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health provider-population ratio
widely used metric to determine how many health providers are appropriate for the population
this can be used for any professionals that are viewed as important to the functioning of society
limitations of nurse-population ratio
based on a need for services that currently exist
static point measure
the ratio does account for possible productivity changes, which are likely to occur due to technology, or changes in the way care is given
it does not provide info on the importance of a surplus or shortage
projections of shortages and surpluses using the ratio technique has been notoriously inaccurate over time
rate of return
calculated by comparing the costs of the investment with the expected higher financial returns that result from that investment
these relationships are typically illustrated graphically using supply and demand style charts
short term effects of a nurse shortage in a private market
there will be an increase in the number of patients needing services
this will initially mean patients would find it more difficult to schedule an appointment with a health provider
likely
waiting times will increase
the nurses bargaining position with the employer will improve, and nurses salaries, bonuses will increase
they will likely add staff to increase their productivity, so that the nurses can care for more patients
when demand for nurses exceeds supply, the labor market moves to a new, higher price equilibrium
these higher costs lead to more frequent cases of cost-related medical non-adherence
long term effects of a nurse shortage in a private market
as nurses’ incomes rise, the demand for nursing education increases
students are more likely to pursue nursing degrees, and demand grows even more rapidly for specialties experiencing the highest patient demand
a central question is whether nursing schools can expand capacity to meet the rising demand
if nursing schools are not able to expand, students who are pursuing a nursing education will seek such an education in non-traditional areas
as a result of the greater supply of nurses, generated by a higher rate of return on a nursing education, the following effects may be seen
the number of students graduating from nursing school will continue to increase
nursing incomes will no longer increase more rapidly than those of other professions
the response by students, hospital administrators, and nursing schools will result in the elimination of a shortage over time, however, the change will not be immediate
short term effects of a nurse surplus in a private market
reduced workload and lower patient volume
greater willingness to negotiate for patient volume
downward pressure on wages
wages may lag behind inflation
long term effects of a nurse surplus in a private market
as the supply of nurses continues to exceed demand, downward pressure on wages persists, and nurse salaries stabilize at lower levels
over time, this reduces the financial attractiveness of entering the profession, leading fewer students to pursue nursing education
hospitals and other private market employers benefit from greater staffing flexibility and lower labor costs, which may allow them to expand services or invest in other areas of care delivery
however, the reduced rate of return on nursing education gradually slows the inflow of new nurses
as fewer individuals enter the profession, the surplus diminishes, and the market moves toward a new long-run equilibrium, which is very close to the initial equilibrium point
hospitals early 1800s-1900
they functioned as aplace where food, shelter, and meager medical care was supplied to the sick/poor, armies, and those with contagious disease
essnetially, where they went to die
served as a social welfare function
financed through charitable gifts and local government donations
done instead of having taxes pay for services
NPO model was adopted in the past, America was. amajority agriculture country and many did not see the need for organized medical establishments
hospitals 1900-present
factors that led to a shift in demand for hospitals
technological advancement
Baby Boomers
created huge demands for maternity and pediatric services
Medicare/Medicaid Act 1965
PPACA 2010
economic evaluation
those who plan, provide, or pay for health services face a persistent barrage of questioning such as
should individuals be encouraged to request annual check ups?
should local health departments move scarce nursing personnel from well baby clinics, so they can carry out home vists on the home bound senior population?
should hospital administrators purchase new diagnostic equipment?
should a drug be listed on the formulary?
meaning of economic evaluation
cost and consequences
choice
cost and consequences
few of us would pay a specific price for package whose contents were unknown
conversely, few of us would accept the package, even if its contents were known and desired, until we know the specific price being asked
choice
resource scarcity, and our inability to be all things to all people requires that choices be made
these choices are based on many criteria which sometimes explicit but often implicit
economic analysis seeks to identify and to make explicit one set of criteria which may be useful in deciding among different choices
definition of economic evaluation
the comparative analysis of alternative courses of action, which is based in terms of the specified action’s cost and consequences
the basic task of any economic avaluation are to identify, measure, value, and compare the cost and conseuqneces of the alternatives being considered
the focus of economic evaluation
can it work?
concerned with efficiency
does it work?
concerned with effectiveness or usefulness
is it reaching those who need it?
resources such as people, time, facilties, equipment, and knowledge are scarce
without systematic analysis, it’s difficult to identify the relevant alternatives
the viewpoint assumed for the analysis is important
without some attempted measurement, the uncertainty surrounding orders of magnitude can be critical
CMA
cost minimization analysis
focused on achieving the least cost alternative
not concerned with the effectiveness of the procedures
only addresses on dimension
CEA
cost effectiveness analysis
focus on the costs and effectiveness of an action
expressed in terms of a ratio
the denominator is the gain in health
the numerator is the costs associated with the health gain
costs are related to the effects of the action
assumes the onset that the indefensible do-nothing alternative does not exist
it is not possible to reduce the outcome of interest to a single effect common to both alternatives
without a common denopminator, comparison is impossible
CBA
cost benefit analysis
measures both the cost and consequences of alternatives in dollars
can be used to make an economic decision of any kind
provides an estimate of the value of resources used by each program compared to the value of resources the program might save or create
assigns a monetary value to the measure of effect
the consequences of a service program will often be expressed in terms of the dollar benfit
expresses effects into their dollar benefit
the monetization of an outcome is not an easy task
sometimes inappropriate to assign
ethical problems
as a result, often not used in healthcare delivery
implicitly assumes that each program is being compared to do nothing alternative which entails no cost and no benefits
CUA
cost utility analysis
enables comparison across different health programs and policies by using a common unit of measurement
a comparison unit is known as a quality-adjusted life year
provides a more complete analysis of total benefits
what do QALYs measure?
number of people helped
duration of effects
time preference
risk attitudes
illness severity
patient age
ignores
personal responsibility
fairness