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Theory
A logically consistent set of statements that explains a phenomenon of interests.
Theories are these three things…
Probabilistic, explanatory, and falsifiable
Rational Actors are…
Internally consistent
Interests
What actors want to achieve through political action (states are dominant actors).
Bargaining
Two or more actors must choose outcomes that make one better off at the expense of others (one better of, one worse off).
Cooperation
Two or more actors adopt policies that make at least one actor better off relative to the status quo without making the others worse off (both can improve, as long as one improves and the other does not).
Two ways of Interactions
Bargaining and Cooperation
Levels of Analysis
International Level, Domestic Level, Transnational Level
Is there one Level of Analysis more important than the others?
No, they are interconnected, one is not automatically more important.
Internation Level
Representatives of states with different interests interact in different forums.
Domestic Level
Subnational actors with different interests and different institutional structures.
Transnational Level
Groups that span borders (NGO, Red Cross).
International Relations has produced several broad theories including…
Realism, Institutionalism, Liberalism, Constructivism
Realism
Most developed IR Theory, International system defined by Anarchy, State power is key attribute, emphasizes material capability but does recognize economically, diplomatically power, 4 assumptions (survival is goal of every state, states are rational actors, world is uncertain, Great power politics)
Institutionalism
Similar assumptions as realism: anarchy, self-interest, rational actors. Institutions increase efficiency through centralization. International law works because of reciprocity and reputation (do me a favor, I'll do you one).
Liberalism
More complex and cohesive, National characteristics of states matter for their IR. Idea that States have different preferences. Democratic Peace-democracies that trade are less likely to fight.
Constructivism
Stress social meaning of concepts, emphasizes role of non-state actors. Argues concepts that are more than simplistic survival instinct or pursuit of power.
Mercantilism
Era between the 16th to 18th centuries. The use of military power to enrich imperial governments. Favored mother country over colonies and competing empires.
The Thirty Years War
From 1618-1648. Rising imperial powers emerge, start of State system sovereignty.
The Peace of Westphalia
Stabilized borders, helped resolve religious conflict, beginning of modern system of States; pledge of noninterference.
Fight for Hegemony
States are fighting for world domination, to set the rules, if you set the rules for the game… you most likely win.
7 Years War
1756-1763, Britain defeats French for New World dominance, also called French and Indian War.
Napoleonic War
1804-1815, France challenges Britain, Britain emerges as hegemon.
The Mercantilists Era: Interests
Security through power, control of markets and resources, "civilizing" missions.
The Mercantilists Era: Interactions
Zero- Sum bargaining among States, economic and technological superiority, subjugation of colonies.
The Mercantilists Era: Institutions
Empires
Zero-Sum
Once an actor has it, the other actors cannot have it, comes with limited supply.
The Hundred Years Peace
1815-1914, Pax Britannica, convergence of interests, Britain hegemony.
The Industrial Revolution
Altered interests, exchange replaces mercantilism, economic integration increases, mechanisms (migration, free trade, gold standard)
Why gold standard?
Can establish future contracts, it's malleable, accessible, pretty, anti-corrosive
The Gold Standard
Gold system (1870-1914), becomes major monetary system, promised exchange for pre-established rate, integrates finance.
Gold standard promotes what?
Stability and Predictability
Central Powers during Thirty Year Crisis (1914-1945)
Germany, Austria-Hungary, Ottoman Empire
Allied Powers during Thirty Year Crisis (1914-1945)
France, Russia, Japan, United States
The Treaty of Versailes
June 1918, punishes Germany as main aggressor, hyperinflation renders Germanys currency to worthless
Axis Power
Germany, Italy, Japan
Allied Powers
United States, Britain, the Soviet Union
Outcome of WWII
United States and Soviet Union emerge as super powers at the end of the war.
Cold war- The Eastern Bloc
USSR, Eastern Europe
Cold War- The Western Bloc
United States, Western Europe, Latin America
Actors
The basic unit for the analysis of International politics; can be either individuals or groups of people with common interests.
State
A central authority that has the ability to make and enforce laws, rules, and decisions within a specified territory.
Sovereighty
The expectation that States have legal and political supremacy or ultimate authorization within their territorial boundaries.
Actors are…
Purposeful and strategic
Actors are purposeful…
They develop strategies that they believe are the best response to the anticipated strategies of others.
Actors are strategic…
Each actors' strategy or plan of action depends on the anticipated strategy of others.
Can cooperation harm actors who are NOT involved?
Yes it can
Bargaining interactions are characterized by what?
Distributional conflict as each actors seeks a greater share of the good at the expense of the other, however to reach a bargain, both sides must decide that deal is better than the alternative.
Coordination
A type of cooperative interaction in which actors benefit from all making the same choices and subsequently have NO incentive NOT to comply.
Collaboration
A type of cooperative interpretation in which actors gain from working together but nonetheless have incentives NOT to comply with any agreement.
Single Shot Simultaneous Game
Only once, the dominant strategy is to defect. The dynamics change with repetition.
Public Goods
Products that are excludable and non-rival in consumption, such as national defense.
Collective Action Problems
Obstacles to cooperation that occur when actors have incentives to collaborate but each acts with the expectation that others will pay the costs of cooperation.
Free Riding
The failure to contribute to a public good while benefitting from the contributions of others.
Veto-Players
Decision nodes that can terminate a process, this makes things difficult at times.
Iteration
Repeated interactions with the same partners.
Side-Payment
Theoretically a bribe
Linkage
The linking of cooperation on one issue to interactions on a second issue.
Power
Is the ability of Actor A to get Actor B to do something that Actor B would otherwise not do; the ability to get the other side to make concessions and to avoid having to make concessions oneself.
Reversion Outcome
The outcome that occurs when no bargain is achieved.
Coercion
A strategy of imposing or threatening to impose costs on other actor in order to induce a change in their behavior.
Outside Options
The alternatives to bargaining with a specific actor.
Agenda Setting
Actions taken before or during bargaining that make the reversion outcome more favorable for one party.