Decision tree

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7 Terms

1

Keys

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2

Definition

Quantitative decision making tool that provides a visual representation of all different options that are available, showing the probable outcome of different strategic outcome

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3

Calculations

Expected outcome x possibilities - all all this and minus the cost

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4

Example drawing

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5

Example calculation

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6

advantage for using

visually clear and logical manner

all potential problems seen at same time, speeding decision making time

consider risk - negative outcomes

quantitative so provide insight to problem rather than relying on people’s view

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7

disadvantage

unreliable probability - estimated

qualitative factors ignored eg staff morales

probabilities subjective so might be assigned base on the preference of managers

delays and no longer works

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