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Probability Density Function
Function showing probabilities for a continuous variable
Density curve rules
Total area = 1 and a PDF cannot be negative
Normal distribution
Symmetric bell shaped distribution centered at μ
Standard normal distribution
μ = 0 and σ = 1
Z score
Number of standard deviations a value is from μ
Individual Z score
z = x − μ divided by σ
Unusual Z score
Usually an absolute Z score greater than 2
Sampling distribution
Distribution of a statistic from repeated samples
Sampling distribution of x̄
Distribution of sample means with mean μx̄ = μ
Standard error of x̄
σx̄ = σ divided by √n
Sample mean Z score
z = x̄ − μ divided by σ divided by √n
Central Limit Theorem
As n increases x̄ becomes more nearly normal
CLT rule
n ≥ 30 means x̄ approaches normal regardless of population shape
Point estimate
Single sample value used to estimate a population parameter
Confidence interval
Range of plausible values for a population parameter
Margin of error
Maximum distance from the point estimate
Confidence interval structure
Point estimate ± E
Interval rules
Lower = estimate − E and upper = estimate + E
Find E or point estimate
E = upper − lower divided by 2 and estimate = upper + lower divided by 2
Confidence interval width
Width = 2E
Confidence level rule
Higher confidence gives larger E and a wider interval
Sample size rule
Larger n gives smaller E a narrower interval and greater precision
Standard deviation rule
Larger σ or s gives larger E and a wider interval
Known σ
Use Z for a mean confidence interval
Unknown σ
Use T for a mean confidence interval
Mean margin of error
Known σ uses E = zα/2 times σ divided by √n and unknown σ uses E = tα/2 times s divided by √n
T distribution rule
Unknown σ means use s and T with df = n − 1
Proportion confidence interval
Use p̂ and a Z critical value
Proportion margin of error
E = zα/2 times √[p̂ times 1 − p̂ divided by n]
Plus 4 method
Use p̃ = x + 2 divided by n + 4 and replace p̂ with p̃
Sample size formulas
Mean uses [zα/2 times σ divided by E]² and proportion uses p̂ times 1 − p̂ times [zα/2 divided by E]²
No prior p̂
Use p̂ = 0.50
Sample size rounding
Always round the required sample size UP
Key symbols
μ = population mean x̄ = sample mean σ = population SD s = sample SD p = population proportion p̂ = sample proportion n = sample size
Parameter vs statistic
Parameter describes a population while statistic describes a sample
Z vs T recognition
Known σ = Z while unknown σ or given s = T
Problem type recognition
Range = CI maximum error = E how many needed = sample size and center of interval = point estimate
Confidence level and alpha
α = 1 − confidence level and two tailed intervals use α divided by 2
Critical value tables
Z uses the Z table and T uses the T table