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Pharmaccepidemology
The study of the use and the effects of drugs in large numbers of people
Core function of Public Health
To study what is affecting the population
Epidemiology
Study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human populations and the application of this study to control health problems
What are the basic principles of epidemiology
Assumes disease does NOT occur at random
If causes can be identified, disease may be prevented
Epidemiology is describes disease in what 3 terms
Time
Place
Person
What is a Fixed population
Membership is permanent and defined by an event
What is a Dynamic Population
Membership is transient (temporary) and defined by being in or out of membership (an individual is either part of the group or not)
Life expectancy
the average number of years that a person can expect to live at a given age, usually birth, based on current death rates
Life expectancy is related to _____
Infant Mortality
Infant mortality is related to _____
Life expectancy
A high infant mortality will….
result in LOW life expectancy from birth
Compared to females, men have a higher or lower life expectancy
Lower
The leading causes of death in the US are:
Heart Disease
Cancer
Accidents (unintentional diseases)
The states report deaths to
The National Vital Statistics System
Measures of disease frequency should take into account
Number of individuals affected with the disease
Size of source population
Length of time the population was followed
Why do we use mathematical parameters
To relate the number of cases of
Disease
The size of population
Time
Need to specify if measures represents event or people
Ratio
division of one number by another number. THEY DO NOT HAVE TO BE RELATED
Proportion
Numerator is subset of denominator, expressed as a percentage
Rate
Time is an intrinsic part of denominator
Prevalence
measures the number of cases of a disease already present in a population
Point Prevalence
number of ppl who have the disease of interest at a single point in time divided by the number of people in the population at that specific time
Period Prevalence (textbook)
the number of persons who have the disease at any point during a period of time divided by the number of persons in the population during that period of time
Period Prevalence includes
both existing cases at the start and new cases that develop during the period. (this was from chat)
Incidence
Quantifies number of NEW cases of disease that develop in population at risk during a specified time period
What are the three key concepts of incidence?
1⃣ New disease events (first occurrence of disease)
2⃣ Population at risk (must be able to develop the disease) and can’t already have the disease
3⃣ Time must pass for someone to move from healthy to diseased
What does cumulative incidence measure
The proportion of a population at risk that develops a disease over a specified time period.
How do you calculate cumulative incidence?
# of new cases divided by number of persons at risk in population
What are the key characteristics of cumulative incidence?
1⃣ Measures new cases in a population at risk
2⃣ Reported as a proportion (no units)
3⃣ Requires a specified time period
4. all individuals are followed for the same length of time
What are the key assumptions of cumulative incidence?
1⃣ The entire population is followed for the entire follow-up period.
2⃣ Everyone at risk is monitored until disease occurs or the study ends.
3⃣ No one is lost to follow-up.
Incidence rates do not _______ of complete follow up
make assumption
Incidence rates account for varying follow-up times in a study population by using person-time
What does incidence rate measure
The rate at which new cases occur in a population at risk, accounting for person-time of observation
How do you calculate incidence rate?
# of new cases divided by person-time of observation among those at risk
Prevalence and Incidence: The Sink Analogy
Incidence = The flow of water from the faucet (new cases of disease entering the population).
Prevalence = The amount of water in the sink (total number of cases at a given time).
Draining water = Recovery or death, which removes cases from prevalence.
What factors increase prevalence rates?
Increased incidence (more new cases)
Lower mortality (fewer deaths due to disease)
New treatments that prolong life but do not cure the disease
What Decreases Prevalence?
Lower incidence (fewer new cases)
Higher cure rates (more people recovering from the disease)
How do chronic and acute diseases affect prevalence?
Chronic diseases (e.g., diabetes) → Higher prevalence because people live with them longer
Acute diseases (e.g., flu) → Lower prevalence because they resolve quickly
Why does Ebola typically have a low prevalence despite outbreaks?
High mortality rate (infected individuals die quickly)
Short disease duration (patients recover or die within weeks)
Rapid containment efforts reduce the number of active cases
What is the mortality rate?
The total number of deaths from all causes in a population, usually expressed per 1,000, 10,000, or 100,000 people per year.
Variants of mortality rate
✔ Cause-specific (e.g., cancer mortality rate)
✔ Age-specific (e.g., child mortality rate)
✔ Race-specific
How is the infant mortality rate calculated?
total number of deaths of infants less than 1 year of age, calculated per 1,000 live births
Infant mortality rate is typically expressed for a ____________
1-year period
What does disease rate measure?
The number of existing or new cases of a disease in a population.
Can be expressed as incidence or prevalence
Varies based on time period and population size
What is attack rate and when is it used?
cumulative incidence
Measures new cases in a defined, short period among a healthy population at risk
What is survival rate?
The number of living cases per number of cases of disease after a given time.
1. What is the relationship between disease incidence and prevalence? Give two examples of uses of incidence and prevalence measures in pharmacoepidemiology.
Incidence represents new cases of a disease within a population over a specific time, while prevalence reflects the total number of existing cases at a given point in time.
Prevalence helps estimate the burden of chronic diseases and the need for healthcare resources (e.g., cancer treatment centers).
Incidence is used to study the effectiveness of prevention programs, such as diabetes management education
2. What is the best measure to estimate the rapidity with which new cases of H1N1 influenza occur among students on a college campus?
The incidence rate (number of new cases per person-time) is the best measure, as it captures the speed of transmission within a population
What is the best mortality measure to estimate the likelihood of death for patients diagnosed with breast cancer?
Survival Rate (percentage of patients surviving five years post-diagnosis)
Briefly describe the main similarities and differences between each of the following:
Incidence and prevalence
Cumulative incidence and incidence rate
Incidence vs. Prevalence: Incidence tracks new cases, while prevalence measures total cases at a given time.
Cumulative Incidence vs. Incidence Rate: Cumulative incidence assumes a closed population, while incidence rate accounts for varying follow-up times.
Clinical Trials
A research study that investigates medical, surgical, or behavioral interventions in human participants
Goal of clinical trials
to evaluate the safety, efficacy, and outcomes of treatments, medications, or procedures
Purpose of clinical trials
Develop new treatments for diseases
Determine the safety and side effects of new interventions
Compare a new treatment against standard care or a placebo
Identify the best dosage for effectiveness with minimal side effects
Primary Prevention Goal
Decrease new cases of disease (before exposure)
Why use primary prevention (rationale)
Decrease exposure rates can decrease new cases
Primary Prevention Approach
Remove or decrease risk source, pre-exposure prophylaxis
Primary Prevention Population
Those without diagnosed disease
Primary Prevention Examples
Vaccinations
Health education programs
Environmental sanitation
Use of insecticide-treated bed nets to prevent malaria
PREP for HIV
Contraceptives (not a disease)
Secondary Prevention Goal
Decrease new cases of disease (after exposure), decrease disease severity
Usually asymptomatic
Secondary Prevention Rationale
Decrease progression to severe disease, decrease morbidity and mortality
Secondary Prevention Approach
Screening, post-exposure prophylaxis, treatment to decrease impact/reverse disease course
Secondary Prevention Population
Those with diagnosed disease
Secondary Prevention Examples
Mammograms to detect breast cancer early
Daily low-dose aspirin to prevent further heart attacks
Screening for high blood pressure
Post-exposure prophylaxis for HIV
Regular blood sugar monitoring for diabetes
Tertiary Prevention Goal
Decrease complications, deaths
Tertiary Prevention Rationale
Decrease disease severity and increase recovery, decrease deaths/complications
Tertiary Prevention Approach
Treatment tailored to patient, therapeutic intervention
Tertiary Prevention Population
Those with diagnosed disease
Tertiary Prevention Examples
Cardiac or stroke rehabilitation programs
Chronic disease management programs (e.g., for diabetes, arthritis, depression)
Support groups for chronic conditions
Vocational rehabilitation programs
Physical therapy for injury recovery
Parallel Group Design
randomized controlled trial where participants are divided into different groups, each receiving a different treatment
What does Randomized mean
participants are randomly assigned to treatment or control groups
What are fixed treatment groups
participants stay in their designed group for the entire study
What happens at the end of a Parallel Group Design study
Comparison: at the end of the study, outcomes are compared between groups to determine efficacy and safety
How was the parallel group design used in COVID-19 vaccine trials?
Participants were randomly assigned to either receive the vaccine or a placebo, and infection rates were compared between groups
What did the Placebo Group receive in the COVID-19 parallel group study?
A saline injection
What was the objective of the ALLHAT trial?
To compare the efficacy of different blood pressure medications in preventing heart attacks and strokes
How were participants assigned in the ALLHAT trial?
They were randomly assigned to one of four treatment groups.
What medication did Group 4 receive in the ALLHAT trial, and what happened to it?
Doxazosin (alpha-blocker); this group was stopped early due to poor results.
What was the key finding of the ALLHAT trial?
Diuretics (chlorthalidone) were the most effective at preventing heart attacks and strokes
Crossover Design
a crossover trial is a type of clinical trial where participants receive multiple treatments in a sequential order, rather than being assigned to only one treatment group
How does a crossover design reduce variability?
Each participant serves as their own control, minimizing differences between groups.
How do you minimize bias in a cross over design
Treatment order is randomized
What is required before treatments to prevent carryover effects
washout period
Who needs more participants, Crossover Design or parallel-group trials
Crossover design and it makes it more efficient
Why was the migraine treatment trial a crossover design?
Each participant received both sumatriptan and a placebo during different migraine attacks, allowing them to serve as their own control and reducing variability.
How were participants assigned to treatments?
Patients were randomly assigned to receive sumatriptan (6 mg or 8 mg) or placebo during a migraine attack, with treatment order randomized.
Why is a washout period important in a crossover trial?
It prevents carryover effects from the first treatment before the second treatment is administered
What is a factorial design in clinical trials?
study design that evaluates the effects of multiple interventions simultaneously by testing different combinations within a single trial.
Why is factorial design efficient?
It allows researchers to assess multiple treatments and their interactions without conducting separate trials.
What are the key features of factorial design?
Multiple Interventions: Tests two or more treatments at the same time.
Combination Testing: Evaluates treatments alone and in combination.
Interaction Analysis: Detects if combined treatments have different effects than expected.
How are participants assigned in a 2x2 factorial design?
Participants are randomly assigned to one of four groups:
Group 1: Treatment A only
Group 2: Treatment B only
Group 3: Both Treatments A and B
Group 4: Control (Neither treatment)
What does a 2x2 factorial design allow researchers to analyze?
The effect of Treatment A alone
The effect of Treatment B alone
The effect of both treatments combined
Whether the treatments interact in unexpected ways
What was the objective of the ISIS-2 trial?
To assess the effects of aspirin and streptokinase on mortality in patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction
What type of study design was used in the ISIS-2 trial?
A 2×2 factorial design clinical trial
How were participants randomized in the ISIS-2 trial?
Patients were randomly assigned to one of four groups:
Aspirin only
Streptokinase only
Both aspirin and streptokinase
Neither (control group)
What were the key benefits of using a factorial design in the ISIS-2 trial?
Allowed evaluation of two treatments simultaneously
Assessed the individual effects of aspirin and streptokinase
Determined whether the combination had an additive effect on reducing mortality
What is the definition of clinical trial conduct?
Clinical trials follow a structured process to ensure
scientific validity
participant safety
regulatory compliance
What is the first step in conducting a clinical trial?
Protocol Development – Defines
objectives
methodology
outcomes
What regulatory approvals are required before a clinical trial begins?
Approval from the
FDA (Food and Drug Administration)
IRB (Institutional Review Board).
Why is site selection and investigator recruitment important?
It ensures that the trial is conducted at
appropriate locations
qualified researchers.
What happens during participant recruitment and screening?
Eligible participants are identified and enrolled based on inclusion and exclusion criteria.
What occurs during trial execution and data collection?
Participants follow the intervention plan
Researchers collect data on efficacy and safety.
Why is monitoring and safety reporting essential in clinical trials?
To ensure participant safety, track adverse events, and maintain compliance with protocols.