Polling

Polling

Record of opinion or vote for an election

sample

Representative subset of a population for public opinion studies

random sample

selecting from a large population so that the subset is representative of an entire population

Margin of error

statistical measure that quantifies the uncertainty in survey results that show how much the results from a sample might differ from the actual value of entire population

Stratification

arrangements or classification of something into different groups

Push polling

interactive marketing technique that most commonly employed during political campaigning in attempt to manipulate peoples votes

Exit polls 

poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited polling stations 

Political socialization

The lifelong process through which individuals acquire their political belies, values, and behaviors

Younger vs older people voting

younger=democrat

Older=Republican

White vs black voting 

white=republican 

Black=democrat 

Catholics are

republican

Jewish vote

democrat

Male vs female 

female=democrat 

Male=republican 

Presidential approval ratings

Measure of public opinion on a presidents job performance determined by periodic polls

Ideology votes

liberal and moderate=democrat

Conservative=republican

Conservative 

averse to change or innovation and holding traditional values 

Free enterprise, private ownership, and socially traditional ideas 

Liberal

Willing to respect or accept behavior or opinions different from one’s own

Open to new ideas

Party id

loyalty to party

Democrat=harris

Republican=trump

Independent=harris

Libertarian 

Political philosophy that prioritizes individual liberty, personal sovereignty, and freedom

Life, liberty, and property 

Populist

A political approach that pits a unified people against a perceived corrupt elite and special interests

Republicans

conservative party

Right wing

Trump

Democrats 

-liberal 

-center-left 

-oldest party 

-Harris 

Independents

dont choose a side

Typically vote for democrats

Opinion leaders

An individual who can influence the attitudes, behaviors and decisions of others due to their perceived expertise

Franchise 

Right to vote 

Suffrage

Franchise

Right to vote for all

Electorate

All the people in a country or area who are entirely to vote in an election

Amendment 15 

Prohibits denying vote off of race, color, or previous servitude 

19 amendment

suffrage for women

amendment 26 

18 years of age to vote from Vietnam war 

Amendment 23

Grants Washington DC electors to be able to vote in presidential elections

Amendment 24

Abolished and forbids the federal and state governments from imposing taxes on voters during federal elections

Poll tax 

not anymore but used to have to pay a tax to vote 

Grandfather clause

exempting certain classes of people from their previous rights or practices

building over 50 feet tall and ban on 50 ft tall buildings comes and makes it so that buildings already over 50 feet tall are exempt

Literacy test

Had to pass to vote

Made African Americans not be able to

White primary 

System in southern states where only white voters were allowed to vote in the primary electrons of the Democratic Party 

Voting rights act of 1965

Prohibits racial discrimination in voting

Lyndon b Johnson

Split ticket voting

Vote for candidates of more than one party

Straight ticket voting

Voting for every candidate of that political party 

Polling place

depending on district you live in

Precinct

Small area used for electrons where voters cast their ballots 

Ward

division of city that typically elects and is presented by a counselor

Australian ballot

-private and secret ballot

How we do it today

Absentee ballot 

Ballot that is mailed if you can’t make the election 

Voter apathy

Lack of interest towards politics/elections

Political efficacy

individuals belief that they can understand and influence political processes

Incumbent 

Currently holding office 

Coattail effect

popular presidential candidate or leader that can attract votes for other candidates of same party in election

Gender gap

difference in political attitudes and voting behavior between women and men

how does a pollster design a legitimate poll

-random sampling

-neutral and clear questions

-appropriate data weighting

-transparent about methodology

What influences or forces impact a citizens belief 

Wide array of socialization agents, life experiences, psychological factors 

Family,media, education, peers, religion, personal experiences 

What different voting blocs exist and how do they tend to vote

-group of voters that are strongly motivated by a specific common concern or group of concern to the point of no return

-where there party is

• How has suffrage been denied and granted to various groups over US history?

19 amendment granted suffrage for all people

Citizenship is a requirement

Voting right laws and constitutional amendments 

15, 19, 24, 26 

What demographic voting blocs exist

race/ethnicity, gender, age, education, and religion

How do demographic voting blocs act at election time

No idea

Libertarian  

Conservative on fiscal/economic/business issues and liberal on moral and social issues 

Not church or preaching morality

Populists 

Conservative on moral and social issues, liberal on economic/fiscal/business issues 

Substantial minimum wage