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Short-run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
Total goods/services firms produce in the short run (prices/wages are "sticky" and don’t adjust quickly)
Long-run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
Economy's maximum sustainable output when all resources (labor, capital) are fully employed (vertical line at "potential GDP")
AD = C + I + G +(X-M)
AD = Consumer spending + Business investment + Government spending + (Exports – imports)
Demand-Pull Inflation
Prices rise b/c AD exceeds SRAS (too much spending chasing too few goods)
Cost-Push Inflation
Prices rise b/c higher production costs (e.g., oil prices) shifting SRAS left
National Income
Total earnings from all resources (wages, rent, interest, profit) in an economy
Scenario A
A situation where the economy is in a recession; there is an output "recessionary" gap [below full-employment]
Scenario B
A situation where the SRAS, LRAS, and AD intersect; there is full-employment
Scenario C
A situation where there is too much AD and the economy is overheating; there is an inflationary gap [above full-employment]
Full-Employment Equilibrium
Economy produces at LRAS (no cyclical unemployment)
Output Gap
Where actual GDP is less than potential GDP
Inflationary Gap
Actual GDP > Potential GDP (overheating economy)
Recessionary Gap
Actual GDP < Potential GDP
Long-Run Equilibrium
Where the economy will recover from 'scenario A' via a decrease in wage expectations, which would increase SRAS and lead to more GDP and a decrease in PL
U > NRU
Unemployment exceeds the natural rate (cyclical unemployment exists)
U = NRU
Economy at full employment (only frictional/structural unemployment)
U < NRU
Unemployment below natural rate (risk of inflation) [overheating]
Tax Multiplier
-MPC/(1−MPC) → effect of tax changes on GDP
Spending Multiplier
1/(1−MPC) → effect of spending on GDP
Balanced Budget Multiplier
The effect on GDP when government spending and taxes change by the same amount
Ex: Government spending and taxes both increase by $10, it boosts GDP by $10
Multiplier Effect
Initial spending trades hands with many people, subtracting how much is saved every time, leads to larger total GDP change
Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS)
(MPS) Fraction saved (MPS = 1 - MPC) [e.g., MPS = 0.2 → save 20¢ of each $1]
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC)
(MPC) Fraction of extra income spent [e.g., MPC = 0.8 → spend 80¢ of each $1]
Fiscal Policy
Government uses spending and taxes to influence AD
Neoclassical Economic Theory
Laissez-faire focus on long-run supply-side growth (e.g., technology, education)
Keynesian Economic Theory
Focuses on short-run demand-side fixes (e.g., stimulus during recessions) [In the long-run, we are dead]
Long-Run "self-adjustment"
Economy returns to LRAS over time without government intervention b/c of lower wage expectations (prices/wages are "flexible" in the long-run)
Automatic Stabilizers
Policies that counter recessions/inflation without new laws (e.g., unemployment benefits, progressive taxes)
SRAS "Shifters"
Input costs (wages, oil), supply shocks, government regulations
AD "Shifters"
Changes in C, I, G, (X-M) (e.g., consumer confidence, interest rates, government spending)
Output (Y)
The amount of goods/services produced in the economy [Q(s) of the whole economy]
Actual Output (Y) versus Potential Output (Yf)
Y: Real GDP produced now
Yf: Max GDP at full employment (LRAS)
Inventories
Unsold supplies that "remains on the shelves" for businesses
Financial Asset
Claim on future income (e.g., stocks, bonds)
Bonds
Loans to governments/corporations (Usually government) that pay interest
Liquidity
Ease of converting assets to cash
Nominal Interest Rate (NIR)
The cost of a loan (expressed as a %) that does not account for inflation
Real Interest Rate (RIR)
(NIR - inflation rate) for interest [that does account for inflation]
Monetary Base (M0)
Physical currency + bank reserves
Money Supply (M1)
Cash + checkable deposits
Money Demand
The sum of the transaction demand and the asset demand for money; inversely related to NIR
Required Reserves
Cash banks must hold (set by Fed)
Excess Reserves
Extra cash banks can lend
Assets vs. Liabilities
Assets: Tangible and intangible property under a bank's control and/or possession
Liabilities: Others' legal claims on bank assets
Reserve Ratio
Required reserves / total deposits
Money Multiplier
1/Reserve Ratio → maximum money banks [banking system] can create from $$$ deposited
The Federal Reserve
Central bank managing U.S. money supply
Monetary Policy
Fed adjusts interest rates via the money supply or via administered rates to stabilize AD
Discount Rate
Interest rate Fed charges banks for loans from the Fed
Open Market Operations (OMO)
The Fed buying or selling bonds from/to banks to impact NIR
Reserve Requirement
% of deposits banks must hold
The Money Market
Where Fed influences short-term interest rates (via supply/demand for money)
The Loanable Funds Market
Where savers supply funds and borrowers demand loans (determines RIR)
Limited Reserves Framework
Fed targets NIR via money supply when reserves were scarce -> ex: RR [Reserve requirement], OMO, DR [Discount rate] (pre-2008)
Ample Reserves Framework
Fed uses IOR to control rates in a system with abundant reserves (post-2008)
Administered Rates
Interest rates set directly by the Fed (IOR, DR)
Interest on Reserves (IOR)
Rate Fed pays banks to hold reserves
Liquidity Preference
A general tendency for investors to prefer short-term (that is, more liquid) securities
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
↑ Government spending or ↓ taxes = ↑ AD (right shift)
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
↓ Government spending or ↑ taxes = ↓ AD (left shift)
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Central bank ↑ money supply (buy bonds, ↓ rates) → ↓ interest rates = ↑ AD
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Central bank ↓ money supply (sell bonds, ↑ rates) → ↑ interest rates = ↓ AD
Fed Funds Rate
Rate banks charge each other for overnight loans
Policy Rate
Central bank's benchmark rate to steer economy
Money Supply "Shifters"
OMO (buy/sell bonds): ↑Bond purchases → ↑Reserves → ↑Money supply [Inverse arrows also true]
Reserve ratio rate changes: ↑RR → ↓Excess reserves → ↓Money supply [Inverse arrows also true]
Discount rate changes: ↑DR → ↑Cost → ↓Money supply [Inverse arrows also true]
Money Demand "Shifters"
National Income (Y): ↑Income → ↑Money demand (more spending) [Inverse arrows also true]
Price Level (PL): ↑Prices → ↑Money demand (more $ needed for transactions) [Inverse arrows also true]
Demand Deposits
Checking accounts
Process of Money Supply Expansion (Via Deposits)
Deposit → bank keeps required reserves → lends to excess → gets spent → redeposit → repeat
Total money = Initial deposit × money multiplier (1/ required reserve ratio)