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what is exponential growth
bigger it gets, faster it gets
what is exponential decay
shrinks quick then slows (not reaching 0)
why does exponential growth happen
birth + deaths are constant
more births than deaths
no limiting resources
why does exponential decay happen
resource depletion
what is discrete time
specific, separate time steps e.g. breeding seasons, generations don’t overlap
what is continuous time
constantly, at every instant e.g. bacteria and overlapping generations
what is the definition of density dependence in population ecology
population growth is influenced by the current population density
what does the carrying capacity (K) represent in population dynamics
the maximum population size an environment can sustain
what’s the equation for logistic growth in continuous time
dN/dt = rN1- N/K)
what happens to population growth when N = K in the logistic growth model
Population growth rate is 0
what is intrinsic growth rate ( r )
the per capita rate of population increase in an ideal environment
what does a bifurcation plot show in population dynamics
how changes in the intrinsic growth rate ( r ) affect population stability
what is the per-capita growth rate (pgr) in logistic growth
pgr = r(1- N/K)
what is the equilibrium density N* I the logistic growth model
N* = K
what is the difference between density dependent and density independent factors
density dependent factors are influenced by population density while density-independent factors are not
what is the transient phase
the initial period of adjustment before reaching equibrilium
what is the Lefkovitch matrix used for
is a way to model population growth for organisms that go through life stages (insects)
what does a lefkovitch matrix show
a table showing
1 who survives to the next stage
2 who stays in the same stage
3 who produces offspring (and how many)
what is a Leslie matrix used for
for age-structured populations
what do the rows of a transition matrix represent
how many individuals enter each stage in the next step
what do the columns of a transition matrix represent
where individuals from each stage go (stay, grow, preproduce))
What is fecundity in a matrix model?
The number of offspring produced by individuals in a certain stage.
why might targeting juveniles in conservation be less effective
because adults often have a larger impact on population growth (reproduction)
What is the meaning of eigenvalues in matrix population models?
they tell us the long-term growth rate of the population
Develop the analytical structure of stage-structured population models using the Lefkovitch matrix. Explain how transitions between stages are represented, including the roles of survival, fecundity, and progression probabilities. Discuss how these models can be extended to incorporate density dependence, and describe how population projections and sensitivities can be analysed using eigenvalues and eigenvectors. Include examples of biological systems that benefit from stage-structured modelling, and outline how such models can be implemented in R.
introduction introducing population models and explain why age/stage matters in real populations. state focus
main body - define lefkovitch matrix model and show basic form in diagram
main body - use a concrete example (insect larvae, nymph, adult) and discuss restraints (no adults = no larvae = 0) clarify assumptions e.g. discrete time steps, individuals can stay or move through stages
main body - add density dependence so make more accurate and real life examples (seeds, metamorhpis)
main body - by calculating eigenvalues and eigenvectors we can determine the long term growth rate and distribution of individuals across a life stage
main body R implementation
strengths and weaknesses (good for predicting real outcomes, more complex and requires more data)
conclusion
what would R implementation look like for a stage structured matrix
A <- matrix(c(0, 2, 3,
0.5, 0.3, 0,
0, 0.6, 0.7),
nrow = 3, byrow = TRUE)
what is an isocline
line of equal slope (no change)
what is an eigenvector
the shape/structure of the population when things have stabalized
(percentages)
what is an eigenvalue do
tells you how fast the population grows or shrinks in the long run
what are three main types of species interactions
competition (- -), mutualism (+ +) and predation (+ -)
what is the Lotka-Volterra competition model used for
to describe how two species compete for shared resources and predict outcomes like coexistence or exclusion
what is a functional response in predator-prey models
how the rate of prey consumption changes with prey density
What are the three types of functional responses (Holling)?
Type I: Linear (constant consumption)
Type II: Slows down at high prey density
Type III: S-shaped curve, slow at low prey density, then increases
what is stochasticity in population ecology
random variation in population processes due to environmental or demographic factors
what is the difference between demographic and environmental stochasticity
demographic = random death/birth in individuals
environmental = changes in climate/weather affecting everyone
what is the key difference between deterministic and stochastic models
deterministic models give the same outcome every time; stochastic models include randomness so vary
how do you model environmental randomness in growth
by adding a random term 𝜀 to the growth equation
What does 𝜀 > 0 or 𝜀 < 0 represent in stochastic growth models?
𝜀 > 0 = good year (faster growth)
𝜀 < 0 = bad year (slower growth or decline)
how can you estimate parameters like r and K from data
using linear regression on population growth rate vs population size
why are multiple simulation runs important in stochastic models
randomness means each run gives a different result. multiple runs can show average trends and variability
Describe how demographic and environmental stochasticity influence population dynamics over time. compare deterministic and stochastic models of population growth highlighting how environmental variability is incorporated mathematically. using examples from real populations, explain the role of random variation in extinction risk ad population persistence. outline how population growth parameters can be estimated using regression techniques in R and illustrate your answer with appropriate equations and plots.
introduction - define population dynamics, introduce stochasticity as unpredictable variation affecting growth. briefly mention deterministic vs stochastic models
main body - demographic vs environmental stochasticity
main body - deterministic vs stochastic models
main body - consequences of stochasticity and estimate parameters (r from the intercept and K from the -r slope)
main body - the importance of multiple simulations and real life examples (magpie parasitism)
conclusion
what are nodes and links in a Network
Nodes - vertices (species, people)
Links/Edges - interactions (trophic, social)
examples of Networks
WWW
Freindships
Airports
metabolic
why are networks useful
more synthetic representation of the data
analyse sub communities, distributions of links and importance of certain vertices and links
identify key individuals or patterns
describe how ecological networks can be constructed and analysed. include in your answer an explanation of key network metrics such as degree, centrality, modularity and connectence. discuss how network structure influences ecosystem stability and resilience, using examples from real-world or experimental ecological systems.
introduction - dfine an ecological network and state the importance in understanding community structure, function and stability. mention common types e.g. food webs, mutualistic networks
main body - describe how networks are built from field and lab data
main body - describe and interpret key structural measures e.g. degree, centrality, modularity, connectence
main body - robustness to species loss (more connected = more stable), trophic cascades
main body - real life examples
conclusion
what is a degree
number of links per node
example of high degree and low degree
high degree = generalist
low degree = specialist
what is degree centrality
highly connected nodes
what is betweenness centrality
nodes that act as bridges
what is modularity
measures how well a network divides into clusters or communities
what is connectence
proportion of possible links that are realised
Connectance= Actual links/ total possible links
what is a phase-plane diagram
a graph that shows how the population sizes of two species change over time. shows how one species changes with respect to the other