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SPR2025
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Nominal GDP
GDP measured in current dollars Current Price x Current Quantity
Real GDP
GDP measured in reference to a base year to account for overall price changes. Base Price x Current Quantity
GDP Deflator
A measure of price changes/inflation over time
Inflation Rate (GDP Deflator)
Real GDP Growth Rate
How much the value of all goods and services a country produces is growing over time, after removing the effects of inflation.
Nominal GDP Growth Rate
measures the percentage increase in a country's gross domestic product without adjusting for inflation
CPI (Consumer Price Index)
Price index using a basket
Inflation Rate (CPI)
Difference CPI and GDP Deflator for Inflation
CPI overestimates (doesn’t account for substitution of basket goods), GDP Deflator underestimates (averages all goods and services, including ones with slower price increases like tech)
Chain-weight Procedure
A method used to measure GDP by calculating growth rates in successive years and averaging them.
Unemployment Rate
Labor Force Participation Rate
Frictional Unemployment
Unemployment that occurs due to the normal workings of the labor market, often short-term. Example, new grads
Structural Unemployment
Unemployment resulting from changes in the economy's structure, leading to job loss in specific industries. Ex. AI replacing jobs
Cyclical Unemployment
Unemployment that arises from recessions or economic downturns, created by swings of the business cycles
Natural Part of Unemployment
Structural + Frictional = (usually around 4-6%)
Aggregate Output/Expenditure Equation
Income Formula (Y)
Y (Income) = C + S (Consumption + Savings)
Desired vs Actual Investment (Id)
Desired/Planned investment: planned addition to inventory by a firm
Actual investment: actual amount of investment that takes place (unplanned changes in inventories)
Desired > Actual — Firms desire to invest but do not have ability (blocked by high interest rates or low profits)
Actual > Desired — Firms invest more than they want (didn’t sell as much product as they thought, etc.)
Income vs Desired Aggregate Expenditure
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
The fraction of additional income that households spend on consumption
Consumption Function
Co – autonomous consumption aka consumption @ Y = 0
c – MPC ∆C/∆Y
Yd – disposable income
Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS)
The fraction of additional income that is saved rather than spent. ∆S/∆Y
Savings Function
S = So + MPS(Yd)
So = - Co
Savings Function
S=−C0+(1−c)Y
Multipliers
How much total spending (or output) changes when there’s a change in initial spending.
Paradox of Thrift
When households save more/consume less, overall spending decreases so Y* decreases. Households end up consuming less, but they have not saved any more!
Government Budget Deficit
Fiscal Policy
Government policy concerning taxation and spending to influence the economy.
Monetary Policy
Actions taken by the Federal Reserve to manage the money supply.
Required reserve ratio: how much banks must keep in reserves
Discount rate: interest rate that Fed charges banks
Open Market Operations: buying and selling securities
IORB Interest on Reserve Balances: incentive to keep money at Fed (making interest on money at Fed)
Multiplier Effect
The proportional amount of increase in final income that results from an injection of spending.
∆Y* = multiplier x ∆variable (like investment or gov spending)
What is the Federal Reserve and its key roles?
Federal Reserve: US central bank
Board of Governors (7), Federal Reserve Banks (12), Federal Open Market Committee (set interest rate and money supply at the Open Desk Market in NY)
Fed’s Key Roles:
Monetary Policy: control money supply
Central Banking: banker’s bank
Banking Regulation
Ways the Fed Increase Money Supply (Expansionary Monetary Policy)
Decrease Required Reserve Ratio: banks can loan out more money
Decrease Discount Rate: more loans getting taken out
Discount rate: amount banks pay fed on a loan
Buy securities in Open Market Operations: giving money to bank (and therefore economy)
Decrease Interest on Reserve Balance: (reserve balance is money bank keeps at fed in a bank account). They are going to want to have money at their bank → so they’re loaning it out
Ways the Fed Can Decrease Money Supply (Contractionary Monetary Policy)
Increase Required Reserve Ratio: banks must keep more money
Increase Discount Rate: less loans, banks are less inclined to take a loan
Sell securities: bank gives fed money (not in economy anymore)
Increase Interest on Reserve Balance: bank’s want to keep money at fed (tied up).
Implication of open economy multiplier
Government in an economy with high m (spend a lot of income on import) has less control over fiscal policy (changing G does not change Y* as much).
Government Surplus vs Deficit
(parts of this chart are wrong — please review)
Commodity Money
Money that has intrinsic value, such as gold or silver.
Fiat Money
Currency that has value because the government maintains it and people have faith in its value.
M1 vs M2
M1: most liquid form of money — meaning it’s ready to spend right now
Demand Deposits (Checking account)
Cash
Savings deposits (Savings account)
M2: M1 plus near monies (not instantly accessible)
M1 + CDs (time deposits) + retail money market funds
What is not included:
US treasury bonds
Bank’s Balance Sheet
Assets: Cash on hand, loans, deposits in the Federal Reserve, securities (bonds), reserves
Things they own or what they are owed
Liabilities: Deposits
Things they must pay back
Bank’s Balance Sheet: Assets = Liabilities + Net Worth
Required Reserves + Required Reserve Ratio
Reserves: balances that a bank has deposited at its Federal Reserve bank plus the bank’s cash on hand
Required reserve ratio (rr): the percentage of total deposits at the bank that the bank must keep as reserves
Required Reserves = rr x demand deposits
Money Multiplier
Money Multiplier: how much money increases
∆MS = K$ x deposit
Present vs Face Value of a Bond
Face Value: stated value of bond
Present Value: market price of bond
Money Demand (what happens when r goes up and down?)
Speculation Motive for Money: people hold onto bonds during higher interest rates (lower present value) and sell during low interest rates (higher present value)
Money Demand Curve
Movement Along Md curve: change in r
Shift of Md curve: change in price level Y* and aggregate output
r > r* – market prices of bonds rise and interest rates fall
r* > r – market prices of bonds drop and interest rates rise
Potential GDP (YFE)
The maximum output of an economy when all resources are fully used but not overused.