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Catastrophes
damages to people/property whose impact will cause a long recovery time
How is risk determined?
potential consequences multiplied by hazard potential
Prediction
Specifying date, time, and size
Forecasting
include range of certainty (likelihood of future events)
Risk
probability of event * consequences
Hurricane Katrina catastrophe?
Failure of their levee system → poor design, construction and maintenance → flooding
Loss of freshwater wetlands (natural protection against flooding) + land subsidence
5 Fundamental principles
Hazards are known from scientific evaluation
Risk analysis is important in understanding impacts resulting from hazards
Hazards are linked
Hazardous events that previously produced disasters are now producing catastrophes
Consequences of hazards can be minimized
Magnitude
energy released
one value
Richter or moment magnitude scale
Intensity
observed effects and damage
varies by location
Modified mercalli intensity scale (MMI)
Modified mercalli intensity scale
intensity
measures shaking
based on observed damage (1-7)
Moment Magnitude Scale
replaced richter scale
total energy released
calculates seismic movement (fault displacement)
richter scale
amplitude of seismic waves
seismograph
one whole number increase = 10x stronger
Ring of Fire
80% of Earth’s seismic energy is released along the earthquake zone around the Pacific rim
Earthquake concentration
Most earthquakes are concentrated along plate boundaries
strike
direction parallel to fault (relative to North)
dip
direction and slope of fault plane
moment
measured earthquake size
focus
place where earthquake originates
epicenter
point on surface of earthquake
what influences wave height?
fetch, duration, and velocity
types of currents
littoral
longshore drift
transport sediments along coastline
rip
large waves crash to shore + rapid backflow
updrift
direction sand is coming from
downdrift
direction sand is going
refraction
waves converge at headland
diverge at embayment
factors of erosion that shapes coastlines
sand supply
severe storms
rise in sea level
human interference
manage coastal erosion
artificial barriers
groins
trap sand
act as barriers to longshore currents
con: down drift erosion - beach narrowing
breakwaters
protect shores from wave erosion
pro: stabilize shoreline, sediment accumulation
con: downdrift erosion, construction damage
jetties
stabilize channels to minimize deposition
con: disrupt natural flow of water, erosion
beach nourishment
adding sand to account for erosion, natural approach
con: so costly
hard engineering
man-made
seawalls, breakwaters, etc
soft engineering
beach nourishment
magnitude and timing of tides
axial tilt
geometry of basins
air pressuree
what causes waves
wind blows across surface of water - friction ripples water
wave base
water depth below wave motion becomes negligible (low motion)
half of the wavelength
what causes waves to break
seabed friction slows the base as it approaches shore
Loads streams carry
dissolved, suspended, and bed load
eorison or deposition may dominate based on stream velocity
dissolved load
ions from mineral weathering
suspended load
fine particles (silt + clay) in the flow
bed load (saltation)
larger particles roll, slide, and bounce
stream flow calculation
discharge : Q = A * V
stream base level
lowest level that a stream erodes (usually sea level)
ability based on velocity of water
velocity is proportional to slope
local (lake) vs regional (ocean) base level
base level lowering
steeper profile
increased stream erosion
drops sea level, subsidence @ mouth, uplift head of stream, drains lakes
base level rising
shallower profile
deposit sediment
sea level rise
uplift @ mouth
subsidence @ head
creation of lakes
competence
max size particle transported
capacity
max load transported
discharge
volume of flowing water
runoff
water moving over surface as overland flow
vegetation influence on runoff
intercept precipitation
increase soil infiltration
reduce soil erosion
slow water flow
infiltration
water seeping into soil
stream origin points
rain + water runoff
springs/lakes
snow melt
stream
body of water that flows in a channel; rivers are large streams
why do streams move in landscapes
gravity
erosion and deposition
oxbow lakes
form when a meandering river cuts off one of its bends, creating a standalone lake
hydrograph
graph of stream discharge over time
lag time between peak rainfall and discharge
urban development effects on hydrographs
shortens lag time
increase runoff, decrease filtration
sediment in streams
natural levees build after many floods
natural barriers for streams
evapotranspiration
water is transferred from the land to atmosphere from soil and plant leaves + stems