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Chapters 20 and 21
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AD Curve is downward sloping because: (3)
Wealth effect
Interest rate effect
Exchange rate effect
Wealth effect
lower prices increase purchasing power โ more consumption
Interest rate effect
lower prices โ lower interest rates โ more investment
Exchange rate effect
lower U.S. prices โ weaker dollar โ exports increase
LRAS is vertical or upward sloping?
vertical
SRAS is vertical or upward sloping?
upward sloping
Why SRAS slopes upward: (3)
sticky wage
sticky price
misperceptions
sticky wage
wages are fixed in short run โ firms increase output when prices increase
sticky price
some prices donโt adjust quickly โ higher prices lead to more output
misperceptions
firms mistake overall price increases as increases in relative prices of their goods
LRAS shifts include:
changes in labor, capital, natural resources, or technology
SRAS shifts include:
same as LRAS plus changes in expected prices
expansionary shift
AD shifts right; interest rates are lowered
contractionary shift
AD shifts left; interest rates are raised
Monetary Policy - controlled by the Fed
controls the money supply (MS) โ affects interest rates; GOAL of lower interest rates during recessions to boost spending, raise them during booms to reduce inflation
Theory of Liquidity Preference
interest rates adjust to balance money supply and demand
MS is fixed by the fed (vertical line)
MD depends on interest rates
lower r โ people want to hold more cash
higher r โ people prefer interest-bearing assets
Interest Rate Effect of AD
if the price level (p) falls:
people need less cash โ lower money demand
interest rate ยฎ drops
Investment (i) rises โ AD increases
Fiscal Policy (congress and President)
Government spending and taxes
Expansionary
Contractionary
The Multiplier Effect
Government spending boosts income โ people spend more โ AD increases more than the initial amount
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
fraction of income spent
Multiplier = 1/(1-MPC)
The crowding-out effect
fiscal stimulus may raise interest rates (more money demand)
This could reduce private investment
So, net effect on AD is smaller than the multiplier suggests
Zero Lower Bound and Liquidity Trap
when interest rates are near 0% monetary policy loses its power
Fed alternatives:
Forward guidance
Quantitative easing
Forward guidance
promise to keep rates low
Quantitative easing
buying bonds/mortgages to inject money
Stagflation
high inflation, slow economic growth, high unemployment