economic growth, development, unemployment, inflation, bop, exchange rates, (not yet in but trends and income distribution/ welfare)
what is short term economic growth
short term effects influencing economic growth such as changes in real gdp, changes in aggregate demand, changes in SRAS, short term supply and demand shocks, short term policy changes
what is long term economic growth
growth of the economy that will be sustained in the long run through improving labour and capital productivity, technological processes, strength in enterprise, changes in labour force, investment rates
example of short run economic growth/ decline
covid
example of long run economic growth/ decline
brexit
how is long term economic growth shown on a ppf
outward shift
how is short term economic growth shown on a ppf
movement or being closer to full capacity
provide some examples of drivers of economic growth
expansion of capital stock, increasing active labour supply, extracting and selling natural resources, improving factor productivity, increased enterprise
economic growth
% increase in real GDP
FDI
foreign direct investment, other countries providing investment
policies to attract inwards FDI
low coorperation tax, soft loans (long payback periods with low interest), subsidies, trade agreements, flexible labour market, special economic zones, high quality infrastructure, low cost labour
what is the effect of economic growth on interest rates and inflation
rise in interest rates and inflation due to increased consumption
demand pull inflation
higher demand so prices go up
cost push inflation
business costs increase so prices must rise accordingly
what are the effects of economic growth on the environment
negative externalities such as pollution and increased waste, over consumption of non-renewable resources so unsustainability
what are the effects of economic growth on people
those at the top receive the most economic benefit from growth increasing wealth inequality
what are some constraints and drawbacks of economic growth
weaknesses to human capital through skills shortages, infrastructure gaps, rising income inequality, primary export dependency, corruption and financial misconduct,insufficient savings and more debt, natural capital depletion
explain how an increase in savings leads to increased gdp
more savings= more investment= more capital stock= increase in gdp/gni= increase in incomes
capital deepening
more capital per worker through investment
brain drain
skilled educated workers leaving the coutry to work overseas
what are some main benefits of economic growth
improved living standards, lower unemployment, accelerator, increased tax revenue, decreased welfare dependency
benefits of technological change
rise in productivity, new goods and services produced, improved health
what are the three types of economic growth
balanced economic growth, sustainable growth, inclusive growth
balanced economic growth
balance between sectors and industries, stock and output grows at the same rate
sustainable economic growth
meeting the needs of current generations without limiting growth for future generations
inclusive economic growth
everyone benefitting from economic growth
what is sustained long run economic growth
building trust and social capital, growing intra-regional trade, improving institutions, growing a dynamic private sector, controlling inflation, addressing fairness
unemployed
people that are available to work but cannot find a job despite actively searching for one
what % of unemployed people have been so for over a year
40%
claimant count
(JSA, jobseekers allowance), count of how many people are claiming jobseekers benefits, counted by jobcentres
Labour force survey
survey conducted once a month analysing the attitudes and behaviours of unemployed people
long term unemployed
unemployed for atleast one year
full employment
when there are enough job vacancies for all the unemployed
discouraged workers
people that are out of work and may give up seeking work such as criminals
economically inactive
people of working age (16+) that are not working or actively seeking work
employment rate
% of population in full time or part time work
unemployment rate
% of population not in full time or part time work
underemployment
a person possessing the skills or willingness to work other jobs but not
hidden unemployment
people not declaring themselves as unemployed due to embarrassment
seasonal unemployment
changes in employment due to seasons such as christmas
structural unemployment
mismatch of skills and job opportunities as pattern of labour demand changes e.g decreased coal miners
frictional unemployment
transitional unemployment when moving between jobs
cyclical unemployment
the economic cycle resulting in an increase or decrease in employment in relation to an increase in AD or decrease
what will firms do to their labour force when a recession hits
reduce employment to cut labour costs through labour shedding
what are some reasons for structural unemployment
decline of manufacturing, occupational immobility, geographical immobility, technology replacing jobs, foreign competition i.e imports, long term regional decline, disincentives such as the poverty trap, outsourcing production overseas
what are some economic effects of unemployment
fall in real incomes and living standards, brain drain, higher levels of welfare and a drop in tax revenue so less investment by government
what are some social effects of unemployment
increase in welfare dependency and therefore poverty, increase in relative poverty, extra institutional demand such as pressure on the NHS due to stress related illnesses
what are some benfits of unemployment
low inflation/ reduced risk of inflation, pool of unemployed labour for growing businesses
what are the effects on unemployment on labour
less work experience for people leading tp cv gaps and a loss of skills, loss of income leading to a decline in health due to stress related illness along with high interest, changing job patterns as new jobs differ from old ones and structural unemployment makes it harder for people to get into new jobs that require skills
what is youth unemployment
people aged 16-24 who are unemployed
what are the causes of youth unemployment
skills gaps such as reading and numeracy, reluctant employers not willing to upskill youth, falling retirement where people are either retiring later or coming out of retirement later so decreasing job opportunities, low GDP growth and business confidence
NEET
not in education employment or training, outsiders of society that do not provide to the economy
what are some labour demand (targeted towards business and government) policies that aim to reduce unemployment
macro stimulus (low interest rates, depreciation of the exchange rate, infrastructure investment) cutting employment costs (reducing national insurance, financial support for apprenticeships, extra funding for policy such as business grants), competitiveness policies (reduction in cooperation tax, tax incentives for research and innovation, enterprise policies for start ups such as grants)
what are some labour supply (targeted towards individuals) policies that aim to reduce unemployment
reducing occupational immobility (training funding, teaching new skills such as coding, expansion of apprenticeship programmes), improving geographical immobility (increase in housing, decrease in rent and mortgage costs, regional policy fir new jobs), stimulation of stronger work incentives (higher minimum wage, reductions in income tax or national insurance, welfare reforms to reduce the poverty trap)
what are some barriers to lowering unemployment
high levels of structural unemployment, pockets of areas with low employment and economic activity, complex welfare system, high housing costs, high childcare costs, low paid jobs, underemployment, high dependency on public sector, skills shortages and differences in education
nominal
current price, usually not adjusted for inflation
real
actual price, adjusted for inflation
inflation
sustained increase in the general price level
how is the rate of inflation measured
annual percentage change in consumer prices
what is the government targeted rate of inflation
2%
CPI
consumer price index, measure of the price levels in an economy based on the prices of a collection of products that are thought to reflect average consumption (food, holidays, entertainment etc)
deflation
decline in general price level and inflation going below 0%
disinflation
inflation declining from the previous value but not below 0% e.g 5% to 2%
hyper-inflation
rapid and unrestrained increases in inflation, usually over 50% which results in a fall in consumer confidence and a loss of confidence in an economy’s currency
unit labour costs
average costs of labour per unit of output produced
what are the two types of inflation
demand pull and cost push
demand pull inflation
inflation that arises due to an increase in demand pulling prices up as firms are able to charge more money due to more disposable income
positive output gap
usually follows demand pull inflation, economy is producing more product than planned leading to a positive output
cost push inflation
rising wage costs and component costs for materials so businesses have to push prices up to combat costs
administered prices
prices that are dictated by government bodies including goods and services (train fares, water bills), taxes (subsidies, indirect taxation, environmental taxes)
inflation expectations
the general public’s reaction to the rise in inflation, can lead to protests, strikes etc
what are some downsides to CPI
households have different spending patterns, no indication for change in spending following change in quality, new products take long to come into CPI
RPI
retail price index, everything that is sold on the domestic market regardless of popularity, includes mortgages and taxes
what are some internal causes of inflation
surge in property prices, boom in credit/ money supply, higher wages/ labour costs, rises in business taxes/ VAT
what are some external causes of inflation
increase in world oil/ gas prices, inflation of global commodity prices, depreciation of the exchange rate, high inflation in other countries
what are some issues that arise because of inflation
inequality as low income households hold most of their wealth in cash, falling real incomes, negative real interest rates as savings are lower than inflation, cost of borrowing, business competitiveness, business uncertainty
who benefits the most from inflation fluctuation
strong bargaining power workers (doctors and nurses), debtors upon low inflation, producers if prices rise faster than costs
who looses out the most from inflation fluctuation
retired on fixed incomes, lenders of money, those with savings, low paid jobs
fiscal policy
control of government spending and taxing
monetary policy
management of interest rates and supply of money in the circular flow (quantitative easing)
direct controls
controls that are placed upon the manufacturing, distribution or pricing of goods e.g public sector pay controls, capping energy bills
BOP
balance of payments, recording all transactions made with overseas
inflows and outflows of foreign currency
positive or negative entry of income e.g exports or imports
current account of BOP
main overall measure of all of the inputs and outputs of a country within their business transactions
what are the four components of the current account
trade balance in goods, trade balance in services, net money transfers, net investment income
what does a deficit in the current account indicate
more outflow in current account so more imports
what does a surplus in the current account indicate
more inflows into current account so more exports
causes of trade deficit
poor price or non-price competitiveness (weakness in product design/ quality, higher inflation than trading partners), strong exchange rate (stronger currency), recession, volatile global prices, low investment in innovation and research
what is the export multiplier effect on AD
fall in exports reduces AD and vice versa, many industries rely on the competitiveness of other industries e.g logistics, more competition means more distribution and more accessibility to reach international markets and sell more goods/ services, AD shifts outwards
what are some issues with the trade deficit
loss of AD is slower GDP growth and reduction in living standards, loss of jobs through structural unemployment, currency weakness and higher inflation, lack of competitiveness and supply side weaknesses
policies to reduce the trade deficit
demand management lowering imports, lower exchange rates, supply side policies such as labour productivity and human capital, protectionist measures such as tarrifs and import taxes
what are issues with trade surplus
GDP is close to full capacity and full employment, can cause demand pull inflation, threat of protectionism, high saving and low consumption may lower living standards, commodities exports can be volatile and unpredictable
reasons for the UK trade deficit
high income elasticity of demand for imports, supply side weaknesses, hard to finance rise in exports, most exports go to slower growing countries
what are some indicators of global competitiveness
institution effectiveness, infrastructure quality, higher education, health, innovation
cost competitiveness
unit labour costs and other factors that influence final cost of the product
non-price competitiveness
quality of the product, reliability, performance, branding, marketing
non-wage costs
meeting environmental health standards, laws, safety for employees, pensions
interest rate
reward for saving and costs for borrowing expressed as a percentage
how does the interest rate work in the UK
Bank of England set the base interest rate, companies build on it based on what they are offering e.hg mortgages have a higher interest rate and they are fixed as companies need to protect themselves incase the interest rate surges up
exchange rate
price of one currency in terms of another
what demand is associated with exchange rates
derived demand as an increase in the demand of one currency increases the demand of anotehr