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Research hypothesis
what you expect to find in your study; it expresses your theory or prediction
Statistical hypothesis
mathematical or symbolic statement about a population parameter, derived from the research hypothesis
Is research or statistical hypothesis stated in words?
research hypothesis
Is research or statistical hypothesis more precise?
statistical hypothesis
null hypothesis
assumes no effect or no difference
alternative hypothesis
reflects your research question
Does null or alternative hypothesis have to be stated in the positive?
null hypothesis
What are the two fundamental criteria that the null and alternative hypotheses must meet?
they must be mutually exclusive (both cannot be true at the same time), they must be exhaustive (one must be true)
Which hypothesis, null or alternative, is actually tested?
null hypothesis
What is the basic logic of hypothesis testing?
we test whether the date provide sufficient evidence to reject H₀ in favor of H₁
In the social sciences, what is the traditional criterion for rejecting the null hypothesis?
α = 0.05 (5% significant level)
Type I error? (α)
rejecting H₀ when it is actually true
Type II error? (β)
failing to reject H₀ when H₁ is actually true
Under what conditions do we run the risk of committing a Type I error?
risk occurs whenever you set a significance level and test H₀)
Under what conditions do we run the risk of committing a Type II error?
risk occurs when the effect exists but your study does not detect it
Which error is of greatest concern to social scientists?
type I error is usually of greater concern because claiming a false effect can mislead research and policy
How can you reduce the likelihood of committing a Type I error?
lower α (example: from 0.05 to 0.01), increase sample size carefully
How can you reduce the likelihood of committing a Type II error?
increase sample size, reduce variability, increase effect size, and choose more sensitive measures
Nondirectional hypothesis
predicts a difference or effect but does not specify direction (example: group a will differ from group b)
Directional hypothesis
predicts a specific direction of the effect (example: group a will score higher than group b)
What is a critical region?
the area in the sampling distribution where, if the test statistic falls, we reject H₀
Critical regions for nondirectional hypothesis testing?
critical region is split across both tails of the distribution
Critical region for directional hypothesis testing?
critical region is in one tail only (depending on predicted direction)
How does statistical decision making relate to critical regions?
if the test statistic falls within the critical region, we reject H₀; otherwise, we fail to reject H₀