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Economic Agent
Any group or individual that makes choices.
What is Economics the study of?
How agents make choices among scarce resources and how those choices affect society
Scarcity
A situation of having unlimited wants in a world of limited resources
When are resources scarce?
Resources are scarce when the quantity that people want exceeds the quantity that is available
Positive Economics
Describes what people actually do, or makes predictions about the world that can be verified with data. (Example: In July, the unemployment rate in Indiana was 4.6 percent)
Normative Economics
Recommends what an individual or society ought to do. It depends on subjective judgments. (Example: The government should increase the minimum wage to $15 per hour to reduce poverty.)
Microeconomics
The study of individuals, firms, and government
Macroeconomics
The study of the whole economy
Three Principles of Economics:
Optimization, Equilibrium, Empiricism
Optimization
Making the best choice possible with the given information
Equilibrium
When everyone is optimizing, no one would be better off with a different choice
Empiricism
Using data to test theories and determine what is causing things to happen in the world (testing ideas using data)
When do Tradeoffs arise?
When some benefits must be given up in order to gain others
What do economists use to describe tradeoffs?
Budget Constraints (Example: 5 hours of free time = Hours surfing the web + Hours working)
Opportunity Cost
The best alternative use of a resource
The Scientific Method
1. Developing models that explain some part of the world
2. Testing those models using data to see how closely the model matches what we actually observe
What is a Model?
A simplified description of the world, also referred to as a Theory
Two important features of models
1. They are not exact
2. They generate predictions that can be tested with data
Hypothesis
Predictions, typically generated by a model, that can be tested with data
Causation
When one thing directly affects another through a cause and effect relationship
Correlation
When two things are correlated, there is a mutual relationship between them
Positive Correlation
They both change in the same direction
Negative Correlation
They change in opposite directions
Why isn't correlation the same thing as causality?
1. Omitted variables
2. Reverse Causality
Omitted Variables
If we ignore something that contributes to cause and effect, then that something is an omitted variable. A correlation might not make sense until the omitted variable is added
Reverse Causality
When there is cause and effect, but it goes in the opposite direction as what we thought
Optimization in Levels
Look at the net benefit = total benefit - total cost (calculate the total net benefit of different alternatives and then choose the best alternative.)
Optimization in Differences
Look at the change in the net benefit of one option compared to another (calculate the change in net benefits when a person switches from one alternative to another and then use these marginal comparisons to choose the best alternative.)
Comparative Statics
The comparison of economic outcomes, before and after some economic variable is changed
Optimizing in Levels Procedure
1. Express all costs and benefits in the same unit
2. Calculate total net benefit for each option
3. Choose the option with the highest net benefit
Marginal Analysis
The extra cost generated by moving from one feasible alternative to the next feasible alternative
Principle of Optimization at the Margin
If an option is the best choice, you will be made better off as you move toward it, and worse off as you move away from it
Optimizing in Differences Procedure
1. Express all costs and benefits in the same unit
2. Calculate how the costs and benefits change as you move from one option to another
3. Apply the Principle of Optimization at the Margin--Choose the option that makes you better off by moving toward it and worse off by moving away from it
Market
A group of economic agents who are trading a good or service, and the rules and arrangements for trading
Market Price
The price at which buyers and sellers conduct transactions
Perfectly Competitive Market
1. All sellers sell an identical good or service
2. There are numerous buyers and sellers, and no buyer or seller is big enough to influence that market price
3. Every buyer pays and every seller charges the same market price
Price Takers
Take the market price as given
Quantity Demanded
The amount of a good that buyers are willing to purchase at a given price
Demand Schedule
A table that reports the quantity demanded at different prices, holding all else equal
Law of Demand
States that the quantity of a good demanded decreases when the price of this good increases
Willingness to Pay
The maximum price that the buyer is willing to pay for an additional unit of the good
Diminishing Marginal Benefit
As you consume more of a good, your willingness to pay for an additional unit declines
Market Demand Curve
1. The sum of the individual demand curves of all the potential buyers
2. The Market Demand Curve plots the aggregate quantity of a good that consumers are willing to buy at different prices, holding all else equal
Demand Function
Know Demand Function (Q = f(Px,Py,I,H)
If the change increases the willingness of consumers to acquire the good
The demand curve shifts right
If the change decreases the willingness of consumers to acquire the good
The demand curve shifts left
Quantity Supplied
The amount of a good that sellers are willing to sell at a given price
Supply Schedule
A table that reports the quantity supplied at different prices
Supply Curve
Plots the quantity supplied at different prices
Law of Supply
States that the quantity of a good offered increases when the price of this good increases
Willingness to Accept
The lowest price a seller is willing to get paid to sell an extra unit of good.
Shifts of the Supply Curve occur when one of the following changes
Input prices, technology or government regulations, number and scale of sellers, producer expectations
Supply Curve Equation
Q = f(Px,W,H)
If the change increases the willingness of producers to offer the good at the same price
the supply curve shifts right
If the change decreases the willingness of producers to offer the good at the same price
the supply curve shifts left
Determinants of Demand
1. Income or Wealth (inferior vs normal good)
2. Prices of Related Goods (subs vs complements)
3. Consumer Preferences (Advertising and Consumer Tastes and Preferences)
4. Number of Buyers
5. Consumer Expectations about the Future
Market Supply Curve
Plots the relationship between the total quantity supplied and the market price, holding all else equal
Shifts of the Supply Curve occurs when one of the following changes
1. Input Prices
2. Technology or Government Regulations
3. Number and scale of sellers
4. Producer expectations
5. Substitutes of Production, Complements of Production.
How does an increase in the price of a good affect the quantity?
An increase in the price of a good results in an increase of the quantity supplied
How does an increase in the price of inputs affect the quantity?
An increase in the price of the inputs results in a shift to the left of the supply curve
How does an increase in the price of a good affect the demand?
An increase in the price of a good results in an decrease in the quantity demanded
How does an increase in the price of a substitute good affect the demand?
An increase in the price of a substitute good results in an increase in demand of the other good
How does an increase in the price of a complement good affect the demand?
An increase in the price of a complement good results in a decrease in demand of the other good.
Competitive Equilibrium
1. It is a price such that, at this price, the quantities demanded and the quantities supplied are the same
2. The point at which the market comes to an agreement about what the price will be and how much will be exchanged at that price
Excess Demand
Occurs when consumers want more than suppliers provide at a given price (results in a shortage)
Excess Supply
Occurs when suppliers provide more than the consumers want at a given price (results in a surplus)
Macroeconomics
Study of economic aggregates and economy-wide phenomena like:
1. Annual growth rate of a country's total economic output
2. Annual percentage increase in the total cost of living
Income per Capita
The average income per person in a country
Recession
Defined as two straight quarters in which aggregate income falls
Unemployment
1. Does not have a job
2. Has actively looked for jobs over the last four weeks
3. Is currently available for work
Unemployment Rate
The fraction of the labor force that is unemployed
National Income Accounts
A measure of the level of aggregate economic activity in a country
National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA)
The system of national income accounts used in the United States
Aggregate Economic Activity in a country can be measured in three ways
1. Production Approach
2. Expenditure Approach
3. Income Approach
Labor Income
Compensation of employees includes the wages, salaries, fringe benefits, social security contributions, and health and pension plans
Capital Income
Rent, Interest, Proprietor's Income, Corporate Profits
Proprietor's Income
Income of incorporated business, sole proprietorships, and partnerships
Corporate Profits
Income of the corporations' stockholders whether paid to stockholders or reinvested
Expenditure Approach
GDP = C+I+G+(X-M)
Production Approach
Calculated by summed the value of sales of goods and adjusting (subtracting) for the purchase of intermediate goods to produce the goods sold (Value added and Final Goods Approach)
Income approach
Calculated by adding up the factor incomes to the factors of production in the society
What fraction of income is paid to labor, and what fraction is paid to capital.
In the United States, labor receives about two-thirds of total income, and capital receives about 1/3 of total income.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
The market value of the final goods and services produced within the borders of a country during a particular time period
How is GDP an inaccurate measure of the economy?
1. It omits depreciation of the physical capital stock and resources
2. It excludes home production of cleaning, cooking, and child care done in the household
3. It doesn't capture transactions conducted in the underground economy
4. It doesn't count negative externalities such as pollution, noise, and crime
5. It does not record leisure
Do all these limitations mean that GDP is a poor measure of well-being of an economy?
There is a positive relationship between income per capita and various measures of standards of living.
Does GDP include production by U.S. workers and U.S. capital abroad?
No
Gross National Product (GNP)
Records production of domestically owned labor and capital in the US and abroad. GNP = GDP + Net income inflow from abroad - Net income outflow to foreign countries.
Nominal GDP
The total value of production using current market prices to determine the value of each unit that is produced. Use quantities of that year with prices of that year to calculate nominal GDP.
Real GDP
The total value of production using market prices from a specific base year to determine that value of each unit that is produced. Use quantities of that year with prices of a base year to calculate Real GDP.
Real GDP Growth Rate
is the growth rate of the Real GDP. [((Real GDP Year y)- (Real GDP Year x))/(Real GDP Year x)]x100
GDP Deflator
1. Measure of how prices of new goods and services produced in a country have risen since the base year
2. GDP Deflator = (Nominal GDP)/(Real GDP) x 100
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
1. The price level of a particular basket of consumer goods and services
2. CPI = (cost in current year)/(cost in base year) x 100
Inflation Rate
The percentage change in a price index
Income Per Capita/GDP per capita
GDP/Total Population
Nominal Exchange Rate
The price of one country's currency in units of another country's currency
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Constructs the cost of a representative basket of commodities in each country and uses the relative cost of these baskets for comparing income across countries
GDP per capita
GDP divided by total population
GDP per capita =
GDP per capita in local currency * PPP adjustment
When to use GDP per capita vs GDP per worker
GDP per capita to look at living standards of an economy.
GDP per worker to look at productivity between countries.
Big Mac Index
(GDP in local currency) * (cost of Big Mac in US $)/(cost of Big Mac in local currency)= PPP: this is a simple example of a basket to create a PPP ratio.