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International Trade and Captital
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Balance of Trade (Trade balance)
The gap between a nation’s exports and its imports.
Trade surplus: When exports are greater than imports
Trade deficit: When imports are greater than exports
Balanced: When imports and exports are equal
Merchandise Trade Balance
The balance of trade looking only at physical goods that are transported between countries (like cars or oil). Doesn’t include services
Current Account Balance
Broad measure of the trade balance that includes four main components
Goods:The merchandise trade balance
Services: Things like tourism, finance, consulting that are bought and sold internationally
Income Payments: Money U.S. investors receive from foreign investments and payments made to foreign investors who have invested here
Unilateral Transfers: “One-way payments” foreign aid or an individual sending money to family in another country, where nothing is received in return
Financial Capital
International flow of money that is used to facilitate trade and investment. It includes things like buying foreign stocks, real estate, or government bonds
What is the direct connection between the trade balance and financial capital flows?
The connection is an accounting identity; Mathematically the same.
Trade deficit: Exactly equal to the net inflow of foreign financial capital
Trade surplus: Exactly equal to the net outflow of financial capital
National saving and investment identity
Formula showing total supply of financial capital in an economy must equal total demand for it. Connects the trade balance to domestic saving and investment
National saving and investment identity equation
Demand for financial capital = Supply of financial capital
I + (G-T) = S + (M-X)
I = Private sector investment
(G-T) = Government borrowing (budget deficit)
S = Private savings
(M-X) = Trade deficit(Inflow of foreign capital)
How can a government deficit affect the trade deficit?
A higher budget deficit increases the demand for financial capital, which often raises interest rates. Attracts an inflow of foreign financial capital. Leads to imports cheaper and exports more expensive.
Level or Trade vs. Balance of Trade
Level of Trade: measures how much a country’s total economic production is exported. Shows how globalized an economy is
balance of trade: Dollar difference between total exports and total imports
Calculating current account balance
Current Account Balance = Trade Balance( goods and services) + Net Income Payments + Net Unilateral Transfers
The Republic of Economia had a busy year of international trade. Its factories produced and sold $500 billion worth of goods to other countries. However, its consumers also developed a taste for foreign products, purchasing $650 billion in imported goods. Economia's growing tourism and financial consultng sectors brought in $200 billion from exports of services, while its own citizens spent $150 billion on foreign services.
Economia's investors had a good year, earning $100 billion in income on their investments in other countries. At the same time, foreign investors in Economia earned and sent home $80 billion in income. Finally, the government of Economia provided $30 billion in foreign aid to neighboring developing countries.
Determine merchandise trade balance and current account balance
Calculating merchandise Trade Balance:
exports of goods: 500 billion
imports of goods : -650 billion
Merchandise Trade Balance: 500 -650 = -150 billion (a deficit)
Calculating Current Account Balance:
Goods Balance: 150 billion
Services Balance: 200 billion (exports) - 150 billion (imports) = 50 billion
income balance: 100 billion (recieved) - 80 billion (paid) = 20 billion
Unilateral Transfers -30 billion
Current Account Balance: -150 + 50 + 20 + -30 = -110 billion deficit
Republic Economia has merchandise trade deficit of 150 billion and current account deficit of 110 billion
Economists are analyzing the financial health of Macroland. They have gathered the following data for the most recent fiscal year:
Private households and firms have saved a total of $800 billion.
The government spent $1,200 billion but only collected $900 billion in tax revenue.
Private firms have undertaken $1,000 billion in new investment projects.
Using the national saving and investment identity, determine Macroland's balance of trade. Is the country running a trade surplus or a trade deficit, and what is its value?
Use National saving and investment identify
S + (M-X) = I + (G-T)
(1200 billion (G) - 900 billion(T)) + 1000 (I) = (m-x) + 800 billion (S)
Solving it = (M-X) = 500 billion trade deficit meaning positive value means imports are larger than exports
The nation of Globalia is assessing its position in the world economy. For the year 2020, its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was $1,827 billion. The country's businesses sold $530 billion worth of exports to other nations. An analysis of all international transactions showed that Globalia had a current account deficit of $33 billion.
Calculate Globalia’s level of trade
Current account balance as percentage of GDP
Calculating Level of trade: (Exports / GDP) * 100
(530 billion / 1827 billion) * 100 = 29.0 %
Current account balance: (current account balance/ GDP) * 100
(-33 billion / 1827 billion) * 100 = 1.8 percent
Globalias level of trade is 29.0 percent and current account balance is -1.8 % GDP