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What are exports and why are they important to the UK economy?
Exporting is the act of selling goods and services to another country.
Income from exports (X) counts as an injection on the circular flow of income and increases aggregate demand (AD)
What are imports and why are they important to the UK economy?
Importing is the act of buying goods and services from another country
Money spent on imports (M) counts as a leakage from the circular flow of income and reduces aggregate demand (AD)
What is a trade balance?
The trade balance is the difference between the value of exports and imports
What is the difference between a trade surplus and a trade deficit?
A trade surplus occurs when a country's exports exceed its imports, leading to a positive balance of trade. Conversely, a trade deficit occurs when a country's imports are greater than its exports, resulting in a negative balance
When the value of exports is greater than the value of imports, the trade balance is in surplus. This leads to an increase in AD
When the value of imports is greater than the value of exports, the trade balance is in deficit. This leads to a reduction in AD
Does the UK economy run a trade deficit or a trade surplus?
Trade deficit
What does this mean for UK Aggregate Demand (AD)?
More imports than exports therefore AD will decrease.
factors that affect the UK’s trade balance
Uk real income increases
Real income increases abroad
World economy booms
World economy slows
Uk£ appreciates
World economy slows
Protectionism increases
what are these effects on exports and imports
Uk real income increases
Real income increases abroad
World economy booms
World economy slows
Uk£ appreciates
World economy slows
Protectionism increases
Change in factors | Effect on Exports | Effect on Imports | (X–M) |
UK real income increases | exports decrease | imports increase | trade balance weakens |
Real income increases abroad | exports increase | imports decrease | trade balance strengthens |
UK £ appreciates | Exports more expensive; exports decrease | Imports increase | Trade balance weakens |
UK £ depreciates | Exports less expensive; exports increase | Imports decrease | Trade balance strengthens |
World economy booms | exports less expensive | imports decrease | trade balance strengthens |
World economy slows | exports more expensive | imports increase | trade balance weakens |
Protectionism increases | Depends on retaliation measures | Imports more expensive; demand decreases | Trade balance strengthens |
Protectionism decreases | Likely to increase | Imports less expensive; demand increases | Trade balance weakens |
Exchange rates
A stronger currency (£) mean makes UK exports more expensive abroad and imports cheaper domestically → likely worsens the trade balance. |
A weaker currency (£) means Makes UK exports cheaper and imports more expensive → likely improves the trade balance, assuming demand is price elastic.
actors Influencing Net Trade (X-M)
Real income
Exchange rates
State of world economy
protectionism