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Confounding
Definition: A confounder is a third variable that distorts the observed relationship between the independent variable (exposure) and the dependent variable (outcome).
Example: If you're studying the relationship between physical activity and heart disease, age might be a confounder because it’s associated with both activity levels and heart disease risk.
Confounding
Key Characteristics:
Must be associated with both exposure and outcome.
Must not be on the causal pathway.
Goal: Control for it (e.g., through stratification, regression, or randomization)
Effect Modification (Interaction)
Definition: Occurs when the effect of the main exposure on the outcome differs depending on the level of a third variable.
Example: The effect of physical activity on reducing heart disease might be stronger in older adults than in younger adults.
Effect Modification (Interaction)
Key Characteristics:
Not a nuisance—it's a finding of interest.
Report it rather than control for it.
Cross-sectional
Data collected at one point in time | Quick, inexpensive | No causality |
Case-control |
Compares people with outcome (cases) to those without (controls), looks back for exposure | Good for rare diseases | Recall bias, no causality |
Cohort (Prospective)
Follows exposed and unexposed groups over time to see who develops outcome | Strong for temporality | Time-consuming, expensive |
Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) |
Participants randomly assigned to exposure/intervention or control | Best for causality | Costly, may have ethical limits |
Ecological
Uses population-level data | Good for hypothesis generation | Ecological fallacy risk |
RCT
Random assignment mentioned?
Cohort
Tracking over time?
Case- control
Looking back after outcome?
Cross-sectional
Snapshot in time?
Frequency, Intensity, Time, Type
FITT
Frequency
How often (e.g., days/week)
Intensity
How hard (absolute or relative)
Time
Duration per session
Type
Mode of activity
Absolute intensity
Fixed value | METs, kcal/min, mph |
Relative intensity
Individual capacity | %HRmax, RPE, %VO₂max |
Subjective Measures
Examples: Questionnaires, logs, interviews
Pros:
Low cost
Feasible for large populations
Cons:
Recall bias
Social desirability bias
Less precise
Objective Measures
Examples:
Doubly labeled water: Gold standard for energy expenditure; very accurate, but expensive and complex.
Indirect calorimetry: Measures gas exchange; used in lab settings.
Heart rate monitors: Reasonable estimate of intensity, influenced by non-exercise factors.
Accelerometers: Measures movement; good for patterns and intensity.
Objective Measures
Advantages:
Objective
Captures frequency, intensity, and duration
Disadvantages:
Can miss upper body movement or cycling
Doesn’t capture context (type of activity)
Expensive for large populations
Number Needed to Treat
[a / (a + b)] - [c / (c + d)]