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Core Econ Principles, Demand, Supply and Equilibrium, Gains from Trade, Measuring Economic Performance, Business Cycles, Fiscal Policy, Monetary Policy and Banking, IS-MP Model
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Monetary Policy
The management of a nation’s money supply and interest rates by its central bank to control economic growth, inflation, and employment.
Fed Rule-of-Thumb
The Taylor rule, a formula developed by economist John Taylor to guide interest rate decisions by linking the federal funds rate to inflation and economic growth. Suggests that if inflation is above its target or if the economy is growing faster than its potential (a positive "output gap"), the Fed should raise rates.
Comovement
How different economic variables tend to move together— rising and falling in synch — because the parts of the economic are interconnected
Output Gap
The difference between an economy's actual output and its potential output, which is the maximum output it can produce when running at full capacity
Quantitative Easing
Involves purchasing long-term assets like government bonds and mortgage-backed securities to lower long-term yields and stimulate the economy.
Used when short-term interest rates are near zero
Okun’s Rule of Thumb
Quantifies the relationship between output and the unemployment rate, saying that for every percentage point that actual output is less than potential output, the unemployment rate will be around half a percentage point higher
Substitution Effect
When interest rates are lower, and ultimately the reward for saving your money is lower, households will substitute away from saving and towards current consumption when interest rates fall.
Demand-Pull Inflation
Arises when demand exceeds the economy’s productive capacity, pulling prices up
Supply Shock
An unexpected change in production costs that shifts the Phillips curve
Dual Mandate
The Fed’s responsibility to use monetary policy to promote maximum employment and price stability
Maximum Employment
The highest level of employment that an economy can sustain while maintaining low and stable inflation. The Fed’s policy decision is informed by its assessments of the shortfalls of employment from its maximum level.
Price Stability
A low and stable rate of inflation maintained over an extended period of time. The Fed seeks to achieve inflation that average 2% over time.
Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB)
Interest paid on funds that banks hold in their reserve balance accounts at a Federal Reserve Bank
Overnight Reverse Re-purchase Agreement (ON RRP) Facility
The Federal Reserve’s standing offer to a broad set of financial institutions to deposit funds at the Fed and earn interest
Discount Window
The Federal Reserve’s lending to banks (the ‘discount window’) at the discount rate
Open Market Operations
Buying and selling of government securities by the Federal Reserve
Production (value-added) method for calculating GDP
Sums the incremental contributions to output at each stage of production to avoid double-counting inputs.
Expenditure approach to calculating GDP
Measures GDP by adding up consumer spending, investment, government purchases,
and net exports.
Why do economists typically focus on real GDP?
Changes in real GDP capture variations in actual output rather than shifts in prices
How does the household earn its income in the circular flow model?
By supplying labor and other factors of production to firms in factor markets
Who is Thomas Malthus
Economist that predicted that real income would tend towards the subsistence level, because if income grew, people would have more children, eventually driving wages back down
Why can sustained economic growth lead to higher living standards over time?
Growth typically raises per capita income, which can improve access to goods and services
Which statement best characterizes the “natural rate” of unemployment?
The unemployment level driven primarily by long-term structural and frictional factors
During an economic contraction, which factor most commonly contributes to involuntary
unemployment?
Limited wage flexibility (downward rigid wages)
Decoupling
Growing real output without a corresponding rise in resource use or environmental impact
Nominal GDP
The value of all final goods and services produced in a country during a given period, measured at current market prices
Formula: (Price of good x in base year * quantity of good x in second year) + (price of good y in base year * quantity of good y in second year)
Real GDP
nominal GDP adjusted for inflation, measured
using prices from a base year
Formula: (price of good x in base year quantity of good x in base year) + (price of good y in base year * quantity of good y in base year)
What typically causes a country’s productivity curve to shift outward (from PC to PC1)?
Improvements in technology, more capital per worker, or better-trained workers
What does a shift outward (from PC to PC1) imply for output per worker?
Indicates higher output per worker at each level of labor input
Disinflation
A slower rate of price increases. Example:
inflation falls from 6% to 3%, but prices still rise
Deflation
An actual decline in the overall price level (e.g. a 1% CPI change over a year)
Downward Wage Rigidity
Wages don’t easily fall when labor demand drops
Why can downward wage rigidity make recessions worse by contributing to involuntary unemployment?
Firms cut payroll via layoffs instead of reducing pay, so unemployment rises more than if wages could adjust downward
Cyclical unemployment
Arises from downturns in the business cycle (recessions).
Catch-up Growth
Poorer nations can quickly improve by
implementing technology and methods already used in richer nations
How does cyclical unemployment differ from frictional and structural unemployment?
Specifically tied to insufficient demand in the economy while frictional involves normal job switch and structural involves a mismatch of worker skills or location with available jobs.
Natural rate of unemployment
The long-run unemployment level from frictional (job search) plus structural (skill/location mismatch)
Which types of unemployment remain even when the economy is at its “full employment” level?
Absent cyclical downturn persist even in a healthy economy
List one policy that promotes long-run economic growth and one that could hinder it
Promote: Investing in public education, infrastructure, R&D, immigration, or open trade
Hinder: Heavy trade barriers, underfunding human capital, or persistent political instability reducing investment
Core Inflation
Removes volatile items—often food and energy—to reveal the underlying price trend
Commodity Money
Has some intrinsic value: gold, silver, copper, barley, salt, spices
Fiat Money
Paper money whose value is derived from government decree or fiat
Inflation
The pace at which prices in general are increasing over time
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Market value of the final goods and services produced within a country's borders during a specific time period
How do you calculate GDP from a production approach?
The sum of each firm’s value-added addition to the final product
Industries sales revenue - purchases of intermediate products used in production = #
# + taxes on products - subsidies to get to market prices = GDP
How do you calculate GDP from an expenditure approach?
Add up consumption, private investment, government spending, and exports to get aggregate demand. Equal to aggregate supply: domestic supply (y) + imports and solve for y.
y = c + i + g + (x - m)
What does GDP NOT measure?
Capital depreciation (wear & tear), home production, underground activity, leisure, income inequality, externalities/spillovers, happiness
Gross National Product
Market value of everything produced by nationals of a country, even if production occurred when worker was temporarily abroad
What is the primary characteristic of a recession?
Unemployment aka negative output gap indicating economic slowdown
Malthusian Cycle
As economy grow, people have more kids --> more population leads to less resources --> famine and death
Who is considered apart of the labor force?
Anyone of working age (16+) that is currently looking for a job (in the last 4 weeks) and not in the armed forces or institutionalized
Discouraged Workers
Workers who have given up looking for a job entirely
When does the unemployment rate typically peak?
Near the end of a recession
Quantity Theory of Money
MV (all money * velocity, how quickly it moves), aka Nominal GDP = PY (prices * real GDP)
How can fiscal policy be implemented?
Increasing government spending to keep taxes the same or lowering taxes but keeping spending the same, both resulting in more government borrowing
What is expansionary fiscal policy and what does it ultimately do?
More government borrowing that results in national debt
How does fiscal policy affect labor demand?
In both lowering spending and increases taxes or lowering taxes and increasing spending, it leads to more jobs
Government Expenditure Multiplier
Policy used to determine how an increased government spending in excess of taxes is going to affect the economy
Automatic Stabilizers
Policies that kick in automatically if the economy is going into a recession. (unemployment goes up, government checks go out with unemployment insurance)
What is the Federal Reserve trying to do?
Control the money supply; raising and lowering interest rates, controlling lending behavior, and making sure banks aren’t making risks to harm us (holding all the reserves at the banks, bank hold excess cash at the Fed)
What is the impact of changing the federal funds rate?
When they raise interest rates, we borrow less and invest less. When they lower interest rates, we borrow more and invest more.
What does the MP curve measure?
The real interest rate set by monetary policy and financial markets
What does the IS curve measure?
The output gap associated with each real interest rate
What is scarcity in the context of economics?
We have the desire to consume more resources than we have so we must make optimal choices on how to allocate them
Opportunity Cost Principle
The value of the best alternative you give up when making a choice; the benefits lost from the option not chosen due to scarcity
Marginal Benefit
The benefit associated with consuming one more unit. Found by taking the difference in total benefit from the additional unit to unit before
Macroeconomics
The study of the economy at large; economy-wide phenomena like economic growth, inflation and unemployment
Competitive Equilibrium Price
The price in a perfectly competitive market where quantity demanded and quantity supplied are the same
Law of Demand
As a product’s price does up the total quantity demanded by consumers will go down
Law of Supply
As the price of goods and services increases, the quantity suppliers are willing to produce and sell also increases, assuming all other factors stay the same
Market Supply Curve
The sum of the individual supply curves of all the potential sellers
What shifts the supply curve left?
A decrease in supply, decreasing the quantity supplied at each and ever price
What shift the supply curve right?
An increase in the supply, increasing the quantity supplied at each and every price
What is the relationship between the supply curve and marginal cost?
Your supply curve is your marginal cost curve because it plots the price associated with each specific quantity of gas you might supply
What six factors shift the market demand curve?
Income, Preferences, Prices of related goods, Expectations, Congestion and network effects, The type and number of buyers
What factor does NOT shift the demand curve?
A change in price
What does a shift left in market demand do?
Lowers the equilibrium price
What does a shift right in market demand do?
Increases the equilibrium price
Inferior Goods
Goods for which demand decreases as income increases. examples: bus rides, manual toothbrushes, single ply toilet paper
Normal Goods
Goods for which demand for a good or service increases when your income is higher. examples: housing, clothes, entertainment
Complementary Goods
When the higher price of one good decreases your demand for another good or the lower price of one good increases your demand for another good. example: cheaper gas leads more people to drive, increasing the demand of cars
Substitute Goods
Goods that replace each other. example: walking, cycling, ride-sharing, and catching the bus are all substitutes for driving
Network Effect
Where a product or service becomes more useful to you as more people use it
What does an increase in number of buyer in a market do to the market demand curve?
It shifts right
How do you calculate market demand from individual demand schedules?
Horizontally sum the quantities demanded by all consumers at each specific price point to get the total market quantity for that price, then repeat for all prices to build the market demand schedule
What happens when there are more buyers than suppliers in a market?
Prices will be raised
What do suppliers do if there is a excess supply?
Lower the prices
What do suppliers do if there is a shortage in supply?
Raise the prices
What five factors cause the supply curve to shift?
Raw material price increase, technology advances that make it cheaper to make a good, the number of sellers increasing, seller expectation of future prices, changes in prices of substitutes in production
What is a Production Possibilities Curve (PPC)?
The boundary between those combinations of goods and services that can be produced and those that cannot.
Through trade we get gains from trade, and through combining skills you gain more from the market
How do you find opportunity cost through a PPC?
OC = change in good y/ change in good x
How do you know if you have comparative advantage in an activity from a PPC?
If you can perform the activity at a lower opportunity cost than anyone else
GDP Deflator Formula
Nominal GDP/Real GDP * 100
GDP per capita
A country’s total economic output divided by its population
Peak
A high point in economic activity, begins the business cycle
Trough
A low point in economic activity, comes at the end of a recession
Recession
The period during which economic activity declines between a peak and a trough
Expansion
A periods of rising economic activity running from the trough to the subsequent next peak
What factors influence shifts in the Aggregate Production Function (Productivity Curve)
improvements or declines in technology, increases in physical capital (machinery, tools), enhancements in human capital (skills, education), growth in the labor force, availability of natural resources and changes in productivity itself
Diminishing returns to capital
Adding more units of capital (machines, tools) to a production process eventually yields smaller and smaller increases in output, assuming other factors (labor, technology) stay constant