US Voting Intention

Factors include: Gerrymandering, Race, Religon, Education, Gender, Incumbency

In every election since, …. women have voted more than men

1980

What was the nation-wide incumbency rate in 2024?

95%

According to Yale in 2023, Race accounted for __% of voting intention, which was far greater than other factors such as geography (__%)

• 60%

• 30%

In 2022, whites had a higher turnout than other races in every state other than ____

Hawaii

The hispanic community is divided, with _____ being more anti-communist and more republican, and ____ more pro democratic.

• cubans

• Mexicans

In 2024, there was a record __% gender gap, which widened to __% with young people, with young men swinging the victory to Trump.

• 16%

• 31%

In 2016, Clinton won women by __%, but alienated some male voters with her female-focused campaign

12%

In 2024, __% of jewish voters voted for Harris, an increase from 2020

78%

In 2020, Catholics were only _% more likely to vote for Trump, than Biden, a practicing catholic. However in 2024, this increased by 5%

1%

with only _% of the US atheist, religion plays an important role in deciding voting for parties with specific views on moral issues such as abortion, euthanasia and gay marriage.

3%

White evangelical christians are __% likely to vote Trump, and while only __% of the population, they significantly contribute to the alt-right and in donations.

• 85%

• 13%

__% of mormons support the Republicans, but they only are 2% of the nation

75%

How many women voted for Trump in 2016?

41%

Biden’s lead with women

15%

Harris’ lead with women

10%

voter turnout 2024

63%

voter turnout 2016

66%

how much would universal voter registration increase turnout by?

8-10%

turnout of the poorest 20%

less than 40%

What proportion of black voters supported Harris?

80%

How much of the pop is black?

14%

In 2008, __% of black voters chose Obama, and while this fell slightly to __% in 2012, it was still highly significant

• 95%

• 93%

In 2020, people of faith had lower turnout, with only __% saying they were likely to vote.

51%

Both ___ and ______ have been divided into __ congressional republican majority districts?

• SLC

• Nashville

• 3

What is the ‘ear-muff district’ connecting two strips of Latino communities?

Illinois 4th District

How many US States have their electoral boundaries drawn by independent commissions?

21

Which demographic is most in favour of immigration reform?

African Americans

White protestants were __% more likely to vote Trump than Biden in 2020 than black protestants, showing race is more important than religion.

35%

What proportion of white evangelical christians voted for Trump in 2016?

80%

what proportion of voters who earned under $50,000 voted for Biden?

57%

What proportion of voters that earned over $100,000 voted for Trump

54%