aggregate
total of all (sum of all)
expansions
increased economic growth
(rising up on the business cycle)
(where we want to be)
peak
economic growth levels off
(tip of the business cycle)
contraction
decreased economic growth
(going down on the business cycle)
trough
recovery period
(bottom of the business cycle)
recessions
6 month decline in real GDP
inflation
increasing prices for goods and services
(normal in a growing economy)
US economic goals
1 - growth
2 - low unemployment rates
3 - stable prices
Federal Reserve Act
created the federal reserve bank
(1913)
(FED)
federal reserve bank
board of governors
7 individuals nominated by President and approved by congress
district banks
12 banks, 12 districts
we live in district 7
economic indicators
GDP
unemployment rate
consumer price index (CPI)
GDP
measures the total value of all domestically produced goods/services
GDP equation
GDP=C+I+G+NX
c - consumer spending
I - investment (business)
G - government
NX - net exports (exports-imports)
real numbers
numbers adjusted for inflation
nominal numbers
numbers not adjusted for inflation
base year
equal to 1 or 100
used for chained dollars
chained dollars
$ chained into a base year
labor force
population 16 and older
unemployed population
16 or older actively seeking however unable to find employment
unemployment rate equation
unemployment rate=unemployed people/labor force
unemployment rate uses
used as a major indicator of the business cycle
low unemployment rate
lower unemployment suggests expansions
high employment rate
rising unemployment suggests contractions
frictional unemployment
normal, people between jobs
structural unemployment
normal, unemployed because of market changes
seasonal unemployment
normal, expected due to seasonal changes
cyclical unemployment
caused by a downward movement in the business cycle, during a recession
natural unemployment rate equation
natural unemployment=frictional unemployment + structural unemployment
unemployment measuring
the Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates this every month, gets media coverage
unemployment in April 2023 was 3.4% (relatively low)
deflation
decrease in prices for goods and services
usually caused by overproduction or decreasing demand
not good long term for an economy
purchasing power
the ability to purchase goods and services with your $
inflation causes decrease
groups harmed by inflation
fixed incomes
savers
lenders
groups helped by inflation
some investors
borrowers
demand pull inflation
will happen when aggregate demand increases
increase in money supply
cost push inflation
will happen when productive resources increase in price
productive resources (land, labor, capital)
inflation causes inflation
hyperinflation
excessive and increasing out of control, typically defined as 50% increase each month
consumer price index (CPI)
standard measurement of inflation
calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics
market basket
survey of prices of goods and services for atypical urban consumer (1982-84)
products everyone would use (milk, eggs, gas)
how countries control inflation
decrease the money supply, not popular for consumers/workers
monetary policy, fiscal policy
monetary policy
decrease money supply (Federal Reserve Bank)
used to control inflation
fiscal policy
increasing taxes
used to control inflation
how countries deal with recessions
add money into circulation
lower interest rates
rates which banks loan money to the public
open market operations
buy bonds
lower reserve ratio
lowers money banks are required to hold
business cycle
expansion, peak, contraction, trough