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Capital (funds)
equity and debt capital
Equity capital
private equity, public equity
Private equity (non-tradeable)
family & friends, angel investors, venture capital firms, private equity funds
Public equity (tradeable)
stocks (Initial public offerings & seasoned equity offerings)
Debt capital
private debt, public debt
Private debt
Bank debt, rule 144A debt
Public debt
bonds
Value of a company
FCF1/(1+WACC)^1 +... FCFn/(1+WACC)^n
Free Cash Flow
Revenue - Operating costs & taxes - required investments in operating capital
Capital budgeting decision
what long-term investments should the firm choose, assets, FCF
Capital structure decision
how should the firm raise funds for the selected investments?, liabilities, WACC
Other decisions of firms
Payout decisions, merger & acquisitions, IPOs
Types of businesses
proprietorship, partnership, corporation(unlisted vs listed)
Proprietorship
many firms begin as this, unincorporate business owned by one individual, easy to form/very few regulations, limited life/unlimited liability
Partnership
similar to proprietorships, but more than one owner, General partners (unlimited liability/decision makers) and Limited partners (limited liability/no decision authority)
Corporations
legal entity separate from its owners and managers, unlimited life/limited liability/ease of raising capital, double taxation/subject to a lot of regulations
Private corporations
shares are owned only by a small number of entities, and these shares are not traded on stock exchanges, LLCs,S-corps, B-corps
LLC
limited liability corporations, all the partners are limited partners
S-corps
no double taxation, all shareholders are US citizens
B-corps
main goal is to maximize social welfare, not financial welfare
De-equitization of US capital markets
# of firms and # of shares down
Why the decline in publicly held companies
increase in bankruptcies, growth in private equity, debt capital has been very attractive over the past 20+ years, increase in mergers
Primary objective of financial management
shareholder wealth maximization (maximizing firm value and the intrinsic stock price)
Shareholder's investments
stock price * # of shares = market capitalization
3 important factors in a Balance sheet
asset liquidity, debt/equity ratio, historical cost vs market values
Liquidity
the ease and quickness with which assets can be converted to cash without a significant loss in value, current assets are the most liquid
Higher liquidity represents
a lower probability of running into financial difficulties and provides more flexibility to firms, but also produces a lower rate of returns
Why are companies hoarding cash?
buffer against uncertainty in future profitability (e.g., pandemic, crisis), buffer against drops in lending (2008 mortgage crisis), take advantage of "fire sales" (buy rivals assets cheap, or buy their own stocks at a low price), cheap debt (low interest rates, eg. Issuing a 30-year bond), repatriation of foreign earnings is taxed heavily
Debt
a contractual claim that entities the investor(banks, bondholders) to receive a fixed payment(interest plus principal) from the borrower(firm) within a specified period
Equity
a residual claim, whatever leftover after all other claimants are paid goes to the firm, a portion of which is paid to shareholders as dividends
Debt's effect on shareholders
debt magnifies profits to equityholders, but also magnifies losses (debt increases risk for equityholders)
Income statement
sales - costs = profits
EBITDA
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization
EBIT
Earnings before interest and taxes
Net Income
EBIT - interest - taxes - preferred dividends
Net cash flow
net income + depreciation and amortization
CFO
NI before preferred dividends + Depreciation - ΔA/R - ΔInv + ΔA/P + ΔAccruals
Working capital = current assets (st. inv., A/R, inventory) - current liabilities (A/P, W/P, Accruals)
NOPAT
Net operating profit after taxes, How much the firm could generate from its operations, (EBIT * (1-Tax Rate))
NIOC
Net investment in operating capital, how much firm spent to support its operations, ΔTNOC from the year prior
FCF
(How much the firm could generate from its operations - how much firm spent to support its operations), financial/free cash flows are used to value firms(DCFs) and to evaluate project profitability
DCF
discounted cash flow method
Operating current assets
includes cash, inventory, receivables, excludes short-term investments(if an asset is generating a financial return, it cannot be an operating asset)
Operating current liabilities
accounts payable and accruals, excludes notes payable(these are the result of a discretionary decision made by the firm, meaning it's not an operating current liability, also, if a liability is charging interest, it cannot be an operating liability)
Net operating working capital
Operating CA(cash+A/R+inventories) - Operating CL(A/P + accruals)
Net fixed assets
operating Long-term assets
TNOC
total net operating capital, Net Operating Working Capital + LT Operating assets
Five uses of FCF
pay interest on debt, pay back principal on debt(LT debt & notes payable), pay dividends, buy back stock, buy non-operating assets (e.g., marketable securities, investments in other companies, etc.)
FCF usage to pay debtholders
interest payments and paying back debt
FCF usage to pay shareholders
dividends, share buybacks
FCF usage for acquiring non-operating assets
payments to acquire ST investments and assets
Is negative FCF a bad thing?
If negative FCF's is due to negative NOPAT(NOT GOOD), If negative FCF's is due to large NIOC (OK if large NIOC stems from large amount of Net fixed assets because they are a long-term asset, NOT GOOD if large NIOC stems from large amount of NOWC because they are a current asset)
ROIC
return on invested capital, NOPAT / operating capital
EVA
economic value added, NOPAT - (WACC x Operating Capital)
MVA
market value added, market value of stock(# of shares of stock * price per share) - Book value of the stock(total common equity)
Methods for evaluating the financial health of a firm
trend analysis, peer group analysis, or both
Trend analysis
same firm over time
Peer group analysis
same year across the firm's peers (same industry/similar size and products)
Liquidity financial ratios
ability to pay bills in the short-run, cash ratio/current ratio/tie ratio
Leverage financial ratios
ability to meet long-term obligations; the best mix of debt and equity, debt asset ratio/debt equity ratio
Asset management (turnover) financial ratios
efficiency of asset use, how effectively a firm uses its fixed assets and sells it products and collects money, total asset turnover
Profitability financial ratios
efficiency of operations and overall business activity, profit margin/return on assets/return on equity
Price-based ratios
investors' view of the firm valuation and performance
ROA
profit margin x Total assets turnover
ROE
ROA * equity multiplier
Equity multiplier
total assets / common equity
Firm valuation methods
discounted cash flow, multiples, dividend growth
Multiples valuation
pick a firm to value, pick a group of firms that is the most comparable(same industry, most similar in size/age/etc.), calculate various price-based ratios(like P/E ratio), average these ratios across comparable firms, compare the firm to its per-share ratios to determine its true price
Bond
financial instrument where a borrowing firm receives a certain amount of money in return for making periodic interest payments and then returning the principal to the lender
Bondholders
have no voting rights within a corporation, but can indirectly influence them by threatening not to renew/refinance the debt
Bond markets
goal is to raise long-term debt capital
Short term debt vs long term debt
short term debt is often cheaper than long term debt, but if rates skyrocket or investor demand may vanish; refinancing risk(long term bonds lock-in fixed payments)
Simple, straight bonds
fixed coupon payments for the life of the bond, plus the principal payment at the maturity
Convertible bonds
bondholders can convert the debt into shares of the firm at a predetermined ratio at their discretion, lower rates than straight bonds
Callable bonds
firms can withdraw the bond sale, higher rates than straight bonds
Variable rate bonds
interest rate is based on Prime rate or LIBOR
Euro bonds
bonds issued in a foreign country in USD
Covered (secured) bonds
collateral is pledged in case of non-payment
Zero coupon bonds
no coupon payments, and the principal plus the interest is paid at maturity
Yield to maturity
the interest rate that equates the present value of coupon payments and principal to the bond's current price
Bond prices(YTM) components
YTM, inflation expectations, default risk, liquidity
TVM(bond prices)
determined by the fed funds rate(floor), higher fed funds rate leads to higher yields and lower prices
Inflation expectations
if expectations of inflation go up, YTM increases and bond prices drop
Liquidity
how quickly we can sell the bond and how close to the bond's true value we can sell, corporate bonds are rated by their default risk (S&P, Moody's, Fitch)
Default risk
the chance of non-payment of principal or interest
Investment grade bonds
BBB or higher rating
Junk/high yield bonds
rating below BBB
Credit default swap (CDS)
CDS spreads pay the bondholders in full in case of default, derivative security
Default risk premium
yield on AAA corporate bond - yield on 10-year treasury bond
Interest rate risk
the sensitivity of bond prices to changes in interest rates
When does a bond have higher interest rate risks
when it has a longer time to maturity(as interest rates change, longer maturity bond prices will change more) or a smaller coupon rate (the smaller the coupons, the less the total PV depends on these intermediate payments & more on the one big cash flow at the very end)
2 types of stock
Common stock, preferred stock
Preferred stock
voting rights and a fixed dividend(like coupon payments)
Board of directors
they are the shareholder's agents in the firm, can fire and hire CEO'S
2 types of cash flows for shareholders
dividends and capital gains(when stockholder sells shares)
If dividends don't grow
Po=D1/R
If dividends grow at a constant rate
Po=D1(R-g)
If dividends grow at a differential rate
growing annuity for first few years (find pv of dividend cash flow) + growing perpetuity for rest of years (dividend / r-g, then discounted to present)
When retention ratio increases
1. dividends go down/stock price goes down, 2. Then, dividend growth rate goes up and stock price goes up, depends on whether R is higher or lower than ROE(if R is higher price goes down, If R is lower, price goes up)
Dividend growth rate formula using retention ratio
g = (retained earnings/total earnings) * ROE