What are the 5 step in the Scientific Method
Question - Puzzle
Theory or Model
Implications (Hypotheses)
Observations (Test Hypotheses)
Evaluation
Define falsifiability
The ability of a hypothesis or theory to be proven false through empirical evidence or experimentation.
What are two non-falsifiable statements?
Tautologies
Statements about unobservable phenomena
What are 4 main attributes of democracies?
Free and transparent media
Free and fair elections
Free market
Separation of powers
What were Dahl’s two views of democracy?
Substantive View - emphasis on experience of citizens living in the state - expression, criticism of state
- focuses more on outcomes
Procedural or Minimalist View - whether or not the country observes the rule of law
- Focuses more on mechanisms and structures
What is a Polyarchy?
The idea that any large country in the world will ever be fully democratised.
Polarchies are define via two dimensions. Name them.
Inclusion - the extent that citizens can politically participate
Contestation - the ability for groups to contest against the government (political parties, pressure groups)
What are the three measures for democracy?
Democracy-Dictatorship
Polity IV
Freedom House
What are the 4 components of a democracy?
The chief executive is elected
The legislature is elected
There is more than one party competing in elections
There has been an alternation in power under identical electoral rules
What are the five attributes that are used to determine a polity score?
Competitiveness of Executive recruitment
Openness of executive recruitment
Executive constraints / decisions rules
Regulation of political participation
Competitiveness of participation
What are the two broad categories of Freedom House, and how are they each measured?
Political rights (right to vote and compete for office) - Country awarded 0-4 points for each of ten questions
Civil Rights (freedom of speech etc.) - Country awarded 0-4 points for each of fifteen questions
What are 3 important things for validity?
Attributes
Aggregation issues
Measurement level
What are the main 4 measures we can use to evaluate democracies?
Conceptualisation
Validity
Replicability
Reliability
Define conceptualisation.
The process of forming abstract ideas or concepts based on specific observations or experiences. It involves understanding and representing complex information in a simplified and organized manner to enhance comprehension and problem-solving skills.
Define Reliability?
Repeatedly and consistently produces the same score for a given case when we apply the same measurement process
Includes several people, when given the same rules for measuring democracy, all produce the same democracy for a given country
Define Replicability.
The ability of a study's findings to be reproduced or replicated by other researchers using the same methods and data to determine if similar results are obtained.
What are the three types of Authoritarian regimes?
Monarchies
Military dictatorships
Civilian dictatorships
What is the most common type of authoritarian regime?
Civilian Dictatorships:
Dominant-party dictatorships
Personalistic dictatorships
What’s the difference between Military and Civilian dictatorships?
Flashcard: Difference between Military and Civilian dictatorships?
Military dictatorship: Form of government where the military holds power and controls the state. The military usually seizes control through a coup or rebellion.
Civilian dictatorship: Form of government where a single individual or a small group holds power and controls the state. They are not affiliated with the military and gain power through non-military means.
Note: Both types of dictatorships involve the concentration of power in the hands of a few, but the key distinction lies in the involvement of the military.
According the Svolik, what are the 2 key features of dictatorships?
Lack an independent authority with the power to enforce agreements among key political actors
Violence is the ultimate arbiter of conflicts in authoritarian politics
Authoritarian regimes are often classified based on 4 dimensions. What are those dimensions?
Military involvement
Restrictions on political parties
Legislative Selection
What are the 4 levels of military involvement in authoritarian regimes?
None
Indirect
Corporate
Personal
What are the 3 levels of restrictions on political parties in authoritarian regimes?
Parties banned
Single party
Multi-party
What are the 6 types of Legislative selection in authoritarian regimes?
None
Unelected or appointed legislature
One party
Largest party controls >75% of seats
Largest party controls <75% of seats
Nonpartisan legislature
What are the 5 types of Executive selection in authoritarian regimes?
Unelected
One party / candidate
Selected by a small unelected body
Elected by >75% of the vote
Elected by <75% of the vote
What are the 5 categories of hybrid regimes?
Partially democratic regime
Tutelary regimes - elected govts are constrained by non-elected institutions
Semi-competitive democracies - elections are free but a major party is banned
Competitive Authoritarianism is a subset of civilian dictatorships
Competitive Authoritarianism is a type of hybrid or semi-democratic regime
What are the main differences between competitive authoritarianism and full authoritarian regimes?
What are the 3 main differences between CA and Democracies?
CA:
Lack of free and fair elections - no massive fraud, but election results are still tampered
Civil liberties only “nominally guaranteed” / “partially respected”
Lack of reasonably level playing field
Democracy:
Free and fair elections - virtually no fraud or voter intimidation; opposition can campaign on relatively even footing
Civil liberties protected
Reasonably level playing field
What are the 3 reasons of there being a lack of a reasonably-level playing field?
State institutions are used for partisan end
Incumbents are systematically favoured
Opposition’s ability to organise and compete in elections is handicapped
How is a lack of a reasonably-level playing field achieved?
Access to resources
Access to media
Biased referees
What are the three measurement levels?
Nominal measure - used for variables that have no quantitative values - Ethnicity
Ordinal measure - used for variables that do have a natural order, but no quantitive differences between values - socioeconomic status
Interval measure - scale used to label variables that have a natural order and equal intervals between variables - temperature
What are the 6 different types of hybrid regimes?
Liberal democracy
Electoral democracy
Ambiguous regimes
Competitive authoritarian
Hegemonic electoral authoritarian
Politically closed authoritarian
What type of regime was Liberia during William Tubman’s presidential term (1944-1971)?
Hegemonic electoral regime - one dominant party
What type of regime was Malaysia during Mahathir Mohamad’s time in office (1981-2003, 2018-2020)?
Competitive authoritarian regime - Multiparty system
What type of regime was Uganda during Idi Amin’s time in office (1971-1979)
Military dictatorship - no party or legislature
What are the two fundamental problems of governance (Gandhi's View)
Autocrats need to prevent their authority from being ruled over by the masses as they have little legitimacy, whilst also needing their cooperation for economic benefit
Svolik's interpretation of the problem of autocratic governance
Problem of authoritarian control (masses pose a threat to the dictator as they are excluded from power)
Problem of power sharing (dictators face a threat from elites within government who may seek to replace the dictator)
What is the issue with using the military as a tool to repress the citizenry?
Military can gain significant leverage against the government, meaning a coup is more likely. Resources and policy concessions will have to siphoned off to the military to prevent this.
What are rents?
Bribes to individuals but may include broader benefits like state employment or public works programs
What is a contested autocracy?
A contested autocracy is a balancing act between autocrat and their elites- elites use the threat of rebellion to keep a dictator in check.
What is an established autocracy?
A dictator has accumulated so much power they cannot be credibly challenged. Typically leads to personalistic rule and personality cults.
Why may a rebellion threat lack credibility?
There are dire consequences (death or exile is almost certain) and there is a lack of information on the dictator's intentions
What are the three regimes of interaction?
Perfect political control, military tutelage and brinkmanship bargaining
In Gandhi's view (2008), repression and co-optation are compliments. True or False?
False. Svolik views them as compliments whereas Gandhi views them as substitutes.
What is the role of a regime party in terms of co-optation? (Gandhi)
Provides a forum for individuals willing to collaborate with the regime, individuals receive perks, privileges and potential for career advancement.
Through what institution are concessions typically made? (Gandhi)
Legislatures
My drilla Svolik argues that co-optation and repression are compliments. True or False?
True
What are some of the features of the assignment of service and benefits within autocratic parties?
Vertical command structure, different benefits associated with each level of hierarchy
What are two benefits of using institutions? (Gandhi)
Institutions reduce insecurity and political transaction costs
What are the three key factors that may influence a dictator to establish institutions? (Gandhi)
Need for cooperation, the degree of polarisation and the strength of the opposition
For Svolik, what are the three organisational features of successful authoritarian parties?
Political control over appointments, hierarchical assignment of service and benefits and selective recruitment and repression
What is the main mechanism that Svolik identifies as to how institutions successfully co-opt party members?
Sunk costs
Incumbent regimes will co-opt those who are ideologically dissimilar and repress those who are closer (Svolik). True or False?
False
For Svolik (2012), the legislature and political parties have the same function by different audiences. True or False?
True
What is the commitment problem? (Svolik)
Describes the dictator's incentive to betray allies- to defect on promise to share spoils of joint rule and take it all for themselves.
What is selectorate theory?
All leaders are motivated by the desire to gain and maintain office.
Define what the selectorate aspect of the selectorate theory is
The selectorate is the set of people who can play a role in selecting the leader.
Through what two goods can leaders keep their winning coalition satisfied?
Public goods and private goods
Define what the ratio of W/S means.
The ratio of W/S represents the probability a member of the selectorate will be in the winning coalition.
What are two benefits of autocratic regimes?
Mobilisation power (single-party regimes) and state autonomy
What are two negative of autocratic regimes?
A lack of stable set of rules and the state does not respect contracts (as there is no independent authority to guarantee agreements)
Name two benefits of providing the military with resources.
Reduces the likelihood of a military coup
Gives the military resources to suppress any potential mass opposition to the dictator
What are three positive aspects of Instutionalised dictatorships?
They are more liberties, lower military spending and higher social spending (theoretically)
Why do institutions have a positive effect on economic growth?
There is increased information via institutions, thus domestic groups are less likely to rebel as they can negotiate with the regime and there is lower political transaction costs between regime and opposition.
What are Svolik's two assumptions of authoritarian regimes? No independent authority to enforce agreements.
No independent authority to enforce agreements.
Violence is the ultimate arbiter of conflicts and is an ever-present threat.
How do institutions help to reduce Svolik's assumptions of authoritarian regimes?
Institutions help by alleviating monitoring problems and increase transparency.
True or False? Having formal rules within institutions makes it easier to detect dictatorial noncompliance (if and when it occurs)
True
Authoritarian regimes with instutionalised power-sharing should: (Two answers)
Avoid unnecessary intra-elite conflict due to increased information
Should be more durable (Svolik argues there is a greater threat from elites rather than masses)
Describe hybrid regimes.
Hybrid regimes are neither fully authoritarian nor fully democratic
A reasonably level playing field does not exist, but the incumbent may still lose power in elections.
What are Gandhi’s two views on institutionalisation in autocracies?
Institutions under dictatorships are a sham
The formation of such institutions allows opposition to organise and make progress in liberalising the regime → democratic transitions
According to Gandhi, what are the two main problems of governance that dictators face?
Dictators do not have the same legitimacy as democratic leaders, as they aren’t chosen by their citizens
Dictators need some form of cooperation from those they rule
More internal stability = more internal prosperity
What are the two main types of concessions?
Rents
Policy compromises
What are the 3 types of legislatures under dictatorship?
No legislature
Appointed
Elected but… vetted or partial elections
How do dictators respond to democratisation?
Establishment of free & fair elections
Broad protection of civil liberties and rights
Implementation of more level playing field
What are the two main determinant factors of democratisation?
Western linkage and leverage
Economic, political, social, organisational ties with the West
Dictator’s organisational power (internally / domestically)
External pressure is weaker
Domestic factors become more important