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Basic features of a cap-and-trade system.
gov sets absolute ceiling (cap) on total GHG volume that regulated sectors can emit over a specific timeframe
then they issue corresponding number of tradable emission allowances , each representing the right to emit 1 ton of CO2
regulated firms must surrender enough allowances to cover verified emissions at the end of the period
result: market where allowances can be bought & sold to establish a carbon price
What is the difference between a downstream and an upstream system?
downstream: regulates end-users of energy at point of pollution → targets power plants, heavy factories, manufacturing, forcing them to pay for emissions they release
upstream: regulates entry point of fossil fuels into the economy → targets producers, importers, & refiners, forcing them to pay for the carbon content of the fuels they sell
How a firm’s marginal abatement cost determines its demand for emission rights.
MAC curve serves as its inverse demand curve for emission allowances
if prevailing market price of an allowance > firm’s abatement costs for a ton of carbon → they abate emissions & sell excess permits for profit
if internal abatement costs > market price of an allowance → they increase market demand by purchasing allowances to cover its pollution
What is currently the share of global GHG that is covered by Emission trading systems?
compliance emission trading systems operate across multiple regions worldwide & cover 17-23% of global GHG emissions
expansions of those systems was driven by a launch of china’s national ETS & ongoing updates to regional frameworks across europe & north america
Explain features of current EU ETS: coverage, linear reduction factor, and market stability reserve.
coverage: heavy industrial installations, electricity generation, intra-european aviation → 40% of EUs GHG emissions
linear reduction factor: mechanism that shrinks total cap of available allowances by a fixed % each year → guarantees predictable pollution reduction over time
market stability reserve: regulatory vault that absorbs excess allowances from market during gluts & releases them during shortages → stabilise prices & prevent collapse in carbon value
Why is the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism to prevent carbon leakage?
imposes carbon price on carbon-intensive goods imported into EU from countries with weaker climate regulations
ensures carbon goods from foreign countries face same carbon costs as goods produced domestically (in EU)
eliminates financial incentive for companies to move production abroad to avoid costs
Please explain the main features of the EU ETS 2 system.
separate, parallel emissions trading system to expand carbon pricing to sectors omitted from original EU ETS, specifically building heating & road transport
upstream system → puts compliance obligation directly on fuel producers
has its own cap , allocation rules, & dedicated price-containment mechanism to shield consumers from extreme fuel price spikes
Why the price for EUAs collapsed fast after starting Phase I of the EU ETS.
european commission allocated emissions caps based on historical business projections, not verified data
result: over-allocation of free permits
phase 1 rules prohibited firms from banking unused allowances for use in phase 2
market was oversupplied → value of permits became 0 since they couldn’t be saved for future years
Explanation for EUA price decline (2008–2018) and subsequent rise post-2018.
triggered by global financial crisis: sharply reduced industrial output & left market with surplus of unneeded allowances
post-2018 rise: major structural reforms, implementation of the Market Stability Reserve → aggressively removed excess permits from the market
regulatory tightening & announcement of more ambitious 2030 climate targets signalled future scarcity & restored investor confidene
What has happened to EUA prices during Phase IV? Explain two contributing developments.
reached historic highs → sometimes 80-100+ euros per ton
EU’s ‘fit for 55’ legislative package which tightened the linear reduction factor & accelerated the annual shrinkage of the cap
structural shift away from russian natural gas forced power plants to burn more carbon-intensive coal, triggering a sudden, urgent surge in demand for allowances to cover the higher emissions
Average empirical evidence regarding EU ETS impact on emission reductions and carbon leakage.
drove down emissions in regulated sectors, particularly in power generation where it accelerated the phase-out of coal
significant carbon leakage was avoided so far, because EU provided free allocation of to vulnerable industries during earlier phases
Please explain 3 advantages a cap-and-trade system has in comparison to green taxes.
environmental certainty: gov sets fixed ceiling on emissions → tax can’t guarantee precise level of pollution reduction
automatically adjusts macro-economic shifts → in recessions, demand for permits drops & prices fall
more politically palatable to industry, as govs can distribute free initial allowances to ease the transition → harder to replicate under rigid tax structure
Please explain 3 advantages a green tax has in comparison to a cap-and-trade system.
price predictability → allows businesses to plan long-term investments with knowledge of future carbon liabilities without facing volatile market swings
avoids big admin complexity, regulatory overhead, & monitoring costs needed to establish & police a tradeable asset market
prevents large market players from hoarding allowances or manipulating permit prices → equal playing field
Why companion energy reduction policies have no impact on overall emissions under a cap-and-trade system.
total volume of allowed emissions is locked by aggregate number of permits issued under the cap
if a separate policy successfully lowers electricity consumption, it reduces power plants demand for permits → allows price drop
these cheap, unused allowances are purchased & used by other regulated industries to expand their own emissions → net-0 change to overall emissions
Compare emission ceilings, green taxes, and emission trading with respect to economic efficiency.
green taxes & emission trading systems: market-base tools, achieve static & dynamic economic efficiency by equalising MAC across firms, minimising total clean up costs
emission ceilings: economically inefficient, as they force every firm to meet same target regardless of cost differences → prevents low-cost abaters from taking on more burden & deprives firms of financial incentives to improve tech beyond legal requirements
Explain two advantages of ceilings and bans compared to green taxes and emission trading.
clarity & performance simplicity: ideal for managing localised, highly toxic substances where exposure is an immediate hazard
bypass the complex admin machinery & monitoring networks needed to run permit markets or collect tax revenues → effective in jurisdiction lacking sophisticated institutional capacity
Impact of the Global Commercial Whaling Moratorium on whales killed and population recovery.
led to immediate, dramatic drop in total number of whales killed worldwide, halting industrialised commercial hunting
ban provided vital ecological breathing room, allowing depleted whale populations to recover structurally
some species still struggle due to illegal or non-compliant hunting conducted & modern threats