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Hindsight Bias
I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon.
Over Confidence
think we know more than we do. we tend to be more confident than correct.
percieving order in random events
finding patterns in random data ex: seeing faces in cars or patterns in coin flipping.
Theory
explains behaviors or events by offering ideas that organize observations.
Hypothesis
a theory produces testable predictions
Operational Definitions
as a check on their biases, psychologists report their research with precise measurable procedures + concepts.
Replicate
Repeat original observations w different participants, materials, and circumstances.
Case Study
Examines one individual or group in depth in the hope of revealing things true of us all. ex: brain damage
Naturalistic Observation
Studying behavior while people don't know they are being observed.
Sampling bias
generalizing from a few unrepresentative cases.
Population
the whole group you want to study and describe
Random Sample
every person in the group has equal chance of participating
Correlation
when a trait or behavior tends to coincide with another
Correlation Coefficient
helps us figure how closely two things vary together + thus how well another one predicts the other.
Variable
Two items with a possible relationship
Scatterplots
help predict how closely related data is
Illusory correlation
may notice + recall confirming instances more than disconfirming instances.
Regression toward the mean
the illusion that uncontrollable events correlate with our actions is also fed by a statistical phenomenon.
Experiment
isolate case + effect to find answers to such questions
Experimental group
People receive the treatment, and a contrasting control group w/o treatment.
control group
no treatment
double blind procedure
meither participants nor those who administer the drug and collect the data know which group is receiving the treatments.
Confounding Variables
other factors that can potentially influence a study's result
Dependent variable
effect of one or more individual variables on a measurable variable
validity
the experiment will test what it's supposed to test.