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Four Types of GDP
Consumption, Investment, Government Purchases and Net Exports
Nominal GDP
measures the value of all goods and services produced in the current year’s prices
Real GDP
measures the value of all goods and services produced using constant prices.
GDP per Capita
Measure of GDP per person; GDP/Population
Growth Rate
(GDP New - GDP Old) / GDP Old * 100
Rule of 70
Number of years to double = 70 / Growth Rate
The Ingredients of Economic Growth
Labor, Human Capital, Capital
Labor
The number of hours worked across the economy
Human Capital
The skills and knowledge a person has
Capital
All equipment and structures used in the production of goods and services
Labor Force Participation Rate
Labor Force / Adult Population * 100
Labor Force
All people who are employed or unemployed
U-5
Traditional unemployment rate plus discouraged workers
Underemployed
Involuntary part time
Discouraged Workers
People margianlly attached to the labor force
Types of Unemployment
Frictional, Structural, Cyclical
Frictional Unemployment
caused by a labor market that does not have perfect information
Takes time for job seekers and employers to find each other
There may be a skill mismatch between what workers have and what employers seek
Unemployment insurance and other income may increase unemployment duration
Structural Unemployment
A fundamental mismatch in the number of people wanting work and the work available
Minimum Wage
Labor Unions
Efficiency Wages
Cyclical Unemployment
Unemployment that comes from the business cycle
Convergence
Poorer countries grow faster than rich/developed contries
Costs of Unemployment
Recessions are bad because resources sit idle.
For machines, this is unfortunate for the owner, but ultimately not a big deal.
For workers, it can be financially and emotionally devastating.
Research shows that it can take decades to recover lost wages
Inflation
Increase in the overall level of prices
The Largest Component of GDP
Consumption
GDP per capita is higher in one country than another
A country has an avg higher standard of living than the other
Inflation rate
(Price this year - Price last year) / Price last year * 100
Core Inflation
Measure of inflation that excludes food and energy
GDP Deflator
Nominal GDP / Real GDP
Adjusting for Inflation
Today’s dollars = Another time’s dollars × Price level today / Price level in another time
Potential GDP
level of output the economy would reach if all resources were fully employed.
Output Gap
(Actual Output - Potential Output) / Potential Output * 100
Peak
High point of output. After the peak the economy enters into recession.
Trough
Low point of output. It is the end of a recession and the beginning of an expansion
Signs of a Recession
A decline in economic activity, rising unemployment, falling consumer spending, drop in industrial production
How are business cycles measured
Peak to Peak or Trough to Trough
Leading indicators
variables that tend to predict the future path of the economy.
Lagging Indicators
variables that tend to follow the economy’s movements with some delay
Okuns Rule of Thumb
for every percentage point increase in the output gap, unemployment will fall
by 0.5 percentage points.
Negative Output Gap
Indication we are in a recession