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Any content that reduces uncertainty for a receiver, it needs not to be correct or helpful
-Can be true/false, accurate/misleading, often easy to produce/spread and does not require justification or evidence
Truth
Correspondence between a proposition (claim) and reality; degree to which a statement accurately corresponds to reality (Theory of correspondence)
-Statement is true only if it describes a correct state of affair/how the world actually is
-Outside of our control and independent of belief, preference and expectation
Estimated by employing inductive reasoning/inferences using finite observations
Downsides of Truth
Truth is very expensive, fiction is cheap
Truth tends to be complicated, fiction is cheap
Truth can be painful, unpleasant, or in contradiction to what we want it to be
-Big Weakness; No matter how many observations support a claim, there’s always the possibility future observations will contradict it (ie, Black Swan)
Positives of Truth
-Improves decision-making outcomes/competence
-better predictions and less errors
-more successful as individuals
-prevents us from acting on false beliefs which is dangerous
Criteria for Scientific Conclusions to be True
How variables are defined/measured
What assumptions are made
Whether the design, data, and results support these conclusions
Getting Closer to the Truth
-Interrogate the sources
-Prioritize evidence over stories/identities; data/methods > anecdotal examples
-Actively engage don’t passively consume (reflect, ask questions, etc)
-Socratic questioning - method of asking thoughtful, open ended questions
-Practice falsification (ex; adopting an Aztec decision circle designed to invite dissent/offer alternative perspective)
-Embrace “I don’t Know”
-Beware of Epistemic Trespassing - intelligent people overestimating transferable skills by entering topics they’re not experts in
Research Methodology
Systematic manifestation and application of critical thinking
-Most reliable machinery for getting truth, formalizing how evidence is gathered, claims are tested and error is detected
-Conclusion from a rigorous/sound methodology is best answer given current evidence
Socratic Question Types
Clarification
Probing assumptions
Examining evidence
Exploring implications
Consider alternatives
Methods of Knowing
Intuition - generates ideas
Authority - offers guidance
Rationalism - structures predictions
Empiricism - provides benefit of collective evidence
The Scientific Method - integrates all 4; adds structure, transparency, falsifiability and replication
Intuition
Beliefs/conclusions based on gut feelings, instinct, personal experience/anecdotal evidence
Key Limitation - Feels compelling, but vulnerable to bias/error
-Can be useful in situations requiring fast responses/decisions without time to think of all possibilities
Authority
Accepting new ideas because authority figure states that they are true
-Authorities: Parents, media, doctors, religion, government, professors
Key Limitation - Authorities can be wrong, biased or misleading
Learning to evaluate credentials of authorities, their methods used to arrive at conclusions, and whether they have any reason to mislead us is important
Rationalism
Using logic and reasoning to acquire new knowledge
-Premises are stated and logical rules are followed to arrive at sound conclusions
-Problem is that if the premises are wrong or if there is an error in logic, the conclusion will not be valid
Key Limitation - Conclusions are only as good as the assumptions
Empiricism
Acquiring knowledge through observation and measurement, relies on data, evidence and expertise
-We are limited in what we can experience and observe, and our senses can deceive us
Key Limitation - Evidence can be misused or misinterpreted without good design
Scientific Method
Process of systematically collecting and evaluating evidence to test ideas and answer questions
-Scientists may use intution, authority, rationalism and empiricism to generate new ideas
-Systematic empiricism to make careful observations under various controlled conditions
Major Problem; Not always feasible to use the scientific method (requires time, resources, etc)
-Cannot answer all questions
Core Features of Scientific Method
Ideas are stated in a way that can be tested and falsified
Systematic Empiricism - Careful observation/measurement under controlled conditions
Rational Evaluation - Conclusion must logically follow from evidence
Transparency and replication - methods, data, results shared so others can evaluate/replicate findings
Self-correcting - Conclusions/theories are revised when new evidence emerges
Science and Features of Science
Systematic study of the structure and behaviour of the physical and natural world through observation and experiment, features include;
Systematic Empiricism - Learning based on observation and carefully planning, making, recording and analyzing those observations
Empirical Questions - Questions about the way the world is that can be answered through systematic observations
Public Knowledge - After asking empirical questions, making systematic observations, and drawing conclusions the results are published for the general public
Criteria for Causal Claim
Covariation of Cause and Effect - When cause is present the effect occurs, when cause is not present the effect doesn’t occur
Temporal Precedence - Cause must precede the effect
Ruling out alternative explanations - cause is isolated from any other potential cause; nothing other than causal variable can be responsible for the observed effect
Publication Importance in Science
Current scientific knowledge of most topics is based on many different studies by different researchers who work collaboratively by sharing their work
Allows science to be self-correcting via peer review
Pseudoscience
Activities and beliefs that are claimed to be scientific by their proponents and may appear to be scientific, but are not
Ex; Biorhythms - idea that people’s physical, intellectual and emotional abilities run in cycles that begin when they’re born
Requirements: If adherents claim/imply its scientific but it lacks one or more of the three features of science
-Beliefs/activities can also be scientific if it does not address empirical questions
Karl Popper
Argued any scientific claim must be expressed in a way that observations would count as evidence against the claim
-In other words; scientific claims msut be falsifiable
Why Concern Ourselves with Pseudoscience
Pseudoscience brings fundamental features of science into sharper focus
Pseudoscientific beliefs are widely held and promoted on medias, thus learning to identify/evaluate them is important
Pseudoscience purport to explain aspects of human behaviour and mental processes, require distinguishment from psychology
Three Goals of Science
Describe - goal is achieved by making careful observations on a particular topic
Predict - After observing that two behaviours/events are systematically related, we use that information to predict whether an event or behaviour will occur in a certain situation
Explain - Goal involves determining the cause of behaviour
Basic vs Applied Research
Basic Research - Conducted for the sake of achieving more detailed/accurate understanding of human behaviour
Applied Research - Conducted primarily to address a particular problem
-Basic/Applied research go hand-in-hand, basic findings inform applied solutions, and practical problems inspire a basic question
Folk Psychology
Intuitive beliefs about people’s behaviour, thoughts and feelings
-Much of it is reasonably accurate, but most is not
Heuristics
Mental shortcuts in forming and maintain our beliefs
Example: Assuming something is true if it is widely shared and approved by experts
Confirmation Bias
Tendency to focus on cases that confirm our intuitive beliefs and to disregard cases that disconfirm our beliefs
Skepticism
Considering alternatives and searching for evidence, especially systematically collected empirical evidence, when there is enough at stake to justify doing so
-Important aspect of science
Tolerance for Uncertainty
Accepting that there are many things that we simply do not know
-Often not enough evidence to fully evaluate a belief/claim, thus we have a Tolerance for Uncertainty
Clinical Psychologists
Diagnosis and treatment of psychological disorders and related problems
-Since psychological disorders/behavioural problems are part of the natural world, the questions about their nature, causes and consequences are empirically testable and subject to scientific study
Empirically Supported Treatment - Treatment shown through systematic observation to lead to better outcomes when compared to n-treamtent or placebo control groups
Experimental Psychologists
Perform scientific research for government agencies, national associations, non-profits or the private sector
-Majority are college/university faculty that have expertise in one or many subfields of psychology