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Hindsight Bias
The tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that the outcome was predictable all along.
Confirmation Bias
Favoring information that confirms existing beliefs and ignoring contradictory evidence.
Overconfidence
Overestimating the accuracy of our knowledge or abilities.
Hypothesis
A testable prediction about the relationship between variables.
Operational Definitions
Clear, precise definitions of variables so they can be measured or manipulated.
Independent Variable (IV)
The variable the experimenter manipulates.
Dependent Variable (DV)
The variable measured, affected by the IV.
Confounding Variables
Extra variables that may affect the DV besides the IV.
Sample & Population
Population: Entire group researchers want to study. Sample: Subset actually studied.
Random Sampling
Every member of the population has an equal chance to be in the sample.
Random Assignment
Placing participants into experimental/control groups by chance to minimize bias.
Experimental Group vs Control Group
Experimental Group: Receives IV manipulation. Control Group: Does not; serves as baseline.
Placebo Effect
Changes in participants due to expectations, not treatment.
Double-Blind Study
Neither participants nor experimenters know group assignments.
Example of Hindsight Bias
Saying 'I knew it all along' after the event happens.
Clue for Hindsight Bias
'I knew it was coming.'
Caution for Hindsight Bias
Can distort memory of past predictions.
Difference of Hindsight Bias
Differs from actual prediction made before outcome.
Related Concepts to Hindsight Bias
Confirmation bias, overconfidence.
Application of Hindsight Bias
Be skeptical of 'I knew it' stories.
Example of Confirmation Bias
Reading only news articles that support your views.
Clue for Confirmation Bias
'Seeing only what confirms me.'
Caution for Confirmation Bias
Limits perspective and objective analysis.
Related Concepts to Confirmation Bias
Hindsight bias.
Application of Confirmation Bias
Actively seek challenges to your beliefs.
Example of Overconfidence
Feeling sure about a test answer without studying.
Clue for Overconfidence
'Thinking I'm more right than I am.'
Caution for Overconfidence
Leads to mistakes and errors in judgment.
Related Concepts to Overconfidence
Confirmation bias.
Application of Overconfidence
Calibrate confidence with evidence.
Quantitative Research
Research using numerical data and statistical methods.
Example of Quantitative Research
Survey with rating scales analyzed statistically.
Clue for Quantitative Research
Numbers and statistics.
Application of Quantitative Research
Useful for measuring variables and relationships precisely.
Qualitative Research
Research involving non-numeric data, such as interviews or observations, focusing on meaning and themes.
Example of Qualitative Research
Open-ended interviews about experiences.
Clue for Qualitative Research
Words and themes.
Application of Qualitative Research
Useful for exploring complex processes and meanings.
Example of Hypothesis
'Increased studying leads to better test scores.'
Clue for Hypothesis
'If... then...' statement.
Application of Hypothesis
Needed to guide scientific testing.
Dependent Variable
Variable measured to see effect of manipulation.
Independent Variable
Variable manipulated by researcher to observe effect.
Falsifiable
A statement that can be proven false by evidence.
Replicated
Repeated studies to confirm results.
Sample
Subset of population studied.
Population
Complete group researcher wants to generalize about.
Representative Sample
Sample reflecting population characteristics.
Convenience Sampling
Sampling participants readily available.
Generalize
Applying findings from sample to population.
Stratified Sampling
Sampling with proportionate representation of groups.
Experimenter Bias
Researchers' expectations influencing results.
Single-Blind Study
Participant unaware of condition, but experimenter knows.
Social Desirability Bias
Participants respond to appear favorable.
Experimental Group
Group receiving treatment or manipulation.
Control Group
Group not receiving treatment for comparison.
Placebo Method
Use of inert treatment to control for expectations.
Positive Correlation
Two variables increase or decrease together.
Negative Correlation
One variable increases as the other decreases.
Study
Research investigation.
Likert Scales
Survey scales measuring agreement or frequency.
Directionality Problem
In correlational research, uncertainty about cause-effect direction.
Third Variable
Unmeasured factor influencing both variables in correlation.
Naturalistic Observation
Observing behavior in natural setting without intervention.
Structured Interview
Interview with set questions and format.
Case Study
Detailed examination of one individual or group.