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Decision Making
Defined as the process of identifying and choosing alternative courses of action in a manner appropriate to the demands of the situation.
It is the heart of all the management functions.
Indecisive Managers
Should be removed from their position ASAP
Three Levels of Decision Making
• Management must strive to choose a decision option as correctly as possible.
• They are responsible for whatever outcome their decisions bring.
• The higher the management level is, the bigger and more complicated decision making becomes.
Top Level Management
Three Levels of Decision Making
Strategic Decisions (Long Term)
Middle-Level Management
Three Levels of Decision Making
Tactical Decisions (Intermediate Range)
First-Line Management
Three Levels of Decision Making
Operational Decisions (Day to day operations)
Decision Making Process
1. Diagnose the Problem
2. Analyze Environment
3. Develop Viable Alternatives
4. Evaluate Alternatives
5. Make a Choice
6. Implement Decision
7. Evaluate and Adapt Decion Results
David H. Holt
According to him, rational decision making is a process
Problem
A problem exists when there is a difference between an actual situation and a desired situation.
Environmental Analysis
Identification of constraint, which may be spelled out as internal or external limitations.
Internal Limitations
Limited funds; Limited training; Ill-designed facilities
External Limitations
Patents; Limited market; Strict enforcement of local zoning regulations
Internal Environment
Components of the Environment
Organizational activities within a firm that surrounds decision making.
External Environment
Components of the Environment
Variables that are outside the organization and not typically within the short-run control of top management.
Organizational Aspects
The Engineering Firm and the Internal Environment in Decision Making
e.g. org, structures, policies, procedures, rules, ability of management, etc.
Marketing Aspects
The Engineering Firm and the Internal Environment in Decision Making
e.g. product strategy, promotion strategy, etc.
Personnel Aspects
The Engineering Firm and the Internal Environment in Decision Making
e.g. recruitment practices, incentive systems, etc.
Production Aspects
The Engineering Firm and the Internal Environment in Decision Making
e.g. plant facility layout, inventory control, etc.
Financial Aspects
The Engineering Firm and the Internal Environment in Decision Making
e.g. liquidity, profitability, etc.
External stakeholders of the Engineering Firm
• Government
• Labor Unions
• Suppliers
• Banks
• Clients
• Engineers
• Competitors
• Public
Value of the alternatives
Benefits that can be expected.
Cost of the alternative
Out-of-pocket costs, opportunity costs, and follow-on costs.
Risk Characteristics
Likelihood of achieving the goals of the alternatives.
Diesel Generator
Reliable, lower upfront cost; High fuel cost and pollution
Battery Storage with Solar Panels
Clean energy, long-term savings; High initial investment
Hybrid System (Diesel + Solar + Battery)
Balanced cost and reliability; More complex system to maintain
Choice-making
Refers to the process of selecting among alternatives representing potential solutions to a problem.
Implementation
Refers to carrying out the decision so that the objectives sought will be achieved.
To make implementation effective, a plan must be devised.
Desired result
Good Decision
Not Achieved
Further Analysis
Feedback
The process which requires checking at each stage of the process to assure that the alternatives generated, the criteria used in evaluation, and the solution selected for implementation are in keeping with the goals and objectives originally specified.
Control
Actions made to ensure that activities performed match the desired activities or goals that have been set.
Results Achieved
Adapt Decision Results
Results Not Achieved
Determine steps where error was made