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Public Opinion
The collection of attitudes and preferences of the population pertaining to political issues, leaders, institutions and events
Views that liberals hold
support social and political reform, governmental intervention in the economy, economic equality, expansion of federal social services, greater concern for consumers and enviorment
Views that conservatives hold
Support the social and economic status quo, suspicious of efforts to introduce new political formulas and economic arrangements. Conservatives believe a large and powerful government poses a threat to citizens' freedom.
Political Socialization
The process through which individuals develop their political beliefs, values, attitudes, and behaviors. This is related to understanding politics
Agents of socialization
The people, institutions, and forces that influence a person’s overall social development and help them learn how to function in society.
Public Opinion Poll
Scientific instruments for measuring public opinion, It usually involves asking a sample of people a series of questions and using their answers to represent the views of a larger population.
Sample
A small group selected by researchers randomly to represent the most important characteristics of an entire population
Social desirability effect
The effect that results when respondents in a survey report what they expect the interviewer wishes to hear rather than what they believe.
Three factors that explain voter turnout
Individual level characteristics, political environments (competition) , the election in someone's state.
ideology
is a system of beliefs that can help people assess whether they believe the government is doing what it should be doing.
individual level factors of those deciding to vote
Education level is the most important individual-level factor explaining voter turnout rates
Age is the second most important
mobilization (specifically voter mobilization)
getting people to show up and vote. It's all about encouraging, persuading, or helping eligible voters to participate in elections.
Face-to-face voting, phone calls, text
Voter turnout rates
Calculated by the number of people who voted divided by the number of voters.
Election Laws
Election-day voter registration?• Voting rights for those convicted of a felony?• Identification requirements? Photo ID?• Vote by mail?• Early voting?.
Turnout
the percentage of eligible individuals who actually vote
Midterm vs Presidental elections
Since the 1890s the particpation in elections has declined substantially, except for the 2020 presidental election. One pattern is consistent across time, more americans vote in presidental electionthan midterm elections.
Three factors that explain voter participation,
Socioeconomic status, age, race and ethnicity.
(Those with higher income and education vote more, older people are more likely to vote due to property ownership and being aware of the importance of government, and white are more likely to vote republican over racial and ethic groups voting democratic.)
womans suffrage
19th amendment
The right of women to vote, in the 1840s and 1850's was a public movement for women's suffrage.
State-by-state efforts, successful in parts of the nation.
DID NOT CHANGE social norms.
History of election laws
Voting age was lowered from 21 to 18, changed during Vietnam war
"old men send young men to die in war."
"18-20 to fight and die in war, old enough to fight old enough to vote.
This caused a wave of public support in Congress, which was rapidly approved.
Electoral College
270 Votes needed to win, trends in the 2016 election, the 2024 election and the 2022 election. Winner takes all in states.
Election outcome
Who does the best in swing states, a significant majority of states does not determine who wins or loses. Due to the electoral college, not all states are equally important in presidential elections.
Partisan Gerrymandering
Drawing a district line to maximize the number of seats won by a political party
Redistricting
The process of redrawing the boundaries of election districts, usually done every 10 years after the census to reflect changes in population. This affects how communities are represented in Congress and state legislatures.
Microtargeting
A strategy used in political campaigns to send tailored messages to very specific groups of people—based on data like age, location, shopping habits, or interests. It helps campaigns reach voters more effectively through ads, emails, or social media.
Retrospective Voting
When voters make decisions based on a politician's or party's past performance. Example: "Did the economy improve under this president? If yes, I'll vote for them again."
Mobilization
The process by which large numbers of people are organized for a political party
Prospective Voting
When voters base their choice on what they believe a candidate or party will do in the future. Example: "This candidate has a strong plan for healthcare, so I'll vote for them."
Political Parties
organized groups that attempt to influence the government by electing their members to important government offices.
Two-party system
A political system in which only two parties have a realistic opportunity to compete effectively for control.
Third party
Parties that organize to compete against the two major American political parties. They often focus on specific issues but struggle to win major elections due to limited resources and the winner-takes-all electoral system.
Interest group
individuals who organize to influence the government's programs and policies and want to influence government on behalf of specific companies/causes (Do not nominate candiates for office.) often use lobbying
Lobbying
A strategy by which organized interests seek to influence the passage of legislation by exerting direct pressure on governmental officials.
Agents of socailization that influence opinions
family, social networks, key insinuations (school, religious clubs, and groups.) Political context during teens and 20’s
polarization
growing divides in ideology, policy views. Fewer of those identifying as moderates.
Challenges faced while obtaining poll results
Non-response, social desirability effect, question wording effects, mode effect.
Non-response
when people contacted to take a
poll are unwilling or unable to participate
▪ Some non-response is fine and expected
▪ But, if certain specific groups in population
are much less willing or less able to take poll,
this could cause problems
mass media
means of conveying information to large public audiences such as news papers, television networks, podcasts and websites,
mass media roles
inform the public about political issues and events
Provide forum for debate about issues
Serve as a watchdog on actions of politicians and government
SECTION 230 of 1996 Telecommunications Act
• Social media companies are not legally
responsible for what users post
• They can restrict or remove content (ex: hate
speech, misinformation) under their own rules
Goal of section 230
protect new and developing companies from lawsuits in 1990’s of internet
Common criticism for section 230
Do social media platforms censor certain voices
through biased moderation?
Do social media platforms often fail to limit harmful
content? Do they even amplify it via algorithms?
Decline of local newspapers
Craigslist, marketplace, and similar websites hurt local newspaper industry,
Decreased participation in state/local politics
increased corruption in state and local government
Filter bubbles
When people consume media that reinforces their pre-existing beliefs
Key features of a political party
Promotes ideas about public policy, competes in elections, promotes ideas about public policy, nominates canidates for public office.
Strategic voting
When people want to vote for a canidate that has a realistic chance of winning
Factors that limit third party success
Ballot access laws, exclusion from debates, lack of money and resources,
inside strategies
involve some form of contact with elected officials or other government officials.
(meeting with government officials, drafting laws and proposing them)
outside strategies
do not involve direct contact with elected officials or other government officials (ex: participating in protest, make phone calls to politicians, send emails.)