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Rule 1
0 ≤ P( A ) ≤ 1
Rule 2
P( S ) = 1
Rule 3
P( A ) + P( Ac ) = 1
Rule 4a
P( A or B ) = P( A ) + P( B )
if disjoint/mutually exclusive
Rule 4b
P( A or B ) = P( A ) + P( B ) - P ( A and B )
if not disjoint/mutually exclusive
Rule 5a
P( A and B ) = P( A ) x P( B )
if independant
Rule 5b
P( A and B ) = P( A ) x P( B l A )
if not independant
OR means
addition
AND means
multiplication
P ( B l A )
P( A ) + P( B ) = 0 means that
A and B are disjoint/mutually exclusive events
P(B) = P( B l A ) used only if
A , B are independant events
Conditional Probability