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Booking growth
Bookings expected to be near flat due to near-term safety headwinds. Reacceleration projected as DAUs and hours are still up despite declining bookings. Underlying engagement base still intact, and bookings should recover as monetization catches up after safety headwinds. Jump in 2028 due to ads platform being fully operational and steady.
Cost of Rev
Held steady with slight downward trend. Mostly third party payment processing and distribution fees. Gradual operating leverage applied as bookings scale further
Dev Ex
Increase consistent with RBLX increasing DevEx payout rate, which should continue.
Infra, Trust, Safe
Jumps up due to increased spend on AI-driven experinces and tools for developers. More of a fixed cost than a cost that scales directly with bookings.
R&D
Increase due to AI/headcount increase. Tapers off as leverage returns
SG&A
Standard SG&A operating leverage as bookings scale, continues historical downward trend. Slight tick up in 2026 due to compliance costs with age-verification
S&M
Continues historical downtrend.
income tax
Despite projected profitablity in 2030, tax deferrals should max the tax impact minimal in that year, which is why the projection remains steady
AR days
Continues historical downtrend
Deferred cost of revenues
Held flat, mostly payment and processing that should scale with bookings (via deferred revenues)
Prepaid
Held flat within the historical band
LT investments
Treasury allocation percentages are a management policy, so this is expected to remain the same throughout
LT assets as a % of bookings
No obvious independent driver, held flat
AP days
Sits around historical average, expected to continue as so in the future
Accrued liablities
Average of recent years, no obvious independent driver
Short term investments
Cash managemnt normalizes following 2025 hyper growth phase, but continues donwards trend