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People tend to overestimate their abilities and knowledge
Overconfidence
Example of overconfidence
Thinking they are smarter, faster, stronger, more capable, aware, ad observant than they really are
The tendency to believe, after leaning an outcome, that we would have foreseen it
Hindsight Bias
Hindsight is known as the …
I knew it all along
Scientists form hypotheses from theories, conduct research, and refine theories based on observations
Scientific Method
An explanation that organizes data and predicts observations (not a fact)
Theory
A testable prediction, often implied by a theory
Hypothesis
Repeating a study to see if the findings hold true with other participants or situations
Replication
Observation techniques that record what happens but do not explain why it happens.
Descriptive Methods
Research method that studies one person in depth to find universal principles
Case Study
Advantage of case studies for unique or ethically sensitive situations
Provides insight when large-scale studies are unethical
Limitation of case studies
Difficult to generalize findings to larger populations
Example of case study
Studying rare brain phenomena or socially isolated children
Method to gather self-reported attitudes or behaviors from a representative sample
Survey
Purpose of a representative sample in surveys
To reflect the characteristics of the entire population
Purpose of a random sample in surveys
Every individual has an equal chance of selection
Limitation of surveys: people may answer in a socially desirable way
Social-Desirability Bias
Example of a survey
Gallup polls
Observing and recording behavior in natural settings without manipulating the situation
Naturalistic Observation
Advantage of naturalistic observation
Can observe people/animals in real, realistic environments
Limitation of naturalistic observation
Researchers cannot control events or variables
Example of naturalistic observation
Videotaping parenting across cultures or studying animal behavior in the wild
A measure of how much two variables change together and how well one predicts the other
Correlation
Scatterplot: a graph showing a cluster of dots representing two variables. Less scatter indicates stronger correlation
Correlation
Types of correlation
Positive correlation, negative correlation, no/zero correlation
Numerical measure of the strength of the linear relationship between two variables
Correlation Coefficient
A measure of how meaningful the relationship or difference is between variables/groups
Effect Size
Perceiving a relationship between variables even when none exists
Illusory Correlation
When two variables are related, but it’s unclear which causes the other
Directionality Problem
When a third variable causes a mistaken causal relationship between two other variables
Third Variable Problem
Research method that isolates and controls variables to determine cause and effect
Experimental Methods
The variable being manipulated; the presumed cause in an experiment
Independent Variable (IV)
The outcome being studied; the effect of the independent variable
Dependent Variable (DV)
Assigning participants to groups so each has an equal chance, reducing bias
Random Assignment
Participants report positive effects due to belief in a treatment, even if it has no real effect
Placebo Effect
Procedure where participants do not know which group they are in
Single-Blind Procedure
Procedure where neither participants nor researchers know group assignments, reducing experimenter bias
Double-Blind Procedure
Collecting non-numerical data to understand concepts or opinions
Qualitative Measures
Collecting numerical data to measure concepts precisely
Quantitative Measures
Participants are provided information and voluntarily agree to participate
Informed Consent
Explaining the true purpose of a study to participants after it ends
Debriefing
Committee that reviews human research for ethical violations
Institutional Review Board (IRB)
Committee that reviews animal research for ethical violations
Institutional Animal Care & Use Committee (IACUC)