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When the range of 95% confidence interval in Path Analysis includes 0
Indirect effect is insignificant (it may not exist)
Modification Index
An index shows how much model fit would improve, if a fixed parameter were freely estimated. Above 3.84 there can be statistically meaningful improvement.
Two approaches to modifying SEM/PA Models
Remove paths | Examine parameter estimates |
Requires careful handling (especially when removing non-significant regression paths) | |
Remove non significant paths or items with low factor loadings | |
Should try one by one | |
Add paths | Examine modification indices |
Pick up a suggestion with largest MI | |
Consider if suggestion is meaningful because MI is purely based on calculation and doesn't consider theory |
If RMSEA is 0 and CFI is 1
Expect just identified model (DF = 0)
Exogenous Variable
Variable is determined outside the model and determines endogenous variables
Never an outcome variable. Similar to IV.
Associated with Measurement Error
Endogenous Variable
Variable that becomes an outcome variable at least once. Similar to DV
Associated with regression residual (another type of error)
3 types of SEM and their differences and their relationship with causality and recursiveness
CFA (Confirmatory factor analysis / measurement models): No latent variables, no direct effects (regression)
Path Analysis: No latent variables, regression permitted
SEM (Structural equation modeling): Includes both latent variables and regression
They do not measure causality, rather they measure correlation and regression
They must be recursive
A non-recursive model
Has:
Feedback loops (e.g., X → Y and Y → X simultaneously).
Bidirectional paths between variables.
Correlated disturbances (errors in different equations are related)
If a model is partially non-recursive, it is a bad model.
EFA acceptable data points
CFA acceptable data points
EFA: 100
CFA: Very poor 50
poor 100
fair 200
good 300
very good 500
excellent 1000
Steps for examining CFA
Collect data
Specify measurement model
Submit data to analysis
Check fit indices and parameter estimates
Modify model and re run analysis if needed
Three indicator rule for CFA
There must be at least three observed variables (items) for one factor
Each observed variable must load on only one factor
Errors of the items must be mutually uncorrelated (recall picture of errors influencing all observed variables. Errors influencing different observed variables can't be correlated
Fit indices: definition and criteria
How well the data fits the measurement model
Chi Square Test P value must be more than .05 (the null hpyothesis is that the model is a good fit for the data)
Chi Square is sensitive to sample size.
Assesses overall fit and discrepancy between the sample and fitted covariance matrices
CFI: Comparative fit index CFI must be greater than or equal to .95
Compares the fit of a target model to the fit of an independent or null model
RMSEA: Root Mean Square Error of Approximation RMSEA is less than .06
Measures the amount of misfit per degrees of freedom
SRMR: Standardized root mean square residential SRMR less than .08
If items vary in range (eg 1-5 and 1-7 scales) SRMR is better than RMSEA
Standardized parameter estimates (also known as factor loadings, show up as std.all) thresholds
Above .5 and significant (p less than .05)
Overall, to check CFA
Just check fit indexes (Chi square, CFI, RMSEA)
Then check Parameter estimates (greater than .5 and significant)
R code operators
=~
~
~~
... =~ "Load on"
Used for both CFA and SEM
~ "Regress on"
Used for SEM
~~ "Correlated with"
Used for both CFA and SEM
Multigroup CFA
Like hierarchical regression
When variables normal distributions don’t have same skewness and kurtosis
Santara Bens adjusts for this
EFA: Exploratory Factor Analysis
Creates a correlation matrix to determine what factors correlate with others. Somewhat crude
Observed items can load on to any factor.
Factors are allowed or not allowed to correlate
Errors in observed variables are uncorrelated
Factor Analysis
Goal is to find a smaller number of interpretable factors to explain the correlations among a set of variables
Smaller isn’t always better though. Don’t overreduce, but meaningless factors aren’t ideal.
Factor is a group of similar variables/items (like a construct or cluster in CA)
A summary of correlations
Dimensionality
EFA checks this
The number of latent traits, constructs, or abilities that a test is designed to assess
EFA vs CFA (Confirmatory factor analysis)
EFA: For theory/measure development (no model), weaker theories, and new measures.
Assumes a latent variable is in play and focues on identifying latent factors that explain observed correlations among variables. You extract/divide out factors from larger groups
CFA: For theory testing, stronger hypotheses/established measures.
Latent variable
A hidden or onobserved factor that is believed to be influencing something
Common factor modeling
EFA is based on
Assumes that variance in an observed variable arises from three sources
1) Common variance
2) Specific Variance
3) Measurement error.
Common variance
variance that influences multiple variables is a factor
Specific variance
variance that influences a specific factor
Key steps of EFA
Factor extraction
Identify # of factors
Rotation
Examine factor loadings
Bartlett Test
for EFA. Should be significant (assesses if there are correlations between variables/items)
KMO
For EFA: Should be .5 or higher.
assesses whether the sample size is adequate
To determine the number of factors
Recommended: Cattell Scree Test: Similar to elbow method. Find steepest line in the screeplot and select data point to the left.
Parallel analysis: Conduct a simulation and compare your data with random data. (tends to provide bigger number than other methods)
Orhotgonal Rotation
planes are 90 degrees: the planes (the factors that represent them) are unrelated and have no correlation
Varimax Rotation (recommended) is most common
Oblique Rotation
planes are not 90 degrees: this is more common, because it's used when planes (the factors that the planes represent) are related and have correlations
Promox and Oblimin is most common
Factor rotation
Factor rotation is about correlation between factors, whereas Bartlett test is about correlation between items.
Checking EFA Results: cutoff score
Sort items by factor loading and factor
Remove items that are less than .3 factor loading
Factor Loading
How much the factor accounts for the item (similar to regression coefficient)
Each variable has a factor loading for each factor
Items with a higher factor loading are more accurately measuring the factor
Orthogonal rotation range from -1 to 1
Oblique rotation: can be less than -1 or greater than 1
Typical cutoff point is an absolute value of .3
Negative factor loading indicate a negative correlation with the factor, but the magnitude is what matter (ie -.7 is a strong factor loading)
Communality
How much the factorS account for the item
When you square the factor loadings you get the communalities
In Orhotgonal rotations, they are between 0 and 1
Don’t assess if factor loadings are strong
Uniqueness
1- commonality
How much factors don't account for the item
Don’t assess if factor loadings are strong
Complexity, Low, and High
How many factors are related to an item
Range from 1 to (# of factors)
Low: Complexity is closer to 1
High: The variable is influenced across many factors (criterion overlaps with many constructs)
Complexity is closer to (# of factors)
This isn't ideal, as separate constructs will influence item scores
"You should remove items when two factor loadings are above .3
If the complexity is high, but only one factor loading is above .3, it might be acceptable to keep it
2.0 is considered a general cutoff for high complexity.
In orthogonal rotations, ranges from 0-1
Correlation vs Regression (Focus, nature of analysis, output, interpretation, visualization, directionality, multiple variables, units of measurement, application)

Rectangle
Oval
Arrow
Double arrow
Observed variable
Latent variable
Direct effect or regression
Correlation
Direction of arrows
The origin predicts what it points to. The variance of the IV is included in the DV
CFA and cutoff point
Comfirmatory factor analysis. When your model assumes that item 1 is for factor 1, CFA assumes there is no correlation between that the item and other factors in the calculation
Estimates internal consistency
Used for examining convergent/discriminant validity
CFA is used for detecting construct bias (when construct measured isn’t the same across subgroups: detected with multigroup CFA) and differential item functioning (items work differently across subgroups)
CFA evaluates dimensionality when there are clear hypothesis
CFA Cutoff point: .5
Internal consistency unit
Cronbach’s alpha
McDonald’s Omega
Construct Bias
Occurs when a construct is measured and isn’t identical across sub groups
Can be detected by multigroup CFA
Differential Item Functioning
DIF: Items work differently across subgroups
Eg life is a party
CFA Steps
Collect data
Specify measurement model
Submit data to analysis
Check fit indices and parameter estimates
Modify model and re-run analysis if needed
CFA: Specify measurement model
Translate your hypothesis to a model
Key issues: Number of factors
Which items load on which factors
Are factors orthogonal or oblique (correlated)
Error Variance in PA and SEM
Latent variables do not have measurement error
In CFA and SEM, observed variables (indicators) always contain measurement error, which
is typically modeled as an error term (residuals)
In SEM, latent variables are often modeled with regression relationships, where
endogenous latent variables have disturbance terms (residual error) to account for
unexplained variance.
In PA: exogenous variables serve as predictors and do not have disturbance
terms since they are not predicted by other variables
Endogenous variables always have residual error (disturbance terms) since they are
predicted by other variables but are not fully explained
In CFA, latent variables themselves do not have error terms
General linear model
Generalized linear model
Generalized linear mixed model
Methods for data that's normally distributed. Assumes X and Y have a linear relationship. Examples: t-test, ANOVA, simple/multiple regression
Methods used for DV that is not normally distributed (DV is binary). Logistic regression.
Methods for nested data (hierarchical levels of grouped data). Hierarchical linear regression
Nested Data & Example
Hierarchical levels of grouped data
Two or more than two levels
Data cases in a lower level are included in only one higher level group (The 1st level variable is affected by the 2nd level variable)
Example:
1st level: Employee Turnover Intentions
2nd level: Economic Uncertainty
Levels
Individual, department, organization, society, etc
Mediation analysis
Tests a hypothetical causal chain where one variable X affects a second variable M and in turn that variable affects a third variable Y
Mediators & Example
How and why a relationship between two other variables
Training changes M:Self-Efficacy which in turn impacts Performance
Baron and Kenny’s 4-step indirect effect method
Step 1 Estimate the relationship between IV on DV must be significant, and effect size is not 0
Step 2 X must effect M (mediator) and the effect size must be more than 0
Step 3 M must effect Y and path must be significant and not 0
Step 4 If C' is a non significant, M is a full mediator
If C' is significant but becomes smaller, M is a partial moderator
ACME
ADE
Total Effect
ACME: Sig / ADE: Non-sig / Total Effect: Non-sig
Average Causal Mediation Effects (indirect effect, path A -> B - X to M to Y) (If insignificant, no mediator)
Average Direct Effects (path C' - X to Y)) (if significant and not 0, could have partial mediator)
Sum of Indirect & Direct Effects (not required for mediation to exist)
Indirect-only / suppression
Bootstrapping
A method to estimate the variability of a statistic by repeatedly resampling the observed data
Simulation method, more suitable for small sample sizes
Does not assume a specific distribution
P values assume normal distribution, therefore Bootstrapping is needed to assess confidence intervals by creating artificial data based on your original data set.
Sampling Distribution
The result of Bootstrapping’s artificial data creation
95% confidence interval ratio for mediation analysis after bootstrapping
If it does not include 0, it is significant
Moderation Analysis
Moderator
Name a moderator
Tests whether a variable affects the direction and or strength of the relationship between IV and DV
Moderator affects when a relationship occurs
Workload - perceived social support - burnout
Moderated mediation (more common)
When there is a moderator that affects a mediator's relationship with Y
Starting point is the moderator and the IV
Example: Ability influences performance and is mediated by job knowledge but it is stronger when supervisor support is high
Mediated moderation
Take the L
Centering
Center the IV and Moderator W before estimating the model
Transfer a variable so that its mean becomes 0 by subtracting the mean
Subtracts the mean of a variable from each value in that variable
Reduces multicollinearity and make interpretation easier
Makes main effects interpretable
Multiple Regression vs Logistic Regression
MR: DV is a quantity and ranges to infinity (continuous or interval data) and has a linear relationship with IV
LR: DV is 0 or 1, and calculates probability. Uses logarithmic transformation to Y to linearize relationship between IV and DV
Why not use MR when you have binary DVs?
If you use MR for dichotomous DV, it violates heterogeneity of variance/homoscedasticity (MR assumes variance of errors remains constant across all values of X, but binary DV violates this assumption (close .5 probability, error variance is large, close to 0 or 1, EV is low.) A one unit increase in X does not lead to a fixed increase in Y.
MR can produce DV estimates greater than 1
Linear models can’t express slope of probability varying depending on IV
Turnover analysis Pros/Cons of
Group Comparison (T-test)
Correlation
Regression
T-test: Test one variable at a time, hard to discern importance
Correlation: Which variables are related to turnover? Outcome is binary, so correlation is unclear
Regression: Can predictors explain turnover? MR assumes continuous variables, but outcome is binary
Odds
The likelihood of an event occurring compared to the likelihood of it not occuring
Odds ratio & Interpretation
Comparing the odds between two groups, with the reference/baseline group as the denominator.
OR>1 Event is more likely in the numerator group than the reference group
OR=1 Event is equally likely in both groups
OR<1 Event is less likely in the numerator group than the reference group
OR with continuous predictor
Interpret as, “what happens when X increases by 1 unit.”
OR = Odds at X+1 / Odds at X
Marginal Standardization Approach (MSA)
In Logistic Regression, probability changes are not constant. They depend on the starting value of X.
Two methods:
1: Specify the starting point (a 1 unit increase in X changes Y (probability) to _%
2: Use the average effect (average marginal effect (AME)) (On average, a 1 unit increase in X changes probability by _ percentage points.
Adjusted R Squared
Shouldn’t be interpreted, but can be compared. Nagelkerke’s and McFadden are common
Logistic Regression Assumptions & Pairwise Deletion
No outliers, no multicollinearity, DV is binary, Appropriate sample size, no perfect separation, independence of observations, linearity of log odds relationship
Pairwise shouldn’t be used in LR: Violates Maximum likelihood estimation assumptions, inconsistent sample size, unreliable standard errors. Use Listwise deletion or multiple imputation.
LRT: Likelihood Ratio Test
Equivalent to F test in linear regression
Compares the full model with a null (intercept-only) model
Evaluates overall model significance
Reported as Chi Square statistic
Can assess contribution of individual/significance of predictors
Wald Test
Focus on Statistical significance of predictors
Beta Coefficients indicate direction and can be compared across predictors (OR > 1 increases likelihood, OR < 0 decreases likelihood of outcome
CI doesn’t include 1: statistically significant
Hosmer-Lemeshow Test
Sensitive to large sample size
P is insignificant (> .05): Model is acceptable
Compares predicted probabilities with observed outcomes.
Callibration plot
Above and below the mean indicates…
Evaluates how well predicted probabilities match observed outcome frequencies. Predicted is X, Observed is Y
Above the line: Underestimates
Below the line: Overestimates
ROC Curve and AUC (Area Under the Curve)
Evaluates predictive performance
AUC ranges 0-1. 1 is perfect prediction.
.7-.8 is acceptable
.5-.7 is poor.
less than .5 is worse than random prediction
Accuracy
How often is the model correct overall?
Proportion of correctly classified cases
Sensitivity (True positive rate)
How well does the model detect the event?
Specificity (True negative rate)
How well does the model detect non-events.
Sensitivity and specificity
Are inversely related. The cutoff point leads to a trade-off
Determining cutoff point
Can be determined using Youden’s Index
Sensitivity+Specificity-1: optimizes Maximizes balance between
Or ROC Curve (AUC):
Point closest to the top left corner
Pulse Survey & Benefits
5-15 items
Weekly/quarterly
2-5 minutes
Specific focus
Benefits: Low burden/high response rate, Real time insights/detect issues early, quicker improvements, Monitor change
Survey Limitations
Survey fatigue
Limited opportunities
Poor design (not actionable, poorly formatted for analysis)
Good surveys are designed
Backward from action
If your survey doesn’t lead to action, it has little value.
With validity, reliability, and practicality in mind
To average and compare across time/depts/benchmarks/tenure.
Surveys can include
Interviews, focus groups, and open-ended feedback.
Engagement surveys, pulse surveys, exit surveys/interviews, onboarding surveys
Methods vary.
Surveys communicate
Organizational values and priorities
Shape norms, culture, and expectations
Item Format: 4 vs 5 items
-Response flexibility (allows for uncertainty or neutrality)
-Reduced response bias
-Reduce respondent’s stress
Costs and benefits of Open and Closed Items
Open:
Cost: Difficult to analyze, time consuming
Benefit: rich details, can capture ideas not on researcher’s radar
Closed:
Cons: Limit respondent’s thinking
Benefit: Faster to analyze
Acquiescence
People who select agree to all items
If questions have
Multiple reasons
Everything is important
There may be unexpected responses
Multiple answers
Ranking
Open-ended
What are you trying to measure
Attitudes/perceptions
Behaviors
Reasons/background
Priorities
Applicable factors
Likert
Frequency
Open-ended
Rank-order
Multiple answers
Should you include both positively and negatively worded items in a survey
yes: Avoids acquiescence, careless responding
Bad: Can create reverse items
Leading vs Loaded Questions
Leading: Guides respondents toward a specific answer
Loaded: Contains an unverified assumption
Ambiguous
Too long
Pedantic
Multiple negative
Double barreled
Ambuous pronoun references
Misplace modifiers
Adjective forms rather than noun forms
Four Types of Data & Definitions
N: Nominal: Categorical identity - Mutually exclusive data. Example: Freshmen, Sophomore, Junior, Senior.
O: Ordinal: Order - Interval isn't consistent. Always starts with 1. Example: Top 3 candidates for a job
I: Interval: Assesses a degree of quantity in addition to identity and order. Zero doesn't mean nothing. Example: Temperature
R: Ratio: Assesses quantity, identity, order, and Zero means nothing. Example: Distance, Mass.
T Tests
Compare two means from two seperate populations. Outcome variable is ratio or interval. Results in a T score (like effect size) and p value (significant indicates a meaningful difference between groups)
Chi Squared Tests
Compare two categories, or two nominal forms of data (if three groups, use ANOVA). Results in a p value and X squared effect size indicator
Independent Samples T-test
Between subjects test (there are multiple groups, or different populations. 1 control doesn't receive the IV, and you compare their results to another group that does)
Paired Samples T-Test
Within subjects test (you're assessing something within one population, usually measuring something, applying the IV, then measuring the same thing again)
How to check for normality (and what is distribution)
Shapiro Wilk Test (If p > .05 assume normal distribution) or QQ plot (straight line equals normal distribution)
Distribution: the overall shape of the data, shown via graph. Think entire mountain range, peaks & valleys
How to check for variance (and what is variance)
Levene’s test: Assesses if two populations have equal variances. if p > .05 assume equal. If p < .05 assume different variances. If unequal variances, use Welch's test
Variance: A single numerical value that quantifies the dispersion of a distribution. A low variance indicates that data points cluster closely around the mean, while a high variance means the data points are scattered far away from the mean. Think: 1 number indicates the degree of flatness