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(1) Cognitive processing, heuristics and biases; (2) Argument identification; and (3) Deductive and inductive arguments
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System 1 Processing
fast, automatic, and intuitive, operating with little to no effort. This mode of thinking allows us to make quick decisions and judgments based on patterns and experiences.
System 2 Processing
slow, deliberate, and conscious, requiring intentional effort. This type of thinking is used for complex problem-solving and analytical tasks where more thought and consideration are necessary.
Cognitive Illusion
An involuntary error in our thinking or memory due to System 1, which continues to seem correct even if we consciously realize it's not.
Heuristic
A cognitive shortcut used to bypass the more effortful type of reasoning that would be required to arrive at an accurate answer. They are susceptible to systematic and predictable errors.
Availability Heuristic
Our tendency to use information that comes to mind quickly and easily when making decisions about the future. Particularly, it refers to judging something’s frequency or probability by asking how easily we can think of examples. [Examples: Revenue of companies; Causes of human death.]
Primacy Effect
The tendency to remember the first piece of information we encounter better than information presented later on. This creates a tendency to give early information more evidential weight than late information. [Example: Courtroom study.]
Belief Perseverance
The tendency to continue to hold onto established beliefs even when faced with clear evidence to the contrary. [Example: Suicide notes study.]
Confirmation Bias
The tendency to notice or focus on potential evidence for our pre-existing views, and to neglect or discount contrary evidence.
Soldier (Defense) Mindset
About making some ideas win and other ideas lose.
Scout (Discovery) Mindset
About being genuinely curious as to what beliefs we should have (curious about what the truth of the matter is). This is a mindset where one is trying to get an accurate picture of reality, even when that’s unpleasant or inconvenient.
Statement
A unit of language (typically a sentence) that can have a truth value (true/false).
Argument
A connected series of statements, one or more of which are designed to provide support for another statement.
Premise
Within an argument, a statement presented as evidence, a reason in support of another statement (the conclusion of the argument).
Conclusion
Within an argument, the statement supported by the premise(s).
Canonical Form of an Argument
Has each premise numbered and written on a separate line. The conclusion is written on the final line. Indicator words and other unnecessary material should be removed from the premises and conclusion.
Nonarguments
Fragments containing statements with no relation of support (inferential relationship).
Simple Noninferential Passages
Simple passages with no claim that anything is being proved (including Warnings, Pieces of Advice, Statements of Belief or Opinion, Loosely Associated Statements, Reports).
Expository Passages
These begin with a topic sentence followed by one or more sentences that develop the topic sentence
Illustration
An expression involving one or more examples, intended to show what
something means or how it is done.
Explanation
An expression that purports to shed light on some event or phenomenon. The event or phenomenon in question is usually accepted as a matter of fact.
Explanandum
The statement that describes the event or phenomenon to be explained
Explanans
The statement or group of statements that purports to do the explaining.
Conditional Statements
Statements of the form “if… then…” These statements are composed of two component statements.
Antecedent
The component statement immediately following the “if”
Consequent
The component statement following the “then”
Deductive Argument
An argument in which the conclusion is claimed to follow from the premises with strict necessity, i.e., given the premises, it is claimed that we must draw the conclusion. Other than checking if this type of inferential link is intended, we can usually determine that an argument is this form by looking at its general form.
Deductive Argument Examples
Based on mathematics, From definition, Some standard syllogisms—categorical, hypothetical, disjunctive
Arguments based on Mathematics
The arguer draws a conclusion by doing some purely arithmetic or geometric computation or measurement
Arguments from definition
Reaching the conclusion of the argument depends merely on the definition of a word used in the argument.
Syllogism
Arguments with two premises and a conclusion
Categorical Syllogism
Each statement begins with the word “All,” “No,” or “Some.”
Hypothetical Syllogism
Containing at least one premise which is a conditional (if…then…) statement.
Disjunctive Syllogism
One of the premises is an either/or statement.
Inductive Argument
An argument in which the conclusion is claimed to follow from the premises with probability, i.e., given the premises, it is claimed that the conclusion is probable.
Inductive Argument Examples
Predictions, Causal inference, Arguments from authority, Arguments based on signs, Generalizations, Arguments from analogy
Prediction
An argument that uses information about the past to make a claim about what will happen in the future.
Casual Inference
An argument that proceeds from knowledge of a cause and makes a claim about a subsequent effect or proceeds from knowledge of an effect and makes a claim about a previous cause.
Argument from Authority
The arguer claims that something must be the case because a presumed expert or a witness has said so
Arguments Based on Signs
The arguer claims that some conclusion follows simply because of something stated on a sign.
Generalization
An argument that proceeds from knowledge of specific cases to a general claim about an entire group, or all members of a certain class of things.
Argument from Analogy
The arguer compares things and draws a conclusion based on the similarities between those things. It claims that since two things are analogous, and one of them has a certain characteristic, the other probably has it too.
Paradigmatic Example of System 1
Judge one object as more distant than another
Paradigmatic Example of System 1
Orient to the source of a noise
Paradigmatic Example of System 1
Make a disgust face in response to smell
Paradigmatic Example of System 1
Stereotype someone
Paradigmatic Example of System 2
Brace for the starter gun in a race
Paradigmatic Example of System 2
Search memory to identify an author, if it’s not automatic
Paradigmatic Example of System 2
File your taxes
Paradigmatic Example of System 2
Compare two prices for cost and value