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ethical egoist argument
We have no ethical duties to to other people at all
Humans are naturally selfish and self-interested; we can only care about ourselves; we have no reason to protect the environment aside from personal gain
against ethical egoists
people can care about one another, because most people do
there wont be future generations argument
christian end times belief
arguments against mitigating climate change for future generations’ sake (5)
ethical egoists
there won’t be future generations
the non-existence argument
the ignorance argument
the different people argument
arguments against “there won’t be future genations”
People have been wrong in the past
Stewardship
The non-existence argument
Future generations have no moral rights because they do not yet exist
Something can only have qualities/properties if it exists
against the non-existence argument (3)
Fallacious argument; rests on the false picture of how moral responsibilities are grounded
One way a moral duty can be generated by being connected to rights, but not every moral duty has a corresponding right
ex. The red cross doesn’t have a right to your money, even if you have the moral duty to donate
Kant “imperfect duties”
duties that can be fulfilled in many ways
the ignorance argument (2)
We know nothing about these people, and therefore do not know if our sacrifices for their benefit will actually benefit them
Ex. new technologies might make seawalls and electric cars obsolete and a waste of time (maybe different technology, major events, population change)
against the ignorance argument (3)
Not all future generations are remote generations - we know the basics of what they will want
New technologies will not just appear - they need to be worked toward
Time has no ethical relevance if you respect humanity (precautionary principle)
Precautionary principle
When an activity raises threats of harm to human health or the environment, precautionary measures should be taken even if some cause and effect relationship are not fully established scientifically
The different people argument (who and what)
Derek Parfit
Lot of big things humans do change the course of history, but those effected have no right to blame those who affected change; The people impacted would not have excised had the historical event not ˇtaken place - they are not worse off than having not been born
against the different people argument (4)
Not true that all people impacted by historical events would not have been born without it
Only applies to major historical events
Again, many sources of moral pull other than moral rights - people today have a duty to not cause suffering
Retroactive justification - assumes that this will happen
1983 nuclear war scare operator
Petrov
What We Owe the Future: In Conversation with William MacAskill argument
Numbers of future populations will exceed past and present combined, so their moral wieght is higher than ours
luck to be born now
long term-ism
Applies not only to environmental issues, but also global collapse and values of civilization
long-termism
we have an obligation to people far removed from us into the future (ex. not only your grandchildren)
catalogue of jobs that make a difference, related resources
80,000 hours
upsides to large populations (3)
Increased economic activity
many young workers paying taxes (some of which goes to taking care of the elderly)
Greater chance of geniuses/remarkable people
large population downsides
Crowding, particularly in cities
Toll on the planet - nearly all environmental problems are linked to population, though some contribute disproportionately
Risk of catastrophe due to non-exponential food supply growth and climate change
thomas Malthus
“Risk of catastrophe”
Population growth grows geometrically (2, 4, 8, 16), which food supply increases arithmetically (1,2,3,4)
Either more deaths, of less births (claims will not happen because of “the passion between the sexes” is a biological constant)
solutions to overpopulation
Demographic transition - assistance for family planning in poor, high-fertility countries via support in modernization (gender equality, universal education, old-age insurance, etc.)
consumption
Particularly in affluent industrialized nations, the buying or using of goods and services in the economy, usually in ways that reduce those goods or services, or make them unavailable or less available to others
Why do people consume so much in america
they can
america in particular -
a magnet for those seeking material prosperity
Corporations (which spend ridiculous amounts on advertising) dominate american life
Many super-rich individuals
Belief that money can buy happiness
Income inequality - Income inequality
Ecological conversion
pope francis, substantially correlating production and consumption in rich countries, lead lower-consumption live (including christian values like unselfishness, temperance, generosity, contemplativeness, and other worldliness)
Practicalities that prevent lowering one’s consumption
Travel for work, physical location preventing changes, etc.
Significant personal sacrifice
Instead, consider donations, buying carbon offsets, volunteer work, voting, etc.
what if everyone decreased consumption at once?
68% of the american economy is based on consumer spending
Unemployment, bankruptcy, homelessness, government spending decreases, tourism decrease, crime rates rise, ultimate economic depression
Must be planned carefully and have a safety net
does wealth make us happy?
Jump from lower to middle increases happiness, middle to upper is slower
Julina Simon - Irreplaceable Economist, Irreplaceable Man thesis
Were not running out of resources, we have scarcity
increasing population is a sign that the problem has been solved, and creates more einsteins
free market capitalism will always respond to the population
(revisit card)
according to simon, why is scarcity positive
resources are actually infinite
Better off for having faced scarcity, because we solved the problem
according to simon, what is the real “population problem”
Children are costly to parents, and their economic contributions come later in life, and not to parents
Simon’s bet with Ehrrlich
over inflation, which E predicts will rise
only economic reasoning and evidence (not gut feelings and guesses) can predict the future
Ehrrlich’s book
the population bomb
resources vs conditions
how long does the typical mammal species live for? what does this mean for human population?
1 million years; 95% yet to be born
how do we know what cause to focus on?
Significance
Persistence
Contingency (likelihood/inevitability)
democracy vs free market
Democracy - a person-run system of government
Free market capitalism - an economic system shaped by people, not government (private ownership)
No incentive to worry about externalities
short-term
greenwashing
Most consumers are not particular
The role of the company is to subdue, not solve the problems of, the consumer
Paris Agreement (2015) emissions goal and cut (2)
keep increase in average global temperatures to 1.5 degrees above pre industrial levels
Cut emissions by 45% by 2030, and reach net-zero by 2050
why have emissions risen since the paris climate agreement?
Cost
implementation
political obstacles (ex. infusions of aid)
10 countries emit ___% of all greenhouse gasses
80
Techno-fix/climate optimists/geoengineering examples (5)
fertilizing ocean with iron to spur phytoplankton growth
planting billions of trees
vast plantations of carbon-sucking machines
capturing and burying emissions
huge mirrors to deflect sunlight
injecting sulfur into upper atmosphere pros (4)
Already have materials
Cost-effective
Happens naturally with volcanoes
More predictable impacts
Reflects a small amount of sunlight
injecting sulfur into upper atmosphere cons (6)
“Bleach” the sky - turn it white-ish
May harm the ozone layer
Some parts of the world would benefit, some would be harmed (ex. Droughts and hurricanes, crop adaptation) - tensions
If there is a malfunction, rapid heating
Does not address other effects of climate change (ex. Ocean acidification)
Reckless and arrogant, no consequences and encourages unsustainable practices
why are climate ethics difficult? (3)
Challenging because it involves anonymous, far-off (in time and space) individuals whom we harm through seemingly innocuous acts
Who should bear the brunt of the cost, and why?
Rich, industrialized
Reap rewards, high past emissions, face least consequences, can afford
how to fairly allocate remaining emissions (3)
Quotas to discourage free-riders and encourage fairness
Equal per capita
Equal on all countries
Subsistence emissions
Equal per capita emissions reasoning
Differing energy needs, especially for the economy
Equal on all countries emissions
Great advantage to wealthy countries (revisit)
subsistence emissions (how they work, cons)
Minimal quality of life
unclear
What happens to the non-subsistence emissions
how can allocating emissions not work?
Enforceable sanctions against those who fail or drop out
Klein
Economic and political systems at war with climate
While wealthy corporations control the government, not effective change can be made
Genuine self-government that prioritizes people and the planet above money
David Brooks on reading
Americans are losing their ability to reason
literacy and math declining for decades
achievement gap between the top and bottom scorers increasing; top not falling
Blames social media
leading to cultural change
disengaging from the whole idea of mental effort and mental training
Low attendance
Donald Trump’s tariff policy