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Aims of a regulator
GRIP
Give confidence
Reduce financial crime
Inefficiencies corrected
Protect consumers
Functions of a regulator
SERVICE
Setting sanctions
Enforcement
Review and influence policies
Vetting and registering individuals and businesses
Investigate breach
Checking for prudential management and conduct of providers
Education
External environmental factors
PESTLE CS BATS
Political
Economic
Social
Technological
Legislative and regulatory constraints
Environment
Demographic trends
Corporate structure
Underwriting cycle
State benefits
Business environment
Accounting standards
Taxes
Solvency requirements
Investment and risk characteristics
SYSTEM T
Security
Yield
Spread
Tax
Exchange rate and expenses
Marketability
Term
Characteristics of an investor
TRAITOR
Tax
Regulation
Assets held
Income / CF
Taste
Other asset
Risk appetite
General reasons + economic situations for holding cash
POURS GRID
Protect monetary value
Opportunities
Uncertain liabilities
Recently received CF
Short term liabilities
General economic uncertainty
Recession expected
Interest rates rising
Depreciation of domestic currency
Main difficulty of overseas investments + other practical problems
TVM CATERPILLAR
Taxes irrecoverable (withholding tax)
Volatility of currency
Mismatching liabilities
Custodian required
Additional admin required
Time delay
Expenses incurred (currency exchange fees)
Regulation poor
Political instability
Info is harder to obtain
Language issues
Liquidity issues
Accounting differences
Restrictions on foreign ownership
Characteristics of prime property
ST CALL
Size
Tenant quality
Comparable properties for rent / review
Age of property
Location
Lease structure
Theories of the yield curve
LIME
Liquidity theory
Inflation risk premium theory
Market segmentation theory
Expectations theory
Regulatory influences on assets held
TECH SCAM
Type of asset allowed to invest in
Extent to which mismatching is allowed
Currency matching
Holding certain assets e.g. govt bonds
Single counterparty max exposure
Custodianship of asset
Amt of single asset used to demonstrate liquidity is restricted
Mismatching reserve
Factors affecting investment strategy
L SAD CUTER INVESTOR
Legislation or regulatory constraints e.g. accounting standards
Size of assets
Amount of liabilities
Diversification
Currency of liabilities
Uncertainty of timing of liabilities
Tax
Existing portfolio
Risk appetite
Institutions objectives
Nature of liabilities
Voluntary restrictions
ESG issues
Solvency requirements
Term of liabilities
Other funds strategies
Return
Ways of valuing assets
SMH SAD AF
Smoothed market value
Market value
Historical book value
Stochastic Modelling
Adjusted book value
Discounted CF
Arbitrage
Fair value
Model design: operational issues
SCARCER FILES
Simple but retains key features
Clear results
Adequately documented
Range of implementation methods
Communicable workings and outputs
Easy to understand
Refundable and developable
Frequency of CF
Independent verification of outputs
Length of run not too long
Expense not too high
Sensible joint behaviour of variables
Considerations in assessing different models
FENCED
Fit for purpose
Expertise in house available
Need for flexibility
Cost of each option
Expected number of times used
Desired level of accuracy
Sources of data
TRAINERS
Tables: mortality investigation
Reinsurers
Abroad
Industry tables: joint info from insurers
National statistics
Experience studies
Regulatory reports and company accounts
Similar contracts
Potential issues with using data
CARTS F
Completeness: all age groups have sufficient data
Accurate: erroneous data
Relevant: too homogeneous/ prod feat, uw, claims, target market, sales are diff
Timely: outdated
Sufficiency: credible?
Format: change in the way it was recorded which is not apparent
Considerations when using past data to set future assumptions
BEST ARCHER
Balance of homogeneous groups have changed
Economic situation changed
Social conditions
Trends overtime
Abnormal fluctuations
Random fluctuations
Change in regulation
Heterogeneity within group to which assumptions apply
Errors in data
Recording differences
Factors to consider when setting assumptions
Lunch deputy seargant major
Legislation and regulatory constraints
Use of assumptions
Needs of customer
Consistency of assumptions
How significant the assumptions are
Documentation
Sensitivity
Macroeconomic indicators
Contract design factors
AMPLE DIRECT FACTORS
Administrative systems
Marketability
Profitability
Level and form of benefits
Early leaver benefits
Discretionary benefits
Interests and needs of customers
Risk appetite
Expenses vs charges
Competition
Terms and conditions of contract
Financing
Accounting implications
Consistency with other products
Timing of contributions or premiums
Options and guarantees
Regulatory requirements
Subsidies (cross-)
Parties involved in contract design
ALPACAS
Actuaries
Lawyers
Providers of benefits (reinsurers)
Accountants
Consumers
Administrative (brokers, underwriters, IT etc)
Shareholders
Types of selection
STATIC
Spurious
Time selection
Adverse selection
Temporary Initial selection
Class selection
Expenses incurred by a product provider
COSTRAID
Commission
Overheads
Sales
Terminal: taxes and claims
Renewal: premium collection
Asset management
Initial: registering policyholder details
Design of contract
Risk responses
Transfer
Reject
Accept fully
Mitigate
Partially transfer
Evaluation of risk mitigation options
FIRM
Feasibility: practicality, ethicality, economic, legality
Impact on frequency, severity and expected value
Resulting secondary risks
Mitigation required in response to secondary risks
Types of risks in projects
Preston North End Football Club Plays Brilliantly
Project risk
Natural (e.g. climate risk)
Economic (5 market risks)
Financial (liquidity)
Crime
Political (affects regulation on the project)
Business risk (life: MMLLE, gi: PC, catastrophe)
Operational: (fraudulent claims, reputational, mis-selling, cyber)
Benefits of good risk management process
SAVIOURS
Strategic decision making improved
Avoid surprises
Volatility reduced
Improve profits
Opportunities exploited
Understand interdependencies
React quickly to emerging risks
Stakeholder confidence
Inappropriate advice
CRIMES
Complicated products
Rubbish adviser
Integrity
Model or parameter error
Error in data
State encouraged but inappropriate actions (just bc govt recc, may not be suitable for client)
Insurable criteria’s
IP MAD LIP
Independent events
Pooling
Moral hazard is low
Adverse selection is low
Data exists to price the risk
Limit on exposure set
Insurable interest
Probability of occurrence is low
Reasons for Underwriting
SAFARI
Suitable Special terms
Align actual and expected experience
Financial underwriting to avoid overinsurance
Avoid antiselection
Risk classification
Identify substandard risk
Reasons for reinsurance
SADLIFE
Smooth results
Avoid large losses
Diversify
Limit exposure
Increase capacity
Financial assistance
Expertise
Reasons for provisions
BAD MEDICS
Benefit improvements for a benefit scheme
Accounts and reports (internal)
Discontinuance and surrender benefits
Merger and acquisition
Excess A over L —> can distribute surplus/discretionary benefit?
Disclose info for beneficiaries
Investment strategy
Contribution
Solvency reports (external)
Why financial providers need capital
REG CUSHION
Regulatory requirement to demonstrate solvency
Expenses of launching a new product
Guarantees can be offered
Cash flow timing management
Unexpected events cushion
Smooth profits
Help demonstrate financial strength
Investment freedom
Opportunities
New business strain financing
Reasons for disclosure
SIMMERS
Sponsor is aware of financial significance of benefits
Informed decisions can be made
Mis-selling is avoided
Manages the expectations of members
Encourages take up
Regulatory requirement
Security of scheme improved as sponsor / trustees are made more accountable
Information to be disclosed for benefit schemes
SCRIBE
Strategy for investment
Contributions obligations
Risks involved
Insolvency entitlement
Benefit entitlements
Expense charges
When this info should be disclosed
PRICE
Payment commencement
Request
Intervals
Combination
Entry
Common aims of accounting standards (in relation to benefit scheme disclosures)
CARD
Consistency in accounting treatment from year to year
Avoiding distortions resulting from contribution fluctuations
Recognising the realistic costs of accruing benefits
Disclosure of appropriate information
Additional reports accompanying accounts
BRISK
Board independence and governance
Risk appetite
Investment strategy and performance
Strategic objectives
Key objectives
Reason for analysing surplus
DVD V RAP TIN
Determine most financially significant assumptions
Valuation calculations and assumptions (validate)
Determine divergence between actual experience and valuation assumptions
Variance of individual sources equals variance of total financial effects (verify for completeness)
Reconcile values for successive years
Accounts: provide info for publication in provider accounts
Provide data for executive remuneration scheme
Trends in assumptions report to acc
Identify non recurring components of surplus for distribution
New business strain financial effects (info for management)
Stochastic versus deterministic model
Cocrest
Correlations
Options and guarantees
Cost
Random nature of events
Expertise required
Scenarios took into consideration
Time (run time and development time)
Reasons for monitoring
Incur
Information to management and other key stakeholders
New business requires scrutiny
Corrective actions for adverse trends
Update assumptions
React more quickly to emerging trends
What happens when a model has an error:
So cute, MNCs in Malaysia have FTCs
suspension
Cause of the error.
Materiality of the error
Notify relevant parties
Corrective Actions to fix the error
Implications and remediation
Financial statements
Tax position
Customers
Monitor Experience after corrective actions have been taken.
Reasons why model errors were not caught:
United Emirates MNCs
Uniqueness of model → unique products have no similar models to compare with.
Establishment of model. → established models are not changed for several years.
Model error, parameter error, or both
Nature of error e.g. low frequency or new emerging risk
Complexity of model
Speed at which errors surface
What happens when a regulator intervenes
A pretty cat reviewed credit card management system
Aim
Project solvency (stochastic or det)
Corrective actions
Recovery plan closely monitored
Close to new biz
Cost savings pay liabilities
Merger and acquisition
Statutory scheme