4.4 ~ Climate change

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Greenhouse effect

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1

Greenhouse effect

  • Solar energy from the sun is trapped by the earth’s atmosphere, increasing temperature at the surface of the earth

  • Greenhouse effect is not inherently bad: without this, life on earth would not have been possible as temperature would have been too cold

  • Intensified/ enhanced greenhouse effect, where the greenhouse effect is augmented due to human activities, is widely believed to be the cause of climate change

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CO2 and H2O vapour

  • Earth is essentially a closed system; not much escapes its gravity and atmosphere

  • C and H2O are recycled but the form that they take changes

  • CO2 and H2O vapour have the most significant impact on the greenhouse effect

    • Acts as an insulating layer that trap heat underneath the earth’s atmosphere

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CO2

Released in the atmosphere:

  • Cellular respiration

  • Combustion of fossil fuels and biomass

Removed from atmosphere:

  • Photosynthesis

  • Dissolving into the oceans

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4

H2O vapour

Released in the atmosphere:

  • Evaporation from oceans

  • Transpiration in plants

Removed from atmosphere:

  • Rainfall

  • Snow

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5

Oxides and methane

  • Nitrous oxides is another significant greenhouse gas

  • Nitrous oxides are released by:

    • Bacteria in some habitats

    • Agriculture

    • Vehicle exhausts

  • Methane is the 3rd most significant greenhouse gas

  • Methane is emitted from:

    • Waterlogged habitats (peat)

    • Landfills

    • Fossil fuel extraction

    • Melting polar ice

    • Cattle

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Warming effect of a gas

  • Two factors determine warming effect of a gas

    • How readily it absorbs long wave radiation

    • The conc- of gas in the atmosphere

  • E.g. methane traps 20X more heat than the equivalent amount of CO2 but is at much lower conc- in the atmosphere so contributes less to warming effect

  • Concentration of gas depends on

    • Rate at which it is realised into the atmosphere

    • How long it remains

  • E.g. water vapour is realised into the atmosphere very quickly, but only remain there for around 9 days; whereas methane remains in the atmosphere for around 12 years and CO2 even longer

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Wavelength radiation

  • Some gases have a greenhouse effect and others do not

    • Because some gases can absorb short wavelength of light and re-emit them as longer wavelengths (heat)

    • Solar radiation spans the electromagnetic spectrum from wavelengths of 100-400 nm

      • Most of this is in the UV and visible part of the spectrum

  • The ozone later sits above our atmosphere and absorbs or reflects around 25% of this radiation (mostly UV waves)

    • Around 75% reach the earth’s surface and are absorbed and converted to heat

  • The surface of the earth re-emits this radiation as longer-wavelengths infrared waves

  • Without the greenhouse effect, the temperatures at the surface area of the earth would be around -18C

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Longer wavelength

  • The majority (70-85%) of the longer-wave radiation that is re-emitted from the earth’s surface is then absorbed by gases in the atmosphere before it passes out into space

    • Then re-emitted back towards the earth’s surface

    • The continual exchange of long-wavelength radiation is what causes global warming

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Greenhouse gases: atmospheric concentrations

  • Not all peaks in the global temperature increase correlate with a higher CO2 concentration

  • Other factors can influence the global temperature, including sunspot activity and variation in the earth’s orbit around the sun

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Factor 1 : Climate change

  • A higher global average means that the total amount of water that evaporate forms oceans and lakes increases

  • More water in the atmosphere lead to heavier rainfall

  • Global warming can also have substantial effects on wind and ocean currents causing stronger hurricanes and typhoons

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Factor 2 : Rising seawater

  • Another consequences of the increase global temperature is the rising seawater temperature and the melting effect on the polar ice caps and glaciers around the world

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Factor 3 : Loss of habitat

  • The polar ice caps and glaciers are melting, decreasing ice habitats for some arctic organisms

  • When these ice caps melt, they cause a rise in sea levels, destroying coastal habitats

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Factor 4 : Biotic factors

  • The warming of any habitat would change the species that live in the are and can cause changes to migratory patterns

  • Temperature species move into warmer arctic areas and compete with arctic species

  • Arctic species need to adapt to competition and the change in temp or emigrate to a new habitat

    • Change in distribution sizes and in extreme cases, the extinction of species

  • Changes such as these could have severe impacts on the food chains of an ecosystem disrupting the food web and having a large impact on organisms in higher trophic levels

  • Other effects on the biota may be an increase in decomposition due to melting permafrost, which exposes Saprotrophic bacteria to O2, releasing methane and, with an increase in temp & moisture, an increase in pest and pathogen species

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Scientists and climate change

  • Have predicted some of these effects based on global weather models

    • Only partially explain all weather patterns

  • The changes that are occurring are often unevenly distributed

    • In some areas, rainfall may increase, while in others the incidence of droughts increases

  • Based on weather patterns and phenomena that have been observed during the last 30 years, there is little doubt that the earth’s climate is changing

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Combustion of fossil fuels

  • In vehicles used for transport

  • When homes are heated

  • During the production of electricity

  • In factories powered by fossil fuels

  • Burning of forests for clearing

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Arguments for and against

  • Many published findings that either rebut or support a connection between human activities and the climate change

  • There is little evidence to support a direct causal relationship between the correlation of global temperatures and CO2 concentrations

  • Cannot state with certainty that human-caused CO2 emissions are the main cause of global warming and climate change

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Precautionary principle

  • Burden of proof

  • States that even without concrete evidence of causal relationship, precautionary measures should be taken to ensure that humans are not causing detrimental harm to the environment or human health

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