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Public Opinion
study seeks to understand the distribution of the population's belief about politics/policy issues, diversity/uninformed citizens makes this study difficult and complex
Consequence for Democracy
least informed people are the least likely to participate which leads to inequalities in who takes part in political action
Public Opinion Polling
more popular but people do not always understand what the numbers really mean and can manipulate them to mean what they want
Demography
science of human population and changes
Census
constitutional requirement that government count the population every 10 years, tool for understanding American demographics and seats in the House, participation is required, once numbers are established groups can ask for federal aid equal to their size
U.S. as a Nation of Immigrants
all Americans descend from immigrants (open door policy), 3 waves of American immigration, multicultural/multilingual, minority groups have adopted basic American values
American Shared Core Values
individualism, equality of opportunity, free enterprise, rule of law, limited government
Free Enterprise
businesses can make decisions without direct government involvement
Rule of Law
law applies equally to everyone
American Melting Pot
mixture of cultures, ideas, and people
Minority Majority
minority groups become majority and whites become minority
Asian Immigrants
new class of professional workers looking for greater opportunity, high percentage of college degrees
Native Americans
indigenous minority, worst off
Minority Groups in America
share common political culture regardless of background
Political Culture
overall set of values shared within society, such as equality
Population Shift
from "rust belt" (northwest/midwest) to "sun belt" (southeast/southwest), impacts reapportionment
Reapportionment
gains or losses of congressional representation in the House as states' population balance changes (occurs after census)
Political Socialization
process through which an individual acquires his or her own political orientations (knowledge, feelings, and emotions), informal (pick up things as they go), lifelong activity
Agents of Political Socialization
family, schools, peers, media, social environment, religious institutions, civic institutions, geographic location
Schools Role in Socialization
instill basic values/loyalty, most obvious, no evidence of ideological bias in K-12, does not promote one party or another
Media's Role in Socialization
"new parent," quality of sources is crucial
Shifters of Political Socialization Influences
major political events (9/11), globalization (influence of US on other countries/vice versa), generational effects, lifecycle effects
Role of Polls in American Democracy
gives candidates idea of their chances of winning, give Congress people an idea of constituents' views, see where the public stands on issue
Supporters of Polls
tool for democracy, citizens express opinions to representatives
Critics of Polls
believe politicians are more concerned with following voter thoughts than leading
Bandwagon Effect
distorts election process, people adopt certain behaviors/attitudes simply because others are doing so
Exit Poll
public opinion surveys used by major media pollsters to predict electoral winners with speed and precision, done after election, most criticized
Manipulation of Polls
results can mean whatever someone wants them to, changing the wording creates bias
Benchmark Poll
used to gather general information about peoples views and concerns
Tracking Poll
ask people the same or similar questions over time to "track" the path of public opinion
Entrance/Exit Poll
conducted outside of voting places on election day to anticipate results and analyze voter demographics
Focus Group
groups of 10-40 gathered people led by moderator to hold conversations about issues/candidates, allows for deeper insight and follow up
Approval Rating
ask whether respondent approves or disapproves of public officials job performance
Polling Methodology
legitimate polls construct questionnaires with properly worded and appropriately ordered questions and select a representative sample after which they analyze the data and draw appropriate conclusions
Reliable Polls
share methodology publicly, publish sampling error/margin of error and take it into account
Polling
invented by George Gallup, rely on sample of population to measure public opinion
Random Sampling
key to accurate poll, everyone has equal probability of being selected, needs to match whole population
New Technology in Polls
less expensive, more common, phone/random digit dialing used for younger generations
Problems With Polls
non-attitudes, high frequency of uninformed citizens responding, people may be less honest when talking to a pollster than paper response
Non-Attitudes
people do not have strong opinions on certain issues