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money and interest rates, the financial sector, the central bank and financial regulation
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money
any item or medium of exchange that is widely accepted as payment for goods and services and debts
what are the four roles of money
medium of exchange, store of value, unit of account, standard of deferred payment
explain money as a medium of exchange
money can be used in transactions
explain money as a store of value
money is an asset that retains value for future transactions
explain money as a unit of account
goods and services can be placed a value determined by money
explain money as a standard of deffered payment
debts can be payed in the future due to the financial value placed upon them
what are some qualities of money
must be portable, divisible, acceptable, scarce, durable and have stability in its value
money supply
quantity of money in circulation within an economy
what process controls the money supply, what are the two types
monetary policy, expansionary and deflationary
what does expansionary monetary policy aim to do
aims to reduce the levels of the real interest rate, expands the banking systems, depreciates the exchange rate
what does deflationary monetary policy aim to do
increases interest rates on loans and savings, tightens the credit supply and makes getting loans more difficult, appreciation of the exchange rate
barter system
process of market transactions when money is not in place, where people trade goods rather than using money
double coincidence of wants
issue within the barter system, transactions can only take place when both parties want the opposites good
who issues all physical cash within an economy
its central bank
liquidity
the ease of converting an asset in the short term and the owner not incurring any costs
what do different forms of assets vary in
liquidity
what are the most liquid forms of financial worth
bank notes and coins
near money
assets that are close to being money and are not cash eg savings accounts, certificates of deposits
commodity money
money that always physically has intrinsic value such as gold coins
fiat money
government issues currency that is not commodity backed and can erode in value such as bank notes
what is the symbol for narrow money and what is it
M0, measure of the money supply that includes the most liquid assets which are notes, coins and bank deposits
what is the symbol for broad money and what is it
M4, broad money which is narrow money and near money assets that can be accessed within a five year period such as bonds, retail deposits, arguably the most inclusive definition of money
credit creation
process whereby banks can influence the money supply through giving out loans and taking deposits
how does the cycle of credit creation take place
people put deposits into banks, banks reserve an amount as liquid cash (usually 10%) and loan the rest out as credit, loans create expenditure and the money goes back into the banking system
how does the credit creation cycle result in the credit multiplier
increase in the amount of credit in the economy fuels expenditure which means more money circulating the economy and then more deposits which increases the amount of credit a bank can load out and therefore the credit multiplier
what is the value of the credit multiplier
1 / the cash ratio banks decide to hold as a decimal ie a liquid reserve of 25% sees a credit multiplier of 4 (1/0.25)
what is the general view that classical economist hold about the money supply and the price level
there is a closer relationship between the money supply and the general price level, price will only increase with more money in the supply
what does the fisher equation outline
the relationship between the money supply, velocity of circulation, general price level and real income
velocity of circulation
speed at which money changes hands, calculated through volume of transactions over the money supply
how is the volume of transactions calculated
real income x general price level
what is the fisher equation
MV=PY (money supply x velocity of circulation = price level x income)
what figures in the fisher equation represent the nominal gdp value
either MV or PY
explain the use of the fisher equation in terms of aggregate demand and aggregate supply
as the money supply increases, households have more disposable income so spend more which shifts AD out, households have more income to save so will force interest rates down and further force AD out, neoclassical LRAS has vertical supply so equilibrium regaining forces an increase in price (inflation)
represent the effect of the fisher equation on the neoclassical lras diagram
upwards shift of ad on a constant real gdp of yf
how do you calculate the real interest rate and what is it
interest that accounts for inflation, nominal interest rate - inflation rate
what is the general assumptions when using the fisher equation
the velocity of circulation is constant and real output tends to the natural rate
how do neo-classical economists evaluate the fisher equation
say that there is a close relationship between demand stability and the velocity of circulation and that the economy quickly goes to equilibrium so the fisher equation is true
how do Keynesian economists evaluate the fisher equation
say that there is no close or valid relationship between the demand for money and circulation, economy doesn’t easily return to equilibrium so fisher equation doesn’t really work
what is a general evaluation of the use of the fisher equation
difficult to identify the size of the money supply so its hard to see relationships and connections with other variables
what are there three main motives for holding money as stated by keynes
transactional demand for money, pre-cautionary demand for money, speculative demand for money
explain the transactional demand for money and its relevance to interest rates
people choose to hold money to spend it, amount is determined by income level, not much relevancy according to interest rates as income is more relevant
explain the pre-cautionary demand for money and its relevance to interest rates
people want liquid assets (savings) for emergency payments or to take advantage of future spending opportunities, links to investments, interest rate plays a bigger role as people will save with a higher rate
explain the speculative demand for money and its relevance to interest rates
bond and share prices effect whether a firm will hold financial assets in cash or bonds depending on the interest rate, high rate and high return may incentivise bonds to be purchased, bonds may be sold when prices are anticipated to fall
who thought of liquidity preference
keynes
what is liquidity preference
theory developed by keynes that describes the supply and demand for money being dictated by interest rates, high rates means that people choose to hold financial assets in bonds and low rates mean people choose to hold assets in cash
how can the central bank influence interest rates according to keynes
as liquidity preference is dictated by interest rates which is dictated by money supply, increasing the money supply lowers interest rates (more liquid assets) and decreasing the money supply raises interest rates (more non-liquid assets)
why is liquidity preference important
shapes monetary policy and signals whether the central bank should increase or decrease the money supply
how is the money supply changed
the central bank can alter credit that is loaned out to citizens by reducing or increasing the amount of required reserves commercial banks must hold
what is the base rate and how does the central bank use it
general rate of interest that is set by the MPC, sets the standard for the country and commercial banks use the rate as a guide for what to offer customers both saving and loans wise
what is the market for loanable funds
the buying and selling of credit based financial products such as loans, bonds and stocks determines the equilibrium interest rate
for a firm, how can interest rates affect their interaction with the market for loanable funds
if interest rates are high it increases the firms opportunity cost when taking out a loan for investment, may choose to use past profits or finance investment in a different way
for a household, how can interest rates affect their interaction with the market for loanable funds
may choose to save more when interest rates are high and spend more when they are low
link the circular flow of income with the market for loanable funds
as households save more and spend less (leakage), banks have a larger yield of loanable funds to offer to firms for investment expenditure (injection)
sketch the diagram for the market of loanable funds
generic supply and demand curve with savings representing the supply and investment representing the demand, interest rate sits at the equilibrium
what did keynes say about the market of loanable funds
rejected the idea that it affects interest rates because he argued interest rates are determined by the demand for money not the demand for savings and investment, ignores the fact that people may hoard cash and not all investment is interest rate driven rather by business confidence and growth
what are the five main roles of the financial sector
facilitating saving, facilitating borrowing, market of exchange of goods and services, forward markets, market for equities
what is a market for equities
market where stocks and shares can be bought and sold
what is a forward market
an agreeable contract that allows for commodities to have a stable price, setting a price for future delivery
why may the financial sector not run as smoothly in a developing economy as a developed economy
due to provision of informal markets, weak property rights, lack of a stable financial sector, asymmetric information, monopolised local finance schemes, lack of collateral
what does investment do to an ADAS diagram to show growth
cause supply to shift outwards as the production process has improved
what is the situation called when developing economies fail to stimulate investment, explain it
low level equilibrium situation where a shortage in capital leads to low per capita incomes and low savings which leads to low investment, repeating the cycle
what two processes does the potential of an economy rely on
the quantity of the factors of production available and the efficiency to which the factors of production are utilised towards production
what is the basic outline of the Harrod - Domar model
savings are crucial within an economy to boost investment
how can savings benefit an economy according to the Harrod - Domar model
more savings = more investment = more capital = more output = more revenue = more investment
why is it hard to access savings within a developing country
poor financial markets lead to a lack of savings as most of the household savings will be under the bed, loansharks are common meaning most generated income is paid back in interest, households will focus more on consumption and maintaining education and health than saving
how do developing economies face a foreign exchange gap
have to rely on imported capital as they dont have the knowledge or funds to access it themselves, therefore need foreign currency but this is in shortage due to little funds to begin with so cant access capital and face a gap
what do developing economies prioritise on importing
food, medicine etc which diminishes their ability to invest in / purchase capital
capital flight
process of FDI generated savings within a developing country being repatriated which restricts the growth and development within the developing country
how may capital flight be worse for a developing economy receiving FDI
if the FDI comes from MNCs who are more likely to repatriate their profits overseas
why are modern developing economies better off than previous economies
they have more knowledgeable strings of aid such as countries that have made mistakes in the past, they have forms of income that they can use to benefit their economy ie FDI and loans, availability of convergence with developed economies to aid development
why has convergence not occurred
developing countries cant benefit from capital provision from convergence because their human capital isn’t strong enough, need to improve education and healthcare to get an efficient working population
what is micro-finance
small scale financial loans that dont require collateral aiming to improve the economic development of an area, typically rural
why are rural areas the target for micro finance
more likely to have informal sector investment which is high in interest payments and monopolisation, small businesses have extremely low profit margins and poverty is maintained, usually low collateral as property rights are very weak
if collateral isn’t needed for micro-finance, how are loans repaid?
over time through joint liability, usually small groups based on social trust that are all responsible for repaying their loans, if they all successfully repay then they can qualify for bigger loans
what is an A02 example of the origins of micro-finance
Professor Yunus in Bangladesh launched Grameen bank which in trounced micro-finance post famine as there was an influx of low revenue small businesses in urban bangladesh, many loaners were women and loan repayment was very successful, ended up in 97% of Bangladeshi villages and significantly reduced credit exploitation from informal markets, got nobel peace prize 2006
why is the financial sector so important when it comes to economic development (eval)
means people can save money and invest into the economy (harrod-domar), eradicates the informal sector of loans, allows more money to be put into social infrastructure, benefits physical and human capital, regulation and centralisation of the financial sector reduces monopolisation
can countries develop without a stable financial sector, why
no, it underpins the whole of development whether it be through physical capital or human capital
what are the main functions of a central bank
issuing notes and coins, being a banker to the government and commercial banks, managing foreign exchange reserves, managing government borrowing, influencing interest rates and regulating financial systems
why is the central bank key in developing economies
aims to restore confidence in the banking system and set more people up with current accounts as systems are poor (sub-saharan africa 20% have accounts)
what are some additional objectives of a central bank
adhering to other government objectives, may be cultural such as bank of pakistan adhering to islamic banking where interest rates are prohibited (use of profit sharing or cost plus margins)
what functions does the uks central bank have, what is it called
bank of england, controls gov tax revenues and expenditures, issues narrow money, withholds deposits for liquidity reserves, charges banks for not adhering to practices, ranges foreign exchange and gold reserves
what is the pre 2009 banking regime that aimed to regulate the amount of liquidity within the economy
the reserves averaging regime - financial institutions would have to hold a certain amount of money every day in the central bank, penalised for funds being below and remunerated for funds being higher, aimed to maintain bank rate
what are the three main goals of the bank of England, what do these goals mean
maintaining monetary and financial stability (monetary is the price of goods and services to prevent inflation, financial is maintaining a sufficient flow of liquidity within the economy to facilitate transactions ) and being a lender of last resort (emergency loans to finance ill institutions)
how can the UKs central bank target inflation and when did this first take place
Labour 1997 brought power to the BOE to change the interest rates rather than the government so that credibility of the government is higher and rates are focused for long term efficiency rather than short term aid
what group sets the base rate and how does it work
Monetary Policy Committee- meet once a month to discuss the setting of the base rate which banks will use to set their own rates for loans and savings, also take into consideration things like unemployment and growth
what type of policy do central banks focus on
monetary policy
how can the central bank intervene in the short term to adjust interest rates and what does this help
open market operations where they buy and sell financial assets such as bonds, improves the financial stability of the economy (flow of liquidity)
what is the main form of open market operations in the UK economy
quantitative easing
what happened to the structure of the interbank market following the 2008 financial crisis
central bank moved from reserves averaging regimes to quantitative easing to buy and sell financial assets such as government bonds from commercial banks in order to improve liquidity, commercial banks were purchased from and the base rate didn’t affect the level of borrowing
how did financial regulation change following the 2008 financial crisis
realisation that old regulatory framework couldn’t keep up with changing globalised structure of the national and global financial market, changed the UKs regulation process as a result
how did globalisation contribute towards the 2008 financial crisis
development of technology and new financial assets (bonds, stocks, investments) saw institutions aiming to maximise their profits through investing in markets such as subprime mortgages, when such investments which large institutions relied on fell through, banks and companies crashed which led to recession
what regulatory bodies did the government introduce post financial crisis
the PRA, FCA, FPC
who are the PRA, what do they do and where are they based
prudential regulation authority based within the bank of england, responsible for microprudential regulation (focusing on supervising financial institutions on a firm level such as through asset valuation, capital ratios etc)
who are the FPC, what do they do and where are they based
financial policy committee based in the bank of england, responsible for macroprudential regulation (mitigating the risk of the financial system as a whole), support government policies and work with them closely
who are the FCA, what do they do and where are they based
Financial conducts authority, separate to the bank of england and regulate financial services such as financial advisers, hedge funds, broker dealers
what two groups have a secondary responsibility of supporting the governments economic policy
the MPC (monetary policy committee) and the FPC (financial policy committee)
how does the structure of financial regulation take place
the financial policy committee analyse the economy and suggest action for the financial conducts authority and prudential regulations authority to take, they either comply or suggest why the change wouldn’t be effective, FPC also define what acts and institutions need to be regulated depending on the risks associated
what two things can they financial policy committee do to mitigate the risks of a financial institution
counter cyclical capital buffers (financial institutions having a minimum amount of liquid capital to fall back on) and sectoral capital requirements (additional capital that firms require to fall back on if identified as high risk)
what does globalisation of financial institutions also require
global regulation
evaluate the 2008 financial crisis and its outcomes such as quantitative easing and improved regulation
caused high levels of public debt due to bailing out banks, showed importance of financial stability regardless of interest rates and inflation targets, poor regulation caused unemployment and a recession so key to have new regulation