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Consumer price index (CPI)
measure of the overall cost of goods and services bought by a typical consumer
monitor changes in teh cost of living over time
CPI = [Basket’s cost in current year / Basket’s cost in the base year] x 100
How is the CPI calculated?
Fix the basket
- the bureau of labor statisitcs (BLS) surveys consumers to find the basket of goods and services bought by the typical consumer
Find the prices
- the BLS collects data on the prices of al lthe goods in the basket
Compute the basket’s cost
- use the prices to compute the total cost of the basket.
Choose a base year and compute the CPI
- deignate a year as the base year (benchmark)
Compute the inflation rate
- percentage change in teh CPI from teh preceding period
Infaltion rate (CPI)
(CPI this year - CPI last year)/ CPI last year x 100
Substitution bias
some prices rise faster than others over time
consumers substitute toward goods that become relatively cheaper
THe CPI misses this substitution because it uses a fixed basket of goods
Thus, the CPI overstates increases in the cost of living
Introduction of New Goods
increases variety, allows consumers to find products that more closely meet their needs
in effect, dollars become more valuable
The CPI misses effect because it uses a fixed basket of goods.
Unmeasured quality change
improvements in the quality of goods in the basket increase the value of each dollar
the BLS tries to account for quality changes, but probably misses some, as quality is hard to measure.
Thus, the CPI overstates increases in the cost of living.
Imported consumer goods
included in CPI but excluded from GDP deflator
Capital goods
excluded from CPI but included in GDP deflator
the basket
CPI: fixed basket; prices of all goods and services bought by consumers
GDP deflator: prices of all goods and services currently produced domestically.