uk ranks 3rd
2.2.7
90% of global trade done by sea,
Maroon limited sulfur content down in fuel to 0.5%, 1978, 77% decrease in sulfur oxide emissions, 600 ships don’t comply, shipping emits 3% of global co2, want it to be net zero by 2050
Illegal crossings
67,000 illegal crossings 2024, over 20,000 dead in decade
$5 billion smuggling industry, eu offered to curb migration by offering $1 billion to Tunisia, leading to a 50% reduction in smuggling through this route
Eu has made thousands of arrests
Cables etc
Global internet traffic grew 30x since 2010
Cables carry over 99% of intercontinental data traffic
New cables being put in to avoid politically unstable routes such as the Red Sea
2006 hengchung earthquake severed 9 cables, Taiwan lost $1 billion
Fishing and anchoring accounts for 70% of sea cable faults
Antarctic resources
During Cold War, oil barrels discovered in Antarctica, 1991 Madrid protocols ban all resource extraction
China and Russia will push for the ban to be lifted 2048, 500 billion barrels of oil discovered, 100 trillion cubic feet in natural gas
Estimated to be trillions in krill, 400 million tonnes of krill
Chinese bases in Antarctica seem to be too well equipped for a base just to survey the environment
NATO warns undersea cables here are under threat, Antarctica is untouched currently - perfect for research
Indigenous
Inuit - arctic indigenous, for oil and gas extraction, reindeer hunting routes cut, heavy pollution, no consultation
Heiltsuk - Canada, for 14,000 they sustainably managed the ecosystem, Canada implemented a 2T herring spawn quota, too much, heiltsuk protested peacefully, Stanford study also showed this to be bad, In 2017, they signed a co-agreement with the Canadian government for joint management of resources
Oil spill in 2016, a sacred food source was destroyed, heiltsuk sues, further oil tanker expansion there stopped, clam fishing there shut down
Illegal unreported fishing is 20% of all fishing, costing $26 billion annually
1992 Atlantic cod stock collapse
Complete moratorium of fishing, cod overfished, fish catch fell from 800,009 to 200,000 tonnes annually, eez 1977 implemented
30k people lost jobs overnight, 300 rural villages and towns became ghost towns, found higher paying jobs in oil, small fishing areas lost ½ their populations,
GDP loss of $500 million. Yearly, even now the cod stock is at a critical level as shellfish dominate
Environment ocean
Over 150,000 tons plastic enter the ocean annually
Oil spillages at 7 a year, down from 80, up from 6 last year
Exxon Valdez, spilt 11 million barrels of oil, led to double tankers, killer whale population down 33% still hasn’t come back up, 1990 double hull tankers in place, took until 2015 to phase out single hull tankers, $1.5 billion in clean up costs, still isn’t fixed. Booms were used to collect oil, only 14% collected
Container shipping rises nearly 3% yearly, 250 million migrants
Internet
Over half the population online, $150 trillion in cross border payments, global e commerce over 6-trillion, 97% of small businesses export to another country of those businesses which are online, only 5% of offline ones. 200 million educated online