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premise one
i believe a masked man robbed the bank
premise two
i believe my father did not rob the bankc
conclusion one
so it is conceivable that my father and the masked man are not the same
conclusion two
but if im wrong and my father is the masked man then it is metaphysically impossible that my father and the masked man are not the same
development
whether it is metaphysically possible that my father is the masked man or not depends on what is actually true of the my father
no one can be a different person from the person they are