Risk assesment
involves identifying hazards and evaluating their associated risks
comparative risk analysis
ranking risks
risk management
determining option and making decisions about reducing or eliminating risks
risk communication
informing decision makers and the public about risks
Risk
the possibility of suffering harm from a hazard that can cause injury, disease, economic loss, or environmental damage.
Risk is expressed in terms of
Probability
Major types of hazards
cultural, chemical, physical, biological
Cultural hazards
poor diet, drugs, driving, assault
Chemical hazards
harmful chemicals in the air, water, soil and food
Physical hazards
fire, weather, radiation
Biological hazards
pathogens, allergens and animals
toxic chemical
is one that can cause temporary or permanent harm or death
Hazardous chemicals are
Flammable or explosive
Irritating or damaging to the skin or lungs
Interfering with oxygen uptake
Inducing allergic reactions
Mutagens
cause random mutations in DNA
Carcinogens
promote growth of malignant tumors
One major problem with some chemical hazards
particularly heavy metals and persistent organic pollutants (POPs) is bioaccumulation and biomagnification
Bioaccumulation
is an increase in the concentration of a chemical in specific organs or tissues over time
Biomagnification
is an increase in concentration of chemicals in organisms at successively higher trophic levels
Minamata Disease
is not a disease but refers to the neurological effects from mercury poisoning. It was first discovered in 1956 in Minamata, Japan, where methyl mercury from industrial wastewater bioaccumulated in the fish and shellfish that people ate
The median lethal dose (LD50)
is the amount of chemical received in one dose that kills exactly 50% of the subjects in a test population
A poison
is a chemical that has an LD50 of 50 mg or less per kilogram of body weight
The threshold level of toxicity
is the dose below which no toxic effects are observed and/or above which the toxic effects are apparent
Physical Hazard 1
Earthquakes resulting in loss of life and property
Physical Hazard 2
Volcanoes resulting in loss of life and property
Physical Hazard 3
Ionizing Radiation in the form of X-rays, radiation from nuclear sources, and UV radiation from the sun or sun lamps
Nontransmissible diseases
are not caused by living organisms and do not from one person to another
examples of nontransmissible diseases
diabetes, bronchitis, malnutrition, mesothelioma
transmissible diseases
are caused by living organisms and can be spread from one person to another. The infectious agent is called a pathogen.
examples of transmissible diseases
tuberculosis, HIV, West Nile, cholera, malaria, dysentery, SARS, MERS, COVID
Number of Deaths Worldwide per year (in millions)
3.2 - Pneumonia and Flue
2.1 – HIV/AIDS
1.9 – Diarrheal diseases
1.7 – Tuberculosis
1.0 – Malaria
1.0 – Hepatitis B
0.8 - Measles
The Zika virus
first identified in Africa in 1947, is spread primarily through mosquitoes. ___ can cause birth defects and has no cure, though only one in five infected people die. It has been spreading faster in recent years, with a notable outbreak in 2016, in part due to warming global temperature.
Ebola
has killed one person in the U.S. and that person had just returned from Liberia where he contracted the disease. In comparison, an American dies every 33 seconds from Heart Disease.
Worst Ebola Outbreak
In 2014, about 5,000 died, mostly in West Africa
CoronaVirus (COVID-19)
originated from a live animal market in Wuhan, China in December of 2019 and was declared an outbreak of international concern by the World Heath Organization by January of 2020. Spreading very easily, COVID-19 has infected more than 761 million people, killing more than 1.14 in the U.S. and 6.8 million Worldwide (as of 03/2023).
Leading Causes of Death in the US (CDC 2017)
#1 – heart disease #6 – Alzheimer’s disease
#2 – cancer #7 - diabetes
#3 – accidents (falls/vehicles) #8 – influenza & pneumonia
#4 – respiratory disease #9 – kidney disease
#5 – stroke #10 - suicide
As a country industrializes, it usually makes an epidemiological transition (ET)
where chronic diseases overtake childhood infectious diseases in mortality
ET Phase 1
is characterized by extremely high death rates with peaks due to epidemics, famines, and wars
ET Phase 2
is characterized by less frequent epidemic peaks and a dropping death rate due to medical advances
ET Phase 3
Phase three is characterized by a leveling off of death rate with most death occurring from nontransmissible diseases associated with aging
ET Phase 4
continues with a level death rate and shows an increasing average life span due to medical advances
ET Phase 5
shows an increase in death rate due to the reemergence of new infectious diseases due to urbanization and the overuse of antibiotics and pesticides